
OAK @ KC






MLB Player match stats positives for Oakland at Kansas City Saturday Matchup
Seth Lugo has averaged 92.6 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, grading out in the 80th percentile.
The Oakland Athletics have 7 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Zack Gelof, Tyler Soderstrom, Max Schuemann, Seth Brown, J.D. Davis, Brent Rooker, Shea Langeliers).
Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Seth Lugo will hold that advantage today.
Seth Lugo was on point in his previous GS and notched 12 strikeouts.
Seth Lugo has been unlucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, posting a 7.24 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.41 — a 1.17 K/9 gap.
Kauffman Stadium has the 10th-shortest fences in the league.
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters.
Batting from the opposite that Ross Stripling throws from, Kyle Isbel will have an edge in today’s game.
Kyle Isbel may have an edge against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Oakland Athletics only has 1 same-handed RP.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
The #3 park in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.
As it relates to his home run talent, Salvador Perez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.
J.J. Bleday is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 3rd-best field in the league for lefty batting average.
The Oakland Athletics outfield defense projects as the weakest out of all the teams today.
When estimating his batting average ability, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.
Shea Langeliers is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.
The Kansas City Royals have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season, According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Shea Langeliers (the Athletics’s expected catcher today) profiles as a weak pitch framer.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the best venue in baseball for walks.
Tyler Soderstrom is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.
Abraham Toro is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today’s game.
J.D. Davis’s BABIP skill is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nelson Velazquez in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
Nelson Velazquez has big-time power (93rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (32.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Ross Stripling struggles to strike batters out (5th percentile K%) — great news for Velazquez.
When assessing his home run skill, Shea Langeliers ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Max Schuemann is very athletic, placing in the 84th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.49 ft/sec this year.
When assessing his home run talent, MJ Melendez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brent Rooker projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brent Rooker is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.
Maikel Garcia’s BABIP ability is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Maikel Garcia is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Salvador Perez ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
When it comes to his home run skill, Seth Brown ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brent Rooker in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Michael Massey is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.
Bobby Witt Jr. projects as the 19th-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Zack Gelof’s true offensive ability to be a .306, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .054 disparity between that figure and his actual .252 wOBA.
Tallying 92.4 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Ross Stripling checks in at the 79th percentile.
With a 0.98 discrepancy between Ross Stripling’s 5.74 K/9 and his 6.72 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in MLB this year when it comes to strikeouts and should see better results in the future.
When assessing his home run ability, Hunter Renfroe ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Seth Brown will have an advantage today.
When estimating his home run skill, J.D. Davis ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Current MLB player match stat slumps with Athletics vs Royals Matchup for Saturday
It is expected that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Ryan Additon) behind the plate in today’s game.
Salvador Perez, the Royals’s expected catcher in today’s game, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The #1 ballpark in the majors for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.
Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 87°.
Kyle Isbel is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 4th-worst field in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs.
The deepest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Kauffman Stadium.
With a .257 wOBA in the last two weeks’ worth of games, Kyle Isbel has been struggling at the plate.
Utilizing Statcast metrics, Kyle Isbel is in the 10th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .279.
Zack Gelof is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
Batting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Zack Gelof meets a tough challenge in today’s game.
In today’s game, Zack Gelof is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.2% rate (79th percentile).
Zack Gelof will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Zack Gelof’s footspeed has decreased this year. His 29.04 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.97 ft/sec now.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 4th-worst field in MLB for right-handed home runs.
Batting from the same side that Ross Stripling throws from, Salvador Perez has a tough challenge in today’s game.
Salvador Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.8% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-deepest LF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Salvador Perez’s true offensive talent to be a .320, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .072 difference between that figure and his actual .392 wOBA.
Utilizing Statcast data, Salvador Perez ranks in the 22nd percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .298.
J.J. Bleday’s BABIP ability is projected in the 8th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
J.J. Bleday hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 4th-deepest CF fences today.
Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for J.J. Bleday today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates J.J. Bleday’s true offensive skill to be a .310, implying that he has been very fortunate this year given the .018 deviation between that mark and his actual .328 wOBA.
Using Statcast data, J.J. Bleday grades out in the 3rd percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .195.
Nelson Velazquez is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.
Home runs are generally less common at parks with deep fences, and Kauffman Stadium has the 2nd-deepest among all stadiums.
Ross Stripling will have the handedness advantage over Nelson Velazquez in today’s matchup.
Nelson Velazquez has shown weak plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 13th percentile with a 4.2 K/BB rate.
Checking in at the 25th percentile, Nelson Velazquez sports a .230 batting average since the start of last season.
Batting from the same side that Ross Stripling throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have a disadvantage today.
Bobby Witt Jr. has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s deepest RF fences in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shea Langeliers in the 15th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Seth Lugo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shea Langeliers in today’s matchup.
Shea Langeliers pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Shea Langeliers in today’s matchup.
