White Sox @ D-Backs Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positives for the Chicago White Sox Series Game 3 Game Today

Chase Field profiles as the #2 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.

,Hitting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Alek Thomas will have an edge today.

,Alek Thomas will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

,Alek Thomas’s launch angle this year (10.2°) is a considerable increase over his 4.3° mark last year.

,Colson Montgomery is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

,Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

,Batting from the opposite that Mike Soroka throws from, Colson Montgomery will have the upper hand today.

,Ildemaro Vargas will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

,Ildemaro Vargas’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 36% to 57.4%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in MLB for RHB batting average.

,When it comes to his home run talent, Colson Montgomery ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Mike Soroka throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,The Arizona Diamondbacks don’t have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Andrew Benintendi is certain to never face a bullpen mismatch the entire game.

,Munetaka Murakami projects as the 2nd-best home run batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Munetaka Murakami is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

,Nolan Arenado will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,Nolan Arenado’s launch angle this year (23.6°) is significantly higher than his 19.1° angle last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.

,Batting from the opposite that Mike Soroka throws from, Munetaka Murakami will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Miguel Vargas has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94-mph average to last season’s 91.8-mph figure.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

,Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

,As it relates to his home run skill, Everson Pereira ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Everson Pereira is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Ketel Marte projects as the 12th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Ketel Marte is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Chase Meidroth has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.7-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 89.4-mph figure.

,Chase Meidroth’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 45.4% to 50.9%.

,Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Geraldo Perdomo will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Davis Martin in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Samuel Antonacci in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

,Samuel Antonacci will hold the platoon advantage against Mike Soroka in today’s matchup.

,Jose Fernandez’s BABIP talent is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jose Fernandez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Jose Fernandez has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph to 96.8-mph over the past week.

,Corbin Carroll will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Davis Martin in today’s matchup.

,When it comes to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Michael Soroka in the 90th percentile among all starting pitchers in MLB.

,The Chicago White Sox (24.1% K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the most strikeout-heavy group of hitters of all teams on the slate today.

,It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Cory Blaser) calling pitches today.

,Home field advantage generally improves pitcher stats in all categories, and Michael Soroka will hold that advantage today.

,In his last GS, Michael Soroka was in good form and accumulated 10 strikeouts.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Davis Martin’s overall pitching talent ranks in the 25th percentile out of all SPs in baseball currently.

,The Arizona Diamondbacks have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games,Edgar Quero, the White Sox’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, grades out as a horrible pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Davis Martin in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Michael Soroka in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.

,The Chicago White Sox projected offense ranks as the 5th-weakest of all teams today in terms of overall hitting skill.

,Chase Meidroth’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 9.9% to 14%.

,Over the last week, Chase Meidroth’s 21.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14%.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Ketel Marte will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Davis Martin has tallied 16.8 outs per start since the start of last season, checking in at the 76th percentile.

,Samuel Antonacci is certain to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen all game considering none of the available options for the Arizona Diamondbacks share his handedness.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nolan Arenado’s true offensive skill to be a .297, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .060 deviation between that figure and his actual .237 wOBA.

,Davis Martin has relied on his slider 8.1% more often this season (12.6%) than he did last season (4.5%).

,Out of all starters, Davis Martin’s fastball spin rate of 2409.2 rpm is in the 75th percentile since the start of last season.

,Considering the 0.88 gap between Davis Martin’s 6.60 K/9 and his 7.48 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in baseball since the start of last season when it comes to strikeouts and should perform better going forward.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

,Everson Pereira has been hot recently, tallying a .425 wOBA over the past 14 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Everson Pereira in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,Ildemaro Vargas has compiled a .442 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, checking in at the 83rd percentile.

,In the past 7 days, Geraldo Perdomo’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 9.8%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Negatives with the Arizona Diamondbacks Series Game 3 Game Today

Alek Thomas is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,The 3rd-deepest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Chase Field.

,Chase Field has the 10th-highest average fence height in Major League Baseball.

,Over the past 14 days, Alek Thomas’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal mark of 91.4 mph to 80.1 mph.

,Alek Thomas’s launch angle of late (0.9° over the last two weeks) is significantly worse than his 10.2° seasonal figure.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colson Montgomery in the 13th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

,In today’s matchup, Colson Montgomery is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 40.4% rate (98th percentile).

