Todays Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Kansas City at Cincinnati Matchup Today

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of the day.

Hitting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Noelvi Marte has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.5-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 87-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Noelvi Marte’s true offensive skill to be a .292, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .066 difference between that figure and his actual .226 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 92nd percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Salvador Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Out of every team playing today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Nick Martinez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Collectively, Kansas City Royals hitters have not performed well when assessing hitting balls in the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (between -4° and 26°), rating 3rd-worst in baseball.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jonathan India ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Jonathan India pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jonathan India will hold that advantage today.

T.J. Friedl is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

T.J. Friedl will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen today.

T.J. Friedl pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.4% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among every team today.

Hitting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Kyle Isbel will have an edge today.

In the last week, Kyle Isbel’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.6-mph over the course of the season to 103.2-mph of late.

Cincinnati’s 87.7-mph average exit velocity this year is among the worst in the majors: #30 overall.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Spencer Steer ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Spencer Steer is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 5th-most strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Cincinnati Reds with a 25% underlying K%.

Jeimer Candelario pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.8% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Jeimer Candelario will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Jeimer Candelario has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 8.3% seasonal rate to 13.3% in the last two weeks.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 11th-best batter in baseball.

Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Bobby Witt Jr. has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Bobby Witt Jr. has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.9-mph average to last season’s 90.7-mph EV.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Tyler Stephenson ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Tyler Stephenson has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Jeimer Candelario has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 95.9-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 92.1-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 87th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Hitting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, MJ Melendez will have an edge in today’s game.

MJ Melendez pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

MJ Melendez has been unlucky this year, compiling a .286 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .032 difference.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Michael Lorenzen in today’s matchup.

Elly De La Cruz has big-time HR ability (88th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (31.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Michael Lorenzen doesn’t generate many whiffs (7th percentile K%) — great news for De La Cruz.

As it relates to his batting average talent, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in MLB when estimating his BABIP talent.

Salvador Perez’s launch angle this year (19°) is considerably better than his 15.3° mark last season.

Hunter Renfroe is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Hunter Renfroe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Hunter Renfroe has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96.4-mph average over the past week to his seasonal EV of 92-mph.

Batting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Jake Fraley will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Jake Fraley pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Jake Fraley will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

When estimating his home run skill, Hunter Renfroe ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Spencer Steer will hold that advantage today.

T.J. Friedl will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, MJ Melendez ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Friday player match stat slumps with Royals vs Reds Matchup

Vinnie Pasquantino will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

In the past week’s worth of games, Vinnie Pasquantino’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 92.5 mph to 83.5 mph.

Over the past week, Vinnie Pasquantino’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.4%.

Placing in the 9th percentile, Vinnie Pasquantino has notched a .251 BABIP this year.

Noelvi Marte is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today.

Michael Lorenzen will have the handedness advantage over Noelvi Marte today.

In today’s matchup, Noelvi Marte is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.2% rate (80th percentile).

Noelvi Marte has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 5.6% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past week.

In the past week’s worth of games, Noelvi Marte’s 6.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.2%.

Hitting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, Salvador Perez will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Salvador Perez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Salvador Perez’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 90.9-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 84.6-mph over the last week.

In terms of his batting average, Salvador Perez has had positive variance on his side this year. His .280 figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .255.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Martinez to throw 85 pitches in today’s game (14th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Kansas City’s 89.4-mph average exit velocity this year ranks among the best in the game: #4 overall.

Batting from the same side that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Jonathan India will have a tough challenge today.

Jonathan India’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 92.4-mph average last season has dropped off to 89.3-mph.

Ranking in the 17th percentile for power, Jonathan India has paced 10.2 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects T.J. Friedl in the 8th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

T.J. Friedl’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined recently, going from 40.5% on the season to 20% in the past 7 days.

In terms of his home runs, T.J. Friedl has had some very good luck this year. His 23.3 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 13.1.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 24th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Kyle Isbel is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

This year, Kyle Isbel has been pulled from the game early in 18% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

Kyle Isbel will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Kyle Isbel’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (3.1°) is considerably lower than his 7° mark last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Lorenzen to throw 85 pitches in this game (13th-most of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Michael Lorenzen will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Ranking highest in MLB this year, Cincinnati Reds bats collectively have put up a 16.3° launch angle on their hardest-hit balls (an advanced stat to measure power ability).

Michael Lorenzen will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Steer today.

Spencer Steer’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 87.9-mph seasonal average has lowered to 82.8-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Over the past 14 days, Spencer Steer’s 24.2% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.5%.

As it relates to his home runs, Spencer Steer has been lucky this year. His 22.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 19.7.

In notching a .264 BABIP this year, Spencer Steer grades out in the 19th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Michael Lorenzen in the 22nd percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.

Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 12°, Jeimer Candelario has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.1°) over the past two weeks.

In terms of his home runs, Jeimer Candelario has had positive variance on his side this year. His 25.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 22.4.

Jeimer Candelario has displayed weak plate discipline this year, checking in at the 19th percentile with a 3.95 K/BB rate.

Checking in at the 13th percentile, Jeimer Candelario sits with a .257 BABIP this year.

Nick Martinez will hold the platoon advantage over Bobby Witt Jr. in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bobby Witt Jr. in today’s game.

Bobby Witt Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 94.1-mph seasonal average has fallen to 91.1-mph in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Bobby Witt Jr.’s true offensive skill to be a .374, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .044 gap between that mark and his actual .418 wOBA.

Michael Lorenzen will have the handedness advantage over Tyler Stephenson in today’s matchup.

Tyler Stephenson’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 48.3% to 40.7%.

Tyler Stephenson has posted a .260 BABIP this year, placing in the 17th percentile.

MJ Melendez is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, MJ Melendez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 17% of the time.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for MJ Melendez in today’s game.

MJ Melendez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