
MIN @ CLE






Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Wednesday, September 18th
18/09/24 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Twins vs Guardians Series Game 3 Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
The #6 stadium in MLB for boosting base hits to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.
Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to more offense.
Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (41.7% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Angel Martinez is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.
Angel Martinez pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today.
When it comes to his home run skill, Royce Lewis ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Royce Lewis is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.
Progressive Field ranks as the #6 stadium in MLB for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Royce Lewis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.4% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Josh Naylor is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.
Josh Naylor will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Byron Buxton in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Byron Buxton is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.
Byron Buxton pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.5% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Byron Buxton projects as the 11th-best home run batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Byron Buxton has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs this year; his 29.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is considerably lower than his 36.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Bailey Ober in the 86th percentile among all starters in the majors.
Given that flyball pitchers hold a significant edge over flyball batters, Bailey Ober and his 41.8% underlying FB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a strong spot in today’s game going up against 3 opposing FB batters.
This year, Bailey Ober has added a new pitch to his arsenal (a cut-fastball), throwing it on 20.6% of his pitches.
Bailey Ober has posted a 14% Swinging Strike% this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile.
Brayan Rocchio will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Brayan Rocchio has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 4.4% seasonal rate to 9.5% in the last two weeks.
In the last two weeks, Brayan Rocchio’s 38.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.1%.
Carlos Santana is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
Carlos Santana pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.1% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Carlos Santana has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.4-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.1-mph average.
Kyle Manzardo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Kyle Manzardo will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Matt Wallner projects as the 17th-best home run hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Matt Wallner is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Matt Wallner will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
Andres Gimenez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Andres Gimenez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober in today’s matchup.
Hitters such as Andres Gimenez with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bailey Ober who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Will Brennan will have an advantage in today’s game.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Trevor Larnach will have an advantage today.
Trevor Larnach has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.3-mph average to last year’s 90.1-mph figure.
Will Brennan will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.
Will Brennan’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, going from 11.6% on the season to 25% in the last 7 days.
When it comes to his BABIP skill, Edouard Julien is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Edouard Julien will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Edouard Julien has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Lane Thomas ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Lane Thomas is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.
Lane Thomas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.
There has been a significant improvement in Carlos Santana’s launch angle from last season’s 12.5° to 15.8° this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tanner Bibee in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent.
Tanner Bibee has averaged 92 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, ranking in the 75th percentile.
Bo Naylor, the Guardians’s expected catcher in today’s game, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Royce Lewis’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 12.3% to 22.2%.
Over the last two weeks, Edouard Julien’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.8-mph over the course of the season to 97-mph lately.
Edouard Julien’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, rising from 18.1% on the season to 27.3% over the last two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Tanner Bibee in the 88th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.
The Minnesota Twins have 4 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Byron Buxton, Matt Wallner, Edouard Julien, Trevor Larnach).
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Andres Gimenez will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Andres Gimenez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.5-mph average over the past week to his seasonal EV of 88.7-mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Willi Castro pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest RF fences today.
Compared to last year, Willi Castro has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 41.9% to 48.2% this season.
Matt Wallner pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jose Ramirez will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Trevor Larnach has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 104.4-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 93.1-mph.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Angel Martinez will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Bailey Ober in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.
Tallying 17.3 outs per outing this year on average, Bailey Ober checks in at the 81st percentile.
Lane Thomas will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Willi Castro has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.4-mph to 92.9-mph over the past 7 days.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.4) implies that Willi Castro has had some very poor luck this year with his 11.2 actual HR/600.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Josh Naylor will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Ranking in the 88th percentile for power, Josh Naylor has paced 28.8 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.
Negative Match Player Stats with Twins vs Guardians Series Game 3
The league’s 4th-tallest average fence height can be found at Progressive Field.
The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.9-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for mound aces.
Extreme groundball bats like Jose Ramirez tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Bailey Ober.
