White Sox @ Giants Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positives for the Chicago White Sox Series Game 3 Game Today

When estimating his home run talent, Randal Grichuk ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Randal Grichuk has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (79% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.

,Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Randal Grichuk will have an advantage in today’s game.

,The Barrel% of Randal Grichuk has significantly improved, with an increase from 11.6% last year to 19.5% this season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the 4th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his batting average ability.

,Luis Arraez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 8th-best field in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average.

,The 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Oracle Park.

,Considering Noah Schultz’s large platoon split, Harrison Bader will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

,Harrison Bader will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

,Harrison Bader’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, going from 16.9% on the season to 21.7% in the last 14 days.

,Harrison Bader has been unlucky this year, putting up a .233 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .302 — a .069 gap.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Munetaka Murakami as baseball’s 3rd-best home run batter.

,Munetaka Murakami is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

,Munetaka Murakami pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 14.5°, Munetaka Murakami has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 28.5° angle in the last 7 days.

,Luis Arraez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,Luis Arraez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, rising from 17.2% on the season to 31.6% over the last week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run talent.

,Willy Adames will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Noah Schultz in today’s game… and moreover, Schultz has a large platoon split.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Willy Adames will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Willy Adames has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 9.5% seasonal rate to 20% in the last 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Casey Schmitt in the 79th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Casey Schmitt is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.

,Considering Noah Schultz’s large platoon split, Casey Schmitt will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Casey Schmitt will hold that advantage today.

,Andrew Benintendi pulls many of his flyballs (36.8% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Andrew Benintendi’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 19.8% to 23.2%.

,In the last two weeks, Andrew Benintendi’s 30.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 23.2%.

,In notching a 30.500 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Andrew Benintendi is ranked in the 90th percentile for power.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robbie Ray to throw 98 pitches in today’s outing (2nd-most of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,The 4th-weakest projected offense of the day in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the Chicago White Sox.

,It may be smart to expect worse numbers for the Chicago White Sox offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 4th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.

,Oracle Park ranks as the #29 stadium in the majors for walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Chase Meidroth is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

,Chase Meidroth will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Robbie Ray in today’s game.

,Chase Meidroth has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Extreme groundball bats like Chase Meidroth tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Robbie Ray.

,The #8 field in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

,When it comes to his home run ability, Rafael Devers ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Rafael Devers is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Rafael Devers will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,Miguel Vargas is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Miguel Vargas will have an edge in today’s game.

,Miguel Vargas has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 15.4% seasonal rate to 24.1% over the last two weeks.

,Derek Hill will hold the platoon advantage over Robbie Ray today.

,Extreme flyball batters like Derek Hill generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Robbie Ray.

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.350) suggests that Derek Hill has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .283 actual wOBA.

,Since the start of last season, Derek Hill’s 12.3% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 84th percentile among his peers.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,The San Francisco Giants projected offense grades out as the 5th-worst on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability.

,Noah Schultz’s 2509-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 91st percentile among all starting pitchers.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Robbie Ray in the 88th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.

,The Chicago White Sox (25.8% K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 2nd-most strikeout-prone set of batters of all teams on the slate.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Matt Chapman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.

,Because of Noah Schultz’s large platoon split, Matt Chapman will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Matt Chapman will hold that advantage today.

,Daniel Susac will have the handedness advantage against Noah Schultz in today’s game… and the cherry on top, Schultz has a large platoon split.

,Daniel Susac will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

,Daniel Susac has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 6.7% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last 7 days.

,Luisangel Acuna will have the handedness advantage against Robbie Ray today.

,Luisangel Acuna has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Extreme flyball hitters like Luisangel Acuna are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Robbie Ray.

,Luisangel Acuna has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 89-mph average to last year’s 85.2-mph figure.

,The San Francisco Giants have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Daniel Susac, Willy Adames, Rafael Devers).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Drew Romo is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

,Daniel Susac’s BABIP talent is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Munetaka Murakami in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Negatives with the San Francisco Giants Series Game 3 Game Today

The #2 venue in the league for suppressing home runs to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

,Among all stadiums, the tallest fence height (on average) are at Oracle Park.

,Oracle Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.

,This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

,Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Randal Grichuk in today’s game.

,Because of Noah Schultz’s large platoon split, Luis Arraez will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today’s game.

,In the last 14 days, Luis Arraez has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Luis Arraez’s true offensive talent to be a .305, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .031 gap between that figure and his actual .336 wOBA.

,Harrison Bader is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.

,The #6 venue in baseball for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

,Batting from the same side that Robbie Ray throws from, Munetaka Murakami faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

,When it comes to his home run ability, Luis Arraez ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Willy Adames is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Despite posting a .361 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Casey Schmitt has been very fortunate given the .045 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .316.

,Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

,It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Chris Guccione) in charge of the strike zone in today’s game.

,The Chicago White Sox have 6 batters in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage over Robbie Ray in today’s game.

,Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Robbie Ray (41.4% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 3 GB hitters in Chicago’s projected offense.

,When assessing his home run skill, Chase Meidroth ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,When it comes to plate discipline, Casey Schmitt’s talent is quite bad, putting up a 5.48 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 7th percentile.

,Noah Schultz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rafael Devers today… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Schultz’s large platoon split.

,Rafael Devers has shown bad plate discipline this year, ranking in the 15th percentile with a 4.27 K/BB rate.

,Typically, hitters like Miguel Vargas who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Robbie Ray.

,Derek Hill is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

,The #2 stadium in the majors for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

,Hitting from the same side that Robbie Ray throws from, Andrew Benintendi will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andrew Benintendi today.

,Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Noah Schultz is projected to throw 85 pitches in today’s matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 5th-least on the slate today.

,It may be wise to expect better numbers for the San Francisco Giants offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 4th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

,Drew Romo, the White Sox’s expected catcher in today’s game, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Matt Chapman’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 90.4-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 78.3-mph over the last 7 days.

,Daniel Susac is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luisangel Acuna in the 5th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

,Luisangel Acuna is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

,In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Casey Schmitt’s 16.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 21%.

,Because of his large platoon split, Noah Schultz will be at a disadvantage matching up with 6 hitters in the projected lineup of opposing handedness in this outing.

,Randal Grichuk has exhibited poor plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 14th percentile with a 4.26 K/BB rate.

,With a .223 batting average since the start of last season, Randal Grichuk is ranked in the 19th percentile.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Drew Romo ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Daniel Susac’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 84.5-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 79-mph in the past week.

,Willy Adames has notched a .224 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Posting a 6.22 K/BB rate this year, Willy Adames has shown poor plate discipline, grading out in the 4th percentile.

,The switch-hitting Drew Romo will bat from his weak side (0) today against Robbie Ray,Drew Romo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Harrison Bader has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 6.8% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last 7 days.

,Harrison Bader’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 92.3-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 88.7-mph over the last 14 days.

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Miguel Vargas in today’s matchup.

,Miguel Vargas has put up a .235 BABIP this year, grading out in the 13th percentile.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Luisangel Acuna ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luisangel Acuna in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Derek Hill in today’s game.

,Derek Hill’s quickness has decreased this year. His 30.15 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.99 ft/sec now.

,Chase Meidroth will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,In notching a .284 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Chase Meidroth is positioned in the 13th percentile for offensive skills.

,Matt Chapman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 15.2% to 8.9%.

,Over the past 7 days, Matt Chapman’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 8.9%.

,Munetaka Murakami will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Munetaka Murakami has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 21.4% seasonal rate has fallen to 16% in the last 14 days.

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