Mariners @ Royals Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positives for the Seattle Mariners Series Game 3 Game Today

Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to better offense.

,The weather forecast calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

,Michael Massey will have the handedness advantage over Bryan Woo in today’s matchup… and even better, Woo has a large platoon split.

,The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Massey has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

,Out of every team on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

,Maikel Garcia is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average ability.

,Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Cole Young will have the upper hand today.

,Compared to last year, Cole Young has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 39.2% to 45.1% this season.

,When it comes to his home run skill, Luke Raley ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Luke Raley is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

,Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Luke Raley will have the upper hand today.

,Carter Jensen is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Considering Bryan Woo’s large platoon split, Carter Jensen will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s game.

,Carter Jensen is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.

,Colt Emerson will have the handedness advantage against Seth Lugo today.

,In the past week, Colt Emerson’s swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 33.3% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jac Caglianone in the 84th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

,Jac Caglianone will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo in today’s matchup… and even better, Woo has a large platoon split.

,The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jac Caglianone has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

,Josh Naylor is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.

,Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Josh Naylor will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Josh Naylor’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Dominic Canzone will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Dominic Canzone’s launch angle this season (16°) is considerably higher than his 10.5° figure last year.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Isaac Collins will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Isaac Collins has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 9.6% seasonal rate to 16% in the past two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 9th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average talent.

,Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

,Julio Rodriguez has posted a .347 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 81st percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Julio Rodriguez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Kyle Isbel will have the handedness advantage against Bryan Woo in today’s matchup… and even more favorably, Woo has a large platoon split.

,The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Isbel has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the best park in baseball for walks.

,The Seattle Mariners have 6 batters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo today.

,Seth Lugo has utilized his curveball 12.1% less often this year (20.2%) than he did last season (32.3%).

,Seth Lugo has averaged 96.3 adjusted pitches per outing this year, placing in the 93rd percentile.

,Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

,Vinnie Pasquantino will hold the platoon advantage over Bryan Woo in today’s matchup… and even more favorably, Woo has a large platoon split.

,Vinnie Pasquantino has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Maikel Garcia will hold that advantage today.

,Maikel Garcia has compiled a .346 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 80th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Dominic Canzone ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,J.P. Crawford is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

,Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, J.P. Crawford will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Salvador Perez is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Seattle (#1-worst of all teams on the slate).

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.

,In the past 7 days, Randy Arozarena’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.7% up to 18.2%.

,The Kansas City Royals have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Mitch Garver (the Mariners’s expected catcher today) profiles as a weak pitch framer.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 88th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

,In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Cole Young ranks in the 83rd percentile with a 17.9° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in the league.

,Bobby Witt Jr. projects as the 5th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Bobby Witt Jr. will hold that advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Bryan Woo in the 79th percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.

,Bryan Woo was firing on all cylinders in his previous game started and put up 9 strikeouts.

,Recording 17.7 outs per GS this year on average, Bryan Woo ranks in the 85th percentile.

,Isaac Collins’s launch angle this year (17.8°) is a considerable increase over his 12.6° mark last year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,Michael Massey will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Salvador Perez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Luke Raley ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Kyle Isbel will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Negatives with the Kansas City Royals Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 7th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,Michael Massey is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Michael Massey has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 40% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 6th-worst field in MLB for left-handed home runs.

,Michael Massey pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.9% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Bryan Woo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Maikel Garcia in today’s game… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Woo’s large platoon split.

,Maikel Garcia hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 82nd percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 4th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Maikel Garcia’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 88.8-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 84.5-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 9°, Maikel Garcia has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.2°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Over the past two weeks, Maikel Garcia has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

,Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #23 ballpark in the league for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Bryan Woo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. today… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Woo’s large platoon split.

,Bobby Witt Jr. has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s deepest RF fences today.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Bobby Witt Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.6% down to 6.3%.

,Bobby Witt Jr.’s launch angle recently (-6.8° in the last week’s worth of games) is considerably lower than his 15.3° seasonal mark.

,Cole Young is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Cole Young pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 86th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the best among every team playing today.

,Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Cole Young in today’s matchup.

,When starting against a righty hurler this year, Luke Raley has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 40% of the time.

