
CWS @ MIA






Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Friday, July 5th
2024-07-05 19:10:00 EST First Pitch
Player match stat positives for Chicago at Miami Matchup Today
When estimating his home run talent, Luis Robert ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Luis Robert is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.
The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.
Luis Robert has a ton of pop (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (28.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Bryan Hoeing struggles to strike batters out (21st percentile K%) — great news for Robert.
The Miami Marlins outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today.
As it relates to his home run ability, Jake Burger ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jake Burger is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.
Among every team in action today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox.
Jake Burger will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
Andrew Benintendi is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.
LoanDepot Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in baseball for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Andrew Benintendi will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Hoeing today.
Andrew Benintendi hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Josh Bell is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
Josh Bell will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.
LoanDepot Park has the 5th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Nick Fortes will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nick Fortes’s true offensive ability to be a .270, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .076 deviation between that figure and his actual .194 wOBA.
When estimating his home run talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.
Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Drew Thorpe today.
Paul DeJong has strong power (86th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (30.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Bryan Hoeing is a pitch-to-contact type (9th percentile K%) — great news for DeJong.
Hitters such as Paul DeJong with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bryan Hoeing who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Paul DeJong’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (20.9°) is considerably better than his 15.5° angle last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul DeJong in the 86th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
Paul DeJong’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 15.6% on the season to 23.1% in the last 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.
Hitting from the opposite that Drew Thorpe throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jake Burger’s true offensive talent to be a .325, suggesting that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .058 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .267 wOBA.
In the last week’s worth of games, Lenyn Sosa’s 60% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 50%.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.293) may lead us to conclude that Lenyn Sosa has had some very poor luck this year with his .245 actual batting average.
Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Emmanuel Rivera will hold that advantage today.
In the past week’s worth of games, Emmanuel Rivera’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.7-mph over the course of the season to 96.4-mph in recent games.
Emmanuel Rivera has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 0.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is deflated compared to his 6.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Compared to his seasonal average of 13.8°, Luis Robert has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 23.4° figure in the past week.
Luis Robert has paced 37.2 home runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 98th percentile for power.
When it comes to his home run talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Emmanuel Rivera’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, going from 46.9% on the season to 71.4% over the past week.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Tommy Pham ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Tommy Pham is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.
Tommy Pham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Tommy Pham has displayed favorable plate discipline this year, placing in the 80th percentile with a 1.9 K/BB rate.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Xavier Edwards will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Bryan Hoeing throws from, Nicky Lopez will have the upper hand today.
Nicky Lopez’s launch angle this year (8.2°) is considerably higher than his 0.2° mark last year.
In the past week, Nicky Lopez’s 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.1%.
As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Vidal Brujan will get to bat from his strong side against Drew Thorpe in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Vidal Brujan will hold that advantage today.
Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.
Gavin Sheets will have the handedness advantage over Bryan Hoeing in today’s game.
Gavin Sheets’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 16.5% to 20.1%.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage today.
Jesus Sanchez has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last season’s 90.3-mph EV.
Josh Bell’s launch angle this year (12.1°) is significantly higher than his 8.7° angle last season.
Josh Bell’s launch angle lately (26.2° in the last 7 days) is a significant increase over his 12.1° seasonal angle.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Bryan De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.
Bryan De La Cruz will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Andrew Benintendi’s true offensive ability to be a .315, providing some evidence that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .079 deviation between that figure and his actual .236 wOBA.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Bryan De La Cruz ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
In the last week’s worth of games, Bryan De La Cruz’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.4-mph over the course of the season to 100.5-mph recently.
Bryan De La Cruz’s launch angle recently (10.3° in the past week) is significantly lower than his 13.7° seasonal angle.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jake Burger ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Xavier Edwards’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
By putting up a 1.59 K/BB rate this year, Gavin Sheets has shown impressive plate discipline, placing in the 91st percentile.
Lenyn Sosa’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, rising from 18.6% on the season to 22.6% in the last 14 days.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Lenyn Sosa has had some very poor luck this year. His .279 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .328.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Over the past 14 days, Jazz Chisholm Jr. has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 22.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 13.2°.
Friday player match stat slumps with White Sox vs Marlins Matchup
LoanDepot Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.
The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -10° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching.
Batting from the same side that Bryan Hoeing throws from, Luis Robert will have a disadvantage today.
Today, Luis Robert is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.3% rate (82nd percentile).
Luis Robert will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Hitting from the same side that Drew Thorpe throws from, Jake Burger will be in a tough position today.
Jake Burger pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences today.
This year, Jake Burger’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 16.8% last year to just 10.6% this year.
Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Andrew Benintendi today.
Andrew Benintendi has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 5.4% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past 7 days.
Over the last two weeks, Andrew Benintendi’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (5.1°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 14.6°.
Josh Bell has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 8th-deepest LF fences today.
Josh Bell has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 6.7% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past 7 days.
In notching a .281 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Josh Bell finds himself in the 18th percentile for offensive skills.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Fortes in the 1st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
Nick Fortes is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.
When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Nick Fortes has been pinch hit for 22% of the time.
Jesus Sanchez has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences today.
Over the past two weeks, Jesus Sanchez’s 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40.4%.
Sporting a 4.17 K/BB rate this year, Jesus Sanchez has demonstrated bad plate discipline, ranking in the 14th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul DeJong in the 7th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
Paul DeJong is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.
Bryan Hoeing will have the handedness advantage over Paul DeJong today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 8th-worst park in Major League Baseball for righty home runs.
LoanDepot Park has the 4th-deepest RF dimensions among all major league stadiums.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 12.1% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the past week.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 95.4-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 89.1-mph in the past two weeks.
Lenyn Sosa is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Bryan Hoeing will have the handedness advantage over Lenyn Sosa in today’s matchup.
Lenyn Sosa has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-deepest RF fences today.
Emmanuel Rivera is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.
Drew Thorpe will hold the platoon advantage against Emmanuel Rivera in today’s game.
Emmanuel Rivera has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Bryan Hoeing will have the handedness advantage over Tommy Pham today.
Tommy Pham will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
When estimating his home run ability, Xavier Edwards ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Xavier Edwards is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.
When it comes to his home run ability, Nicky Lopez ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Nicky Lopez is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.
This year, Nicky Lopez has been pulled from the game early in 11% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Nick Fortes ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
When it comes to his home run talent, Vidal Brujan ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Vidal Brujan is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Sheets in the 13th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Gavin Sheets pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Gavin Sheets will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 8th-worst field in the majors for LHB home runs.
In the past two weeks, Jesus Sanchez’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (3.3°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 8.4°.
Tommy Pham has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5.4% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past week.
Hitting from the same side that Drew Thorpe throws from, Bryan De La Cruz will not have the upper hand today.
Bryan De La Cruz has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
When it comes to his home runs, Bryan De La Cruz has had some very good luck this year. His 24.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 22.0.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 24th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Xavier Edwards will bat from his weak side against Drew Thorpe today.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Vidal Brujan ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Posting a 4.09 K/BB rate this year, Bryan De La Cruz has shown poor plate discipline, ranking in the 16th percentile.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Nicky Lopez ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