,Among every team today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks.

,Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Colson Montgomery in today’s game.

,Colson Montgomery has posted a .233 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ildemaro Vargas ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Ildemaro Vargas is projected to hit 8th in the lineup today.

,As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Ildemaro Vargas will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Davis Martin in today’s game.

,Ildemaro Vargas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.2% — 95th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Ildemaro Vargas has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 6.4% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last 7 days.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Edgar Quero ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Edgar Quero is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,The switch-hitting Edgar Quero will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Mike Soroka,Mike Soroka will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miguel Vargas in today’s matchup.

,Miguel Vargas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Miguel Vargas in today’s game.

,Chase Field projects as the #26 ballpark in the league for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (36.2) implies that Colson Montgomery has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his 41.9 actual HR/600.

,Andrew Benintendi pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 86th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Andrew Benintendi will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,In today’s game, Munetaka Murakami is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.8% rate (91st percentile).

,Munetaka Murakami will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,Despite posting a .384 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Munetaka Murakami has been very fortunate given the .041 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .343.

,Nolan Arenado’s BABIP skill is projected in the 3rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Nolan Arenado has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (50% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Davis Martin will have the handedness advantage against Nolan Arenado in today’s game.

,Corbin Carroll pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 82nd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.

,Corbin Carroll’s launch angle this season (10.3°) is quite a bit lower than his 16.8° mark last year.

,Corbin Carroll has been lucky this year, compiling a .414 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .357 — a .057 difference.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Munetaka Murakami in the 4th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

,Nolan Arenado’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 86.8-mph EV last year has fallen to 83-mph.

,Chase Field profiles as the #26 park in the league for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Davis Martin will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today’s matchup.

,Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 109.1 mph (an advanced standard to measure power), ranking in the 16th percentile.

,Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has notched a .294 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 25th percentile.

,Placing in the 2nd percentile, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. sits with a .239 BABIP since the start of last season.

,Mike Soroka will have the handedness advantage over Everson Pereira in today’s game.

,Everson Pereira hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 84th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

,Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Everson Pereira today.

,The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Davis Martin,Ketel Marte pulls many of his flyballs (38.1% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Ketel Marte’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 92.1-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 81.1-mph over the past 7 days.

,Ketel Marte’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, falling from 10.8% on the season to 0% in the last week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 3rd percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,Chase Meidroth is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

,Mike Soroka will hold the platoon advantage over Chase Meidroth in today’s matchup.

,Chase Meidroth has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,When estimating his home run talent, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Geraldo Perdomo’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 87.2-mph seasonal average has lowered to 76.3-mph in the last two weeks.

,From last year to this one, Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 20.2% to 9.8%.

,Samuel Antonacci is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.

,Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Samuel Antonacci in today’s matchup.

,Samuel Antonacci has been cold recently, putting up a .230 wOBA in the last week’s worth of games.

,Jose Fernandez is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Hitting from the same side that Davis Martin throws from, Jose Fernandez will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

,Jose Fernandez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 6.8% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

,The #8 venue in MLB for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

,The Chicago White Sox have 6 bats in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Soroka in this matchup.

,The Arizona Diamondbacks projected lineup profiles as the 4th-weakest on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the worst venue in Major League Baseball for home runs.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jose Fernandez ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 21st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,As it relates to his batting average, Andrew Benintendi has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His .235 BA has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .220.

,Miguel Vargas’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 42.3% to 32.8%.

,The Chicago White Sox have done a favorable job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their highest exit velocity balls. Their 16.1° figure is among the highest in the league since the start of last season (#2 overall).

,When assessing his home run ability, Ildemaro Vargas ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Utilizing Statcast metrics, Alek Thomas ranks in the 10th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .278.

,Jose Fernandez’s launch angle in recent games (-0.3° over the last week) is a considerable dropoff from his 13° seasonal mark.

,When estimating his home run talent, Samuel Antonacci ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The Arizona Diamondbacks (19.7 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the least strikeout-prone group of batters of all teams today.

,Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Edgar Quero today.

,This season, there has been a decline in Everson Pereira’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.31 ft/sec last year to 26.88 ft/sec currently.

,Geraldo Perdomo’s BABIP talent is projected in the 21st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Chase Meidroth will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

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