,In today’s matchup, Luke Raley is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.2% rate (78th percentile).

,Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luke Raley today.

,When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Carter Jensen has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 10% of the time.

,Kauffman Stadium has the deepest right field fences among all major league parks.

,Carter Jensen has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.6% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 7 days.

,Carter Jensen has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph dropping to 85.6-mph in the past week.

,Over the last week, Carter Jensen’s 22.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 39.4%.

,Colt Emerson is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Colt Emerson in today’s matchup.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Colt Emerson has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power).

,Jac Caglianone is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.

,Jac Caglianone hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 84th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 4th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,As it relates to plate discipline, Jac Caglianone’s ability is quite weak, sporting a 4.08 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 17th percentile.

,Ranking in the 17th percentile, Jac Caglianone sports a .230 BABIP since the start of last season.

,Luke Raley’s launch angle recently (4.3° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 14.4° seasonal angle.

,Josh Naylor pulls many of his flyballs (36.3% — 87th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s deepest RF fences today.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Josh Naylor in today’s game.

,In the last 7 days, Josh Naylor’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.4% down to 0%.

,Josh Naylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 91.5-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 79.8-mph in the past week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 5th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Mitch Garver is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.

,Hitting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Mitch Garver will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

,Mitch Garver pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.4% — 98th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s deepest LF fences today.

,Dominic Canzone is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

,45% of the time that Dominic Canzone has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pinch hit for.

,Isaac Collins is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

,The switch-hitting Isaac Collins will bat from his worse side (0) today against Bryan Woo… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Woo’s large platoon split.

,Isaac Collins pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 81st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Isaac Collins’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off recently, falling from 42.6% on the season to 28% in the last two weeks.

,Hitting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Julio Rodriguez meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Julio Rodriguez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 4th-deepest CF fences today.

,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Julio Rodriguez in today’s matchup.

,Julio Rodriguez’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 91.9-mph average last season has dropped to 89.6-mph.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Kyle Isbel ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Kyle Isbel is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Kyle Isbel has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 15% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

,John Bacon profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone today.

,Kauffman Stadium has the deepest LF fences in the majors.

,Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Seth Lugo will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,In his previous game started, Seth Lugo was firing on all cylinders and allowed 0 ER.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-worst venue in the league for strikeouts.

,Dominic Canzone will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 4th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.2% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Vinnie Pasquantino has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 8.8% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Vinnie Pasquantino’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.3%.

,Checking in at the 18th percentile, Vinnie Pasquantino sits with a .266 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 18th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

,Given Bryan Woo’s large platoon split, Salvador Perez will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish today.

,Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.6% — 89th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Salvador Perez has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 14.6% rate last season has dropped to 8.9% this year.

,Sporting a 4.74 K/BB rate this year, Salvador Perez has displayed poor plate discipline, checking in at the 11th percentile.

,In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Kyle Isbel’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 90 mph to 83.4 mph.

,J.P. Crawford has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for J.P. Crawford in today’s game.

,Placing in the 22nd percentile, J.P. Crawford sits with a .206 batting average this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 10th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Hitting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Randy Arozarena will be in a tough position in today’s game.

,Randy Arozarena will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Bryan Woo’s overall pitching talent grades out in the 94th percentile among all starting pitchers in the game right now.

,In his last GS, Bryan Woo was on point and gave up 2 ER.

,Bryan Woo’s slider rate has risen by 6.5% from last season to this one (20% to 26.5%) .

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Mitch Garver in today’s matchup.

,J.P. Crawford has performed at a clip of 9.5 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 15th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 13th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,Cole Young has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 6.8% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past 7 days.

,The Kansas City Royals have 6 batters in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage over Bryan Woo in this matchup, which is especially problematic given his large platoon split.

,In the past 7 days, Michael Massey’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.5% down to 0%.

,Randy Arozarena’s launch angle this season (6.6°) is considerably worse than his 13.4° angle last season.

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 17.8°, Isaac Collins has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.3°) over the last 14 days.

,In notching a .265 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Salvador Perez grades out in the 17th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Luke Raley’s true offensive talent to be a .327, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .043 deviation between that mark and his actual .370 wOBA.

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