Steelers vs Browns Match Player Stats | 2025 NFL Playoffs 4 Thursday

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PIT @ CLE

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 4 Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns
Todays Game is on Thursday, October 1st
01/10/26 20:15:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Pittsburgh Steelers Game Today

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Steelers to pass on 60.1% of their chances: the 8th-greatest clip on the slate this week.

,When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Steelers profiles as the best in the NFL since the start of last season.

,The projections expect the Browns to be the 8th-most run-focused team among all teams this week with a 45.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

,The predictive model expects the Browns to call the 9th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.6 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

,The predictive model expects Jaylen Warren to notch 19.6 rush attempts in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs.

,The projections expect Jaylen Warren to be a more integral piece of his team’s running game in this week’s game (78.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (63.8% in games he has played).

,With a stellar rate of 52.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (86th percentile), Jaylen Warren stands as one of the best RBs in the league since the start of last season.

,Jaylen Warren comes in as one of the leading running backs in football at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging a stellar 3.87 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 88th percentile.

,The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (34.4 per game) since the start of last season.

,The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency versus TEs since the start of last season, conceding 8.47 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-most in football.

,Pat Freiermuth has posted a whopping 24.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 78th percentile when it comes to TEs.

,Pat Freiermuth’s 30.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 23.3.

,The Cleveland Browns safeties profile as the 2nd-worst safety corps in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

,Since the start of last season, the deficient Steelers defense has yielded a whopping 147.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing WRs: the 8th-most in football.

,DK Metcalf has run a route on 99.3% of his offense’s passing plays this year, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to WRs.

,Our trusted projections expect DK Metcalf to accrue 7.4 targets in this week’s contest, on balance, putting him in the 85th percentile when it comes to WRs.

,DK Metcalf has posted a massive 79.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 85th percentile among WRs.

,Since the start of last season, the poor Pittsburgh Steelers defense has yielded a massive 238.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing teams: the 6th-worst in football.

Negatives with the Cleveland Browns Game Today

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by the model to call only 62.7 offensive plays in this game: the 10th-lowest number among all teams this week.

,The Steelers have called the 6th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a mere 54.6 plays per game.

,Opposing teams have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense since the start of last season: 8th-fewest in the NFL.

,Opposing teams have thrown for the 5th-fewest yards in football (just 190.0 adjusted yards per game) vs. the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season.

,When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Cleveland’s CB corps has been outstanding since the start of last season, grading out as the 2nd-best in the league.

,The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has produced the 8th-best efficiency against opposing running games since the start of last season, surrendering just 4.13 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

,When it comes to the linebackers’ role in stopping the run, Pittsburgh’s LB corps has been terrific since the start of last season, profiling as the best in the NFL.

,Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Steelers to run on 39.9% of their plays: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

,The Browns defensive ends grade out as the 5th-best group of DEs in the league since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

,Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 54.7% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

,The Browns O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.

,The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has excelled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, yielding an average of 0.27 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 2nd-fewest in the league.

,When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Pittsburgh’s LB corps has been very good since the start of last season, projecting as the 8th-best in the league.

,With a bad 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) last year, Pat Freiermuth rates among the leading TEs in the pass game in the league in the open field.

,Since the start of last season, the formidable Steelers pass defense has allowed the 6th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing wide receivers: a measly 0.4 YAC.

,DK Metcalf’s 44.3% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a noteworthy decrease in his receiving prowess over last year’s 59.7% rate.

,DK Metcalf’s 4.4 adjusted yards per target this year marks a noteworthy decrease in his receiving prowess over last year’s 8.4 mark.

,This week, Deshaun Watson is anticipated by the projections to wind up with the 6th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 31.8.,The Steelers defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 0.56 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-fewest in football.

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