
SF @ CLE





Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Friday, July 5th
2024-07-05 19:10:00 EST First Pitch
Player match stat positives for San Francisco at Cleveland Matchup Today
Jhonkensy Noel has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (75% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Jhonkensy Noel will have an advantage in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Jhonkensy Noel will hold that advantage in today’s game.
In the past week’s worth of games, Jhonkensy Noel has displayed impressive power, recording a a 33.3% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power).
Jhonkensy Noel has hit one of the hardest balls in baseball over the last week — 115.4-mph — which is a favorable indicator of recent form and raw power.
Brett Wisely will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee today.
Brett Wisely has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.
In the last 7 days, Brett Wisely’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.1%.
Brett Wisely has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 12.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is quite a bit lower than his 19.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Patrick Bailey is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.
Patrick Bailey pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Patrick Bailey has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92-mph average to last year’s 88.7-mph mark.
In the past 7 days, Patrick Bailey’s 36.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.4%.
Patrick Bailey’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 46.3% to 52.6%.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Josh Naylor ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Josh Naylor is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Josh Naylor will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Josh Naylor has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 11.7% seasonal rate to 17.9% in the last two weeks.
Josh Naylor has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.6-mph average to last season’s 91.3-mph EV.
When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Tanner Bibee in the 93rd percentile among all starters in MLB.
The San Francisco Giants have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Matt Chapman, Heliot Ramos, Mike Yastrzemski).
Bo Naylor, the Guardians’s expected catcher today, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher metrics in all categories, and Tanner Bibee will hold that advantage today.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Bo Naylor will hold that advantage in today’s game.
As it relates to his home run talent, Heliot Ramos ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
Heliot Ramos has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest RF fences today.
Heliot Ramos’s launch angle lately (11.4° over the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 8.2° seasonal angle.
Heliot Ramos’s 16.8% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) ranks in the 98th percentile this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (40.9% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jose Ramirez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Jose Ramirez has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 9.8% seasonal rate to 17.9% over the last two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Matt Chapman is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.
Matt Chapman has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 103.8-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 95.5-mph.
Over the last 7 days, Matt Chapman’s 60% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.3%.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.257) provides evidence that Matt Chapman has experienced some negative variance this year with his .238 actual batting average.
Nick Ahmed pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Jorge Soler is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.
Jorge Soler pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.
Jorge Soler has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 9.3% seasonal rate to 15.6% in the last two weeks.
Jorge Soler has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 90-mph figure.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, LaMonte Wade Jr. ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
LaMonte Wade Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.
Batting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
LaMonte Wade Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
LaMonte Wade Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 43.4% to 54.5%.
Batting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Gabriel Arias will have an edge in today’s game.
Gabriel Arias has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Gabriel Arias will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Gabriel Arias has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 108.1-mph average over the past week to his seasonal EV of 94-mph.
By putting up a .342 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Patrick Bailey is positioned in the 79th percentile.
Steven Kwan’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Steven Kwan is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.
Steven Kwan has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Steven Kwan will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
This season, Steven Kwan has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 87.8 mph compared to last year’s 85.3 mph mark.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
Over the last 14 days, Matt Chapman’s 21.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 12.6%.
Matt Chapman has had some very poor luck with his home runs this year; his 18.4 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is significantly deflated relative to his 22.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Michael Conforto ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Michael Conforto will have the handedness advantage against Tanner Bibee in today’s game.
In the past week, Michael Conforto’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.8% up to 37.5%.
Michael Conforto has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 95.8-mph over the past 7 days.
In the past 14 days, Michael Conforto’s 42.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.8%.
When estimating his home run skill, Jorge Soler ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Nick Ahmed’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (24.5° over the last 14 days) is significantly better than his 14.6° seasonal figure.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
This year, Heliot Ramos has an average exit velocity of 92.5 mph, which ranks among the elite in the majors at the 94th percentile.
LaMonte Wade Jr. has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.3-mph average to last year’s 88.3-mph EV.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Andres Gimenez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
In the past week’s worth of games, Andres Gimenez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.9-mph over the course of the season to 99.8-mph in recent games.
In the past week’s worth of games, Andres Gimenez’s 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.5%.
Andres Gimenez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .284 figure is quite a bit lower than his .322 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Steven Kwan’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 15.1% to 19.2%.
Andres Gimenez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, going from 15.3% on the season to 24.2% in the last 14 days.