Jose Ramirez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 90.7-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 85.6-mph in the past 14 days.
Over the last 14 days, Jose Ramirez’s 9.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.6%.
As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Angel Martinez will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Bailey Ober in today’s matchup.
Angel Martinez has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84.4-mph dropping to 80.8-mph over the past week.
In the last 7 days, Angel Martinez’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.3%.
Angel Martinez has been cold in recent games, putting up a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) in the past week.
Tanner Bibee will hold the platoon advantage against Royce Lewis in today’s game.
Out of every team on the slate today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Cleveland Guardians.
Royce Lewis will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
The 7th-deepest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Progressive Field.
Over the past two weeks, Josh Naylor’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.4% down to 0%.
In the last 14 days, Josh Naylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal figure of 93.6 mph to 87.7 mph.
Tanner Bibee will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Byron Buxton in today’s matchup.
Byron Buxton will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Byron Buxton’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (17.4°) is significantly lower than his 21.4° mark last year.
The #6 park in the league for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.
The Cleveland Guardians (19.5 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 3rd-least strikeout-prone group of hitters of the day.
Chad Fairchild projects as a Hitters Umpire and is likely to be umping in today’s game.
With 8 bats who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Bailey Ober will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.
Bailey Ober will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
When assessing his home run ability, Brayan Rocchio ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brayan Rocchio is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.
When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Brayan Rocchio has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 11% of the time.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 6th-worst field in MLB for LHB home runs.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Santana in the 1st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
The switch-hitting Carlos Santana will bat from his bad side (0) today against Tanner Bibee, Carlos Santana will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.
15% of the time that Kyle Manzardo has started against a northpaw this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.
This year, Matt Wallner has been pinch hit for in 25% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.
Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Matt Wallner in today’s matchup.
Andres Gimenez’s launch angle this season (9.1°) is significantly lower than his 12.9° angle last season.
Sporting a 7.300 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Andres Gimenez grades out in the 8th percentile for power.
Royce Lewis’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 87.2-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 83.9-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Will Brennan is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.
29% of the time that Will Brennan has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.
Today, Will Brennan is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.4% rate (96th percentile).
Will Brennan has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 5% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last two weeks.
41% of the time that Trevor Larnach has started against a northpaw this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.
When estimating his home run skill, Will Brennan ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Edouard Julien is penciled in 9th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
Edouard Julien has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 34% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Angel Martinez in the 17th percentile when assessing his home run ability.
Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Edouard Julien in today’s game.
Batting from the same side that Bailey Ober throws from, Lane Thomas will have a disadvantage in today’s game.
Lane Thomas’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 94.8-mph EV last year has dropped to 89.2-mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 6th-best stadium in MLB for walks.
The shallowest left field dimensions among all parks are found in Progressive Field.
Over his previous 3 games started, Tanner Bibee has seen a substantial decline in his fastball spin rate: from 2367 rpm over the whole season to 2316 rpm recently.
Rating 3rd-steepest in the game this year, Minnesota Twins batters collectively have put up a 14.8° launch angle (a reliable stat to study the ability to lift the ball for power).
Kyle Manzardo’s BABIP skill is projected in the 12th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
By putting up a .274 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Andres Gimenez is positioned in the 10th percentile.
Andres Gimenez has displayed weak plate discipline this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile with a 3.74 K/BB rate.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Brayan Rocchio ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Josh Naylor’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, decreasing from 14.2% on the season to 5.9% in the last two weeks.
Tanner Bibee has been lucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, notching a 9.84 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.60 — a 0.25 K/9 difference.
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Trevor Larnach in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 16th percentile when estimating his home run skill.
Willi Castro is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.
Willi Castro will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
Jose Ramirez has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 8.1% seasonal rate has dropped to 2.3% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Kyle Manzardo hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 7th-deepest CF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 19th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
From last season to this one, Jose Ramirez’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 44.3% to 38.9%.
In the last week, Willi Castro’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.1% down to 0%.
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