Shea Langeliers has put up a .216 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
In his previous game started, Ross Stripling performed well and conceded 2 ER.
Considering the 0.84 deviation between Ross Stripling’s 4.98 ERA and his 4.14 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the league this year and should perform better going forward.
Ross Stripling has recorded a .354 BABIP this year, making him one of the unluckiest pitchers in the game on balls in play with improved performance likely coming.
The Kansas City Royals collectively place 28th- overall in the majors since the start of last season as it relates to the maximum exit velocity of all of the balls their [HITTER}s have hit.
Tyler Soderstrom’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Tyler Soderstrom hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 4th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Tyler Soderstrom will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Tyler Soderstrom has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 15.1 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is significantly inflated relative to his 10.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Tyler Soderstrom has notched a .247 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 14th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Abraham Toro’s BABIP talent is projected in the 17th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The switch-hitting Abraham Toro will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Seth Lugo, Abraham Toro pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 80th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s deepest RF fences today.
Abraham Toro will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
Abraham Toro has been lucky this year, notching a .339 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .298 — a .041 disparity.
J.D. Davis is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
Seth Lugo will hold the platoon advantage over J.D. Davis in today’s game.
J.D. Davis has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s deepest RF fences today.
Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for J.D. Davis in today’s game.
This season, there has been a decline in J.D. Davis’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 25.73 ft/sec last year to 24.84 ft/sec currently.
Shea Langeliers ranks in the 3rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (35.5% rate since the start of last season).
Max Schuemann is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.
Seth Lugo will hold the platoon advantage over Max Schuemann today.
Max Schuemann hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 4th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Max Schuemann will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
MJ Melendez is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
MJ Melendez pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 75th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s deepest RF fences today.
Posting a .294 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, MJ Melendez grades out in the 23rd percentile.
Seth Lugo will hold the platoon advantage against Brent Rooker today.
Brent Rooker hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 4th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Brent Rooker will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Brent Rooker has been lucky this year, putting up a .408 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .334 — a .074 deviation.
Ross Stripling will have the handedness advantage against Maikel Garcia today.
Maikel Garcia has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s deepest RF fences in today’s game.
In notching a 6.000 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Maikel Garcia is ranked in the 6th percentile for power.
Maikel Garcia’s 4.5% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) grades out in the 15th percentile since the start of last season.
Posting a .172 batting average this year, MJ Melendez has performed in the 6th percentile.
Salvador Perez is not very toolsy, ranking in the 5th percentile in Sprint Speed at 24.48 ft/sec this year.
Vinnie Pasquantino hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 4th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Vinnie Pasquantino’s 90.1-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to measure power) ranks in the 17th percentile since the start of last season.
Seth Brown has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (89% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today’s game.
Seth Brown hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 4th-deepest CF fences today.
Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Seth Brown in today’s matchup.
Checking in at the 18th percentile, Seth Brown sits with a .290 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.
Michael Massey pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s deepest RF fences in today’s game.
With a .265 wOBA in the last two weeks’ worth of games, Michael Massey has been struggling at the plate.
Michael Massey has recorded a .277 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 10th percentile.
In terms of plate discipline, Michael Massey’s ability is quite poor, sporting a 4.71 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 9th percentile.
In notching a .223 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Seth Brown grades out in the 17th percentile.
When it comes to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Ross Stripling in the 16th percentile among all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball.
J.J. Bleday has notched a .294 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 18th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
As it relates to plate discipline, Shea Langeliers’s ability is quite bad, posting a 4.36 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 12th percentile.
Vinnie Pasquantino has put up a .233 BABIP this year, ranking in the 16th percentile.
Kyle Isbel’s BABIP skill is projected in the 19th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Kyle Isbel’s speed has decreased this year. His 27.58 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.08 ft/sec now.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 20th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Hitting the ball to all fields is a crucial skill for batting average that Michael Massey has struggled with since the start of last season, as evidenced by his checking in at the 1st percentile on THE BAT X’s Spray Score.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Renfroe in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
Hunter Renfroe is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today’s game.
Ross Stripling will hold the platoon advantage over Hunter Renfroe today.
In today’s game, Hunter Renfroe is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 39.3% rate (98th percentile).
Hunter Renfroe has been cold in recent games, posting a .219 wOBA in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
It may be sensible to expect worse results for the Oakland Athletics offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 4th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.
In his last outing, Seth Lugo was firing on all cylinders and gave up 1 ER.
Seth Lugo has put up a 4.06 K/BB rate this year, ranking in the 81st percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seth Brown in the 19th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
When it comes to his home run skill, Maikel Garcia ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Tyler Soderstrom has compiled a .192 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Athletics vs Royals Match Player Stats Saturday May 18th Oakland Athletics at Kansas City Royals Game Predictions, Players odds, Saturday lines and Betting Trends
Athletics vs Royals match player stats Saturday, May 18th pre matchup. Oakland Athletics at Kansas City Royals player predictions