Friday player match stat slumps with Giants vs Guardians Matchup
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jhonkensy Noel in the 24th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Among all the teams in action today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants.
In the past 7 days, Jhonkensy Noel’s swing has not been well optimized for base hits, hitting a mere 16.7% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.
Brett Wisely is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brett Wisely in today’s game.
Brett Wisely’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 88-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 80.2-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
This year, Brett Wisely’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to measure power) grades out in the 9th percentile at 88.4 mph.
With a 4.92 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Brett Wisely has shown weak plate discipline, checking in at the 20th percentile.
The switch-hitting Patrick Bailey will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Tanner Bibee, Out of every team on the slate today, the best infield defense belongs to the Cleveland Guardians.
Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Patrick Bailey in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Patrick Bailey’s true offensive skill to be a .294, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .049 gap between that mark and his actual .343 wOBA.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Brett Wisely has been lucky this year. His .332 mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .299.
Kyle Harrison will have the handedness advantage over Josh Naylor in today’s matchup.
Checking in at the 7th percentile, Josh Naylor sports a .236 BABIP this year.
Bo Naylor is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game.
Kyle Harrison will have the handedness advantage over Bo Naylor in today’s matchup.
Bo Naylor has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.2% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last week.
Bo Naylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 91-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 86.3-mph in the last 7 days.
In the past week’s worth of games, Bo Naylor’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15%.
Batting from the same side that Tanner Bibee throws from, Heliot Ramos will not have the upper hand today.
Heliot Ramos will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
Heliot Ramos has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .380 mark is quite a bit higher than his .329 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Jose Ramirez will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Kyle Harrison in this game.
Jose Ramirez’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 44.3% to 35.1%.
In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jose Ramirez has been very fortunate this year. His .366 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .333.
With a .254 BABIP this year, Jose Ramirez has performed in the 16th percentile.
Tanner Bibee will hold the platoon advantage over Matt Chapman in today’s game.
Matt Chapman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 7th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Matt Chapman in today’s matchup.
This year, Matt Chapman’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 17.2% last year to just 11.3% this year.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Nick Ahmed ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Nick Ahmed is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.
Tanner Bibee will have the handedness advantage against Nick Ahmed in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nick Ahmed today.
Hitting from the same side that Tanner Bibee throws from, Jorge Soler has a tough challenge today.
Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jorge Soler in today’s game.
Jorge Soler has compiled a .219 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
LaMonte Wade Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
LaMonte Wade Jr. has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 9.9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last 7 days.
LaMonte Wade Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, falling from 13.9% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates LaMonte Wade Jr.’s true offensive skill to be a .335, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .061 deviation between that mark and his actual .396 wOBA.
Gabriel Arias is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 8.3°, Gabriel Arias’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls has dropped significantly lately (2.7° in the past 14 days).
Gabriel Arias has notched a .261 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, placing in the 18th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Gabriel Arias’s 4.2° launch angle (a reliable stat to evaluate a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most groundball-inducing in the game: 4th percentile.
Posting a 9.9 K/BB rate this year, Gabriel Arias has demonstrated poor plate discipline, placing in the 8th percentile.
Jose Ramirez has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 39.4 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is quite a bit higher than his 31.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Bo Naylor’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Patrick Bailey’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (7.4°) is a considerable dropoff from his 12.3° mark last season.
Kyle Harrison will hold the platoon advantage over Steven Kwan in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Steven Kwan’s true offensive ability to be a .309, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .100 gap between that figure and his actual .409 wOBA.
Gabriel Arias has recorded a .223 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Michael Conforto has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (68% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today’s game.
Michael Conforto will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
Nick Ahmed’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 88.9-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 86.9-mph in the past 7 days.
Josh Naylor has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 36.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly inflated relative to his 29.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Over the last 14 days, Heliot Ramos’s 29.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 45.1%.
Andres Gimenez has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (80% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.
Kyle Harrison will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andres Gimenez in today’s game.
Andres Gimenez’s launch angle this season (7.8°) is significantly lower than his 12.9° mark last season.
With a .278 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Andres Gimenez is ranked in the 20th percentile.
When it comes to his home run skill, Steven Kwan ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Posting a 8.400 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Andres Gimenez finds himself in the 13th percentile for power.
When estimating his home run skill, Andres Gimenez ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Michael Conforto has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .236 mark is quite a bit higher than his .221 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
