Twins vs Reds match player stats | 2025 Tuesday, June 17th

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Twins vs Reds match player stats | 2025 Tuesday, June 17th

MIN @ CIN

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Matchup Details

Minnesota Twins at Cincinnati Reds

Todays Game is on Tuesday, June 17th
17/06/25 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Twins vs Reds Matchup Today

When estimating his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Great American Ball Park has the 6th-smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for home runs.

Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate today at 79%.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his strong side against David Festa in this game.

The #2 venue in MLB for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Tallying 17.1 outs per start this year on average, Andrew Abbott falls in the 75th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Jose Trevino (the Reds’s expected catcher today) grades out as an elite pitch framer.

Andrew Abbott has gone to his four-seamer 6% less often this year (47.5%) than he did last year (53.5%).

With a 3.41 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that is concerned with the aspects of pitching most within the pitcher’s control), Andrew Abbott falls in the 78th percentile.

Brooks Lee pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Ryan Jeffers, the Twins’s expected catcher today, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

David Festa is an extreme flyball pitcher (33.9% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #1 HR venue among all major league parks today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts David Festa in the 87th percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.

The Cincinnati Reds have 4 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Will Benson, Tyler Stephenson, Elly De La Cruz, Matt McLain).

David Festa has posted a 13.1% Swinging Strike rate since the start of last season, grading out in the 88th percentile.

Ranking in the 87th percentile, David Festa has posted a 27% Strikeout% since the start of last season.

Christian Vazquez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Christian Vazquez will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Tyler Stephenson has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (56% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Tyler Stephenson has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Willi Castro pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Carlos Correa is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Carlos Correa will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Gavin Lux is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Gavin Lux will have the handedness advantage against David Festa in today’s game.

Gavin Lux will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Batting from the opposite that David Festa throws from, Jake Fraley will have an edge in today’s game.

Jake Fraley pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jake Fraley will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Ty France’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ty France is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.

Ty France will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Abbott in today’s matchup.

Harrison Bader will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Abbott today.

Harrison Bader pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.8% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Byron Buxton projects as the 15th-best home run batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Byron Buxton is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Byron Buxton will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Byron Buxton pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.1% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Byron Buxton ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 81st percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Ryan Jeffers will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Abbott today.

TJ Friedl is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that David Festa throws from, TJ Friedl will have an edge today.

TJ Friedl pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.4% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and TJ Friedl will hold that advantage in today’s game.

When it comes to his home run ability, Will Benson ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Will Benson is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Hitting from the opposite that David Festa throws from, Will Benson will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Will Benson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Will Benson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Spencer Steer will hold that advantage in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Matt McLain ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Matt McLain has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Matt McLain will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Matt Wallner projects as the 10th-best home run hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Matt Wallner pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Negative Match Player Stats with Twins vs Reds

The #1 venue in the league for boosting home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

Great American Ball Park has the 3rd-shallowest left field fences in MLB.

The Minnesota Twins have 8 hitters in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Abbott in today’s game.

Andrew Abbott is an extreme flyball pitcher (41.7% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #1 HR venue among all stadiums today.

Brooks Lee’s BABIP ability is projected in the 19th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brooks Lee is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Brooks Lee will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against Andrew Abbott today.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brooks Lee today.

Out of all SPs, David Festa’s fastball spin rate of 2433 rpm is in the 84th percentile this year.

Compared to the average starting pitcher, David Festa has been granted less leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying an -15.4 fewer adjusted pitches each start.

David Festa has relied on his slider 5.5% less often this year (26.4%) than he did last year (31.9%).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Vazquez in the 9th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Christian Vazquez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

David Festa will have the handedness advantage over Tyler Stephenson in today’s game.

Willi Castro is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Willi Castro will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Andrew Abbott today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Willi Castro in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Carlos Correa in today’s matchup.

Jake Fraley is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.

When it comes to his home run ability, Jake Fraley ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ty France will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Harrison Bader is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Harrison Bader in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball batters like Byron Buxton tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Andrew Abbott.

Byron Buxton will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ryan Jeffers today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 19th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

When it comes to his home run skill, TJ Friedl ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects TJ Friedl in the 10th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 15th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Spencer Steer is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

David Festa will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Steer today.

Matt McLain has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (54% of the time), but he is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that David Festa throws from, Matt McLain will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Matt Wallner is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Andrew Abbott will hold the platoon advantage over Matt Wallner in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball hitters like Matt Wallner usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Andrew Abbott.

Matt Wallner will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Latest Cincinnati Reds Match Player Stats

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