Tigers @ Royals Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positives for the Detroit Tigers Game Today

Kauffman Stadium projects as the #7 park in the game for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to more offense.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 82°.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Wenceel Perez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Stephen Kolek today.

Wenceel Perez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 14.1% to 20.5%.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Colt Keith ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Colt Keith is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Colt Keith will have the handedness advantage over Stephen Kolek today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Stephen Kolek will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty base hits.

Javier Baez has notched a .326 BABIP this year, placing in the 82nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Salvador Perez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

Among all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Salvador Perez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Stephen Kolek throws from, Zach McKinstry will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Zach McKinstry’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, going from 16.2% on the season to 24.3% in the last two weeks.

Zach McKinstry’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 44.5% to 49.8%.

Hitting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Adam Frazier will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Adam Frazier will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Adam Frazier’s launch angle recently (33.7° in the past week’s worth of games) is significantly better than his 14.4° seasonal angle.

When it comes to his home run talent, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mike Yastrzemski is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have an advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jack Flaherty in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching skills.

Jack Flaherty has averaged 93.9 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, checking in at the 86th percentile.

In his last GS, Jack Flaherty performed well and conceded 2 ER.

Jack Flaherty has had some very poor luck with his ERA this year; his 4.87 figure is inflated compared to his 3.97 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

When it comes to his strikeout skill, Jack Flaherty projects as the 17th-best starter in MLB currently, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jack Flaherty has recorded a 12.1% Swinging Strike rate this year, placing in the 81st percentile.

Jack Flaherty has notched a 29.1% K% this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Gleyber Torres is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

Gleyber Torres has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 92.8-mph average to last year’s 90-mph figure.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Gleyber Torres ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jonathan India ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jonathan India will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

There has been a significant improvement in Jonathan India’s launch angle from last season’s 13.3° to 16.8° this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Spencer Torkelson is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.

Extreme groundball batters like Spencer Torkelson are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Stephen Kolek.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

When assessing his BABIP skill, Riley Greene is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Riley Greene is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Stephen Kolek throws from, Riley Greene will have an edge in today’s matchup.

When estimating his home run ability, Riley Greene ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Dillon Dingler’s BABIP ability is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In the last two weeks, Dillon Dingler’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.9-mph over the course of the season to 96.5-mph of late.

Dillon Dingler’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 51.1% on the season to 86.7% over the past week.

Hitting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Kyle Isbel will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Kyle Isbel will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

When assessing his batting average talent, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 9th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.

Bobby Witt Jr. will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Maikel Garcia is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Maikel Garcia will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Maikel Garcia’s launch angle this season (9.9°) is considerably higher than his 6.2° mark last year.

Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.

Vinnie Pasquantino will hold the platoon advantage over Jack Flaherty today.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Michael Massey will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Michael Massey will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Michael Massey’s launch angle this season (22.8°) is significantly higher than his 16.7° figure last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Kerry Carpenter is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.

Batting from the opposite that Stephen Kolek throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have an edge in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Negatives with the Kansas City Royals Game Today

Wenceel Perez is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Wenceel Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Wenceel Perez in today’s game.

In the past 14 days, Wenceel Perez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.1% down to 2.7%.

In the last week’s worth of games, Wenceel Perez’s 5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 20.5%.

Kauffman Stadium projects as the #29 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Colt Keith has been pulled from the game early 33% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

Colt Keith has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences today.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Colt Keith in today’s game.

Colt Keith’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 91.9-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 89.8-mph in the past week.

When it comes to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Stephen Kolek in the 13th percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Stephen Kolek to throw 84 pitches today (7th-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Out of all starting pitchers, Stephen Kolek’s fastball spin rate of 2192 rpm ranks in the 25th percentile this year.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Javier Baez ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Javier Baez is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Kauffman Stadium has the 2nd-largest outfield in the majors — generally bad for HRs.

Hitting from the same side that Stephen Kolek throws from, Javier Baez will be at a disadvantage today.

Typically, bats like Javier Baez who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Stephen Kolek.

The #1 venue in the league for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.

Hitting from the same side that Jack Flaherty throws from, Salvador Perez will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Salvador Perez pulls many of his flyballs (36.9% — 94th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Salvador Perez has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph dropping to 82.4-mph over the past 7 days.

In terms of plate discipline, Salvador Perez’s skill is quite weak, sporting a 4.69 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 10th percentile.

