MLB Player match stats positives for Chicago at New York Thursday Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most suitable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage over Ben Brown in today’s matchup.

Brett Baty may have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs has just 1 same-handed RP.

Brett Baty has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Mike Tauchman is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Mike Tauchman will hold the platoon advantage against Adrian Houser in today’s matchup.

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mike Tauchman has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Mike Tauchman has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

When estimating his home run ability, Christopher Morel ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Christopher Morel is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Christopher Morel has a ton of pop (95th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (28.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Adrian Houser has a pitch-to-contact profile (18th percentile K%) — great news for Morel.

Christopher Morel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.6% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage over Ben Brown in today’s matchup.

Brandon Nimmo is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs only has 1 same-handed RP.

Adrian Houser has averaged 93.6 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 84th percentile.

The 3rd-weakest projected batting order of all teams today in terms of overall offensive ability belongs to the Chicago Cubs.

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Adrian Houser will hold that advantage today.

Adrian Houser’s higher usage percentage of his secondary pitches this season (38.9% vs. 29.2% last year) figures to work in his favor consider they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

When it comes to his batting average skill, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 20th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nico Hoerner is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.

Michael Busch is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Michael Busch will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Busch can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

Pete Alonso projects as the 17th-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Pete Alonso will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Matt Mervis will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adrian Houser today.

Matt Mervis will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP.

Matt Mervis hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Pete Crow-Armstrong’s BABIP skill is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an edge in today’s game.

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Pete Crow-Armstrong can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

Omar Narvaez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ben Brown in today’s game.

The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Omar Narvaez has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Omar Narvaez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Omar Narvaez will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Jeff McNeil is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Jeff McNeil will have the handedness advantage over Ben Brown today.

Jeff McNeil may have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs has just 1 same-handed RP.

Jeff McNeil hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s shallowest CF fences today.

As it relates to his home run skill, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

J.D. Martinez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and J.D. Martinez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The Chicago Cubs have 4 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Christopher Morel, Michael Busch, Miguel Amaya, Pete Crow-Armstrong).

Citi Field grades out as the #6 stadium in baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 76th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

By putting up a 1.65 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Nico Hoerner has displayed strong plate discipline, checking in at the 86th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ian Happ ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ian Happ is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.

The switch-hitting Ian Happ will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Adrian Houser.

Ian Happ has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage today.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Dansby Swanson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Dansby Swanson’s 11.1% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) ranks in the 75th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as baseball’s 11th-best home run batter.

Jeff McNeil’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Since the start of last season, Dansby Swanson’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable metric to assess power) is in the 88th percentile at 95 mph.

When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Ben Brown in the 75th percentile among all SPs in Major League Baseball.

Because of his reverse platoon split, Ben Brown will be in a good position facing 6 bats in the projected batting order who bat from the other side today.

Among all starting pitchers, Ben Brown’s fastball velocity of 95.6 mph is in the 91st percentile this year.

Since the start of last season, Pete Crow-Armstrong’s 16.7% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 96th percentile among his peers.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Matt Mervis has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .219 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .305.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Current MLB player match stat slumps with Cubs vs Mets Matchup for Thursday

Brett Baty is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Citi Field’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to less offense.

Among every team today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Brett Baty ranks in just the 10th percentile with a 6.4° launch angle, which is one of the lowest angles in the league.

Mike Tauchman will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mike Tauchman’s true offensive ability to be a .311, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .103 difference between that figure and his actual .414 wOBA.

In notching a 11.600 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Mike Tauchman finds himself in the 17th percentile for power.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Christopher Morel has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 11% of the time.

Adrian Houser will have the handedness advantage against Christopher Morel in today’s game.

Christopher Morel will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

This season, there has been a decline in Brandon Nimmo’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28 ft/sec last year to 26.86 ft/sec currently.

Brandon Nimmo and his 8.2° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 23rd percentile, among the lowest in baseball since the start of last season.

Chad Fairchild projects as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be umping in this game.

The #3 park in the league for boosting walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.

Out of every team in action today, the 11th-strongest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Hitting from the same side that Adrian Houser throws from, Nico Hoerner will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nico Hoerner today.

Based on Statcast metrics, Nico Hoerner ranks in the 4th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 4.700.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Michael Busch in today’s game.

Michael Busch has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .223 figure is inflated compared to his .179 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In notching a .235 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Michael Busch has performed in the 8th percentile for offensive ability.

Batting from the same side that Ben Brown throws from, Pete Alonso will be in a tough position today.

In notching a .230 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Pete Alonso is positioned in the 25th percentile.

Pete Alonso is in the 8th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (37.7% rate since the start of last season).

Matt Mervis’s BABIP ability is projected in the 10th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Matt Mervis is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Matt Mervis has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 19% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter since the start of last season.

Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Pete Crow-Armstrong will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Since the start of last season, Pete Crow-Armstrong’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable metric to measure power) grades out in the 5th percentile at 84.9 mph.

Omar Narvaez’s BABIP ability is projected in the 7th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Omar Narvaez is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 4th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Jeff McNeil has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 8.7 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is inflated compared to his 5.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jeff McNeil has notched a .292 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 16th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jeff McNeil’s 1.3% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 2nd percentile since the start of last season.

Ben Brown will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against J.D. Martinez today.

J.D. Martinez has been lucky in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 39.9 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is considerably higher than his 34.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Adrian Houser in the 4th percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball.

In his last outing, Adrian Houser struggled when it came to striking hitters out and was only able to post 2 Ks.

Adrian Houser’s 91-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 20th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (11.2) provides evidence that Michael Busch has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his 25.4 actual HR/600.

As it relates to his home run talent, Nico Hoerner ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ian Happ in today’s game.

Ian Happ’s speed has decreased this year. His 27.75 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.82 ft/sec now.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.249) implies that Jeff McNeil has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .267 actual batting average.

Checking in at the 6th percentile, Brett Baty sports a .270 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Ranking in the 7th percentile, Brett Baty has posted a .324 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Omar Narvaez in the 19th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Since the start of last season, Omar Narvaez’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable metric to assess power) ranks in the 10th percentile at 87 mph.

Omar Narvaez has compiled a .249 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 21st percentile.

Given the 0.77 difference between Adrian Houser’s 4.87 ERA and his 4.10 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in baseball since the start of last season and should perform better the rest of the season.

Mike Tauchman’s 5.5% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) ranks in the 25th percentile since the start of last season.

Dansby Swanson is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Adrian Houser will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dansby Swanson in today’s game.

Dansby Swanson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Christopher Morel grades out in the 7th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (37.2% rate since the start of last season).

Pete Alonso has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 41.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is inflated compared to his 33.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

This year, there has been a decline in Omar Narvaez’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 24.38 ft/sec last year to 22.68 ft/sec currently.

Mike Tauchman’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to measure power) has been 109.4 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 23rd percentile.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Ben Brown is projected to throw 81 pitches in today’s matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 8th-most on the slate today.

Ben Brown will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Ben Brown’s high usage rate of his fastball (63.9% since the start of last season) is likely hurting his results, consider they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

When it comes to plate discipline, J.D. Martinez’s talent is quite bad, putting up a 4.6 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 10th percentile.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Matt Mervis in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, J.D. Martinez has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His .366 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .349.

Nico Hoerner’s 1.7% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) is in the 3rd percentile since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, Nico Hoerner’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to evaluate power) is in the 5th percentile at 87.8 mph.

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