Placing in the 19th percentile, Salvador Perez has notched a .267 BABIP this year.

Zach McKinstry is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

This year, Zach McKinstry has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 12% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

The deepest right field fences in MLB are found in Kauffman Stadium.

Zach McKinstry will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Zach McKinstry’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 92.7-mph mark last season has lowered to 89.4-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Frazier in the 3rd percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Adam Frazier is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Adam Frazier’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 87.7-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 82.2-mph in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Frazier in the 13th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Despite posting a .302 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Adam Frazier has been very fortunate given the .027 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .275.

Mike Yastrzemski has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 38% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

Mike Yastrzemski pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 11th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Mike Yastrzemski has notched a .230 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

It may be smart to expect stronger performance for the Kansas City Royals offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 7th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

The #1 venue in the game for boosting walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.

Kansas City’s 91.3-mph exit velocity on flyballs ranks them as the #30 squad in the game this year by this metric.

The Kansas City Royals (19.3 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 2nd-least strikeout-heavy set of batters on the slate today.

Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jack Flaherty in today’s game.

Jack Flaherty’s fastball velocity has decreased 1.1 mph this year (92.2 mph) below where it was last season (93.3 mph).

Stephen Kolek will have the handedness advantage over Gleyber Torres in today’s game.

Gleyber Torres has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s deepest RF fences today.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gleyber Torres in today’s matchup.

Gleyber Torres has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90-mph dropping to 84.6-mph in the past 7 days.

Over the last two weeks, Gleyber Torres’s 25.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 45.2%.

Jonathan India is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Hitting from the same side that Jack Flaherty throws from, Jonathan India will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Jonathan India’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 88-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 83.6-mph in the last 7 days.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Jonathan India’s 26.9% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.4%.

Hitting from the same side that Stephen Kolek throws from, Spencer Torkelson meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.7% — 96th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Spencer Torkelson in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Spencer Torkelson’s true offensive talent to be a .329, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .016 deviation between that figure and his actual .345 wOBA.

Using Statcast data, Spencer Torkelson is in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .229.

Riley Greene has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 4th-deepest LF fences today.

Riley Greene will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Riley Greene has been lucky this year. His .356 figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .344.

Dillon Dingler is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.

Stephen Kolek will have the handedness advantage against Dillon Dingler today.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Dillon Dingler today.

In the past week, Dillon Dingler’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 14th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Kyle Isbel is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.

Kyle Isbel’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 90-mph EV last year has dropped to 85.8-mph.

Kyle Isbel’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (-0.1°) is considerably lower than his 3.5° mark last year.

Batting from the same side that Jack Flaherty throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Bobby Witt Jr. has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s deepest RF fences today.

Over the last week, Bobby Witt Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.6% down to 4.5%.

In the past week’s worth of games, Bobby Witt Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 94.2 mph to 87.4 mph.

Bobby Witt Jr.’s launch angle recently (1.4° in the past week) is a considerable dropoff from his 14.4° seasonal figure.

Hitting from the same side that Jack Flaherty throws from, Maikel Garcia will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Maikel Garcia has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s deepest RF fences today.

Maikel Garcia’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 90.1-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 87.5-mph in the last two weeks.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 9.9°, Maikel Garcia has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.7°) over the last two weeks.

Despite posting a .356 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Maikel Garcia has experienced some positive variance given the .035 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .321.

When it comes to his home run talent, Maikel Garcia ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 9th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Vinnie Pasquantino pulls many of his flyballs (36.8% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Vinnie Pasquantino’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off of late, decreasing from 41.2% on the season to 29.2% in the last 7 days.

Vinnie Pasquantino has put up a .265 BABIP this year, placing in the 17th percentile.

Vinnie Pasquantino’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, falling from 16.7% on the season to 8.3% in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 6th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Michael Massey is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.

Michael Massey pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Michael Massey’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 89.2-mph figure last season has dropped to 87.2-mph.

Michael Massey has recorded a .199 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Michael Massey has notched a .224 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 8th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

31% of the time that Kerry Carpenter has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

In today’s game, Kerry Carpenter is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.5% rate (93rd percentile).

Kerry Carpenter will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Kerry Carpenter has displayed bad plate discipline this year, checking in at the 2nd percentile with a 6.56 K/BB rate.

Over the past 14 days, Kerry Carpenter’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.8% down to 2.4%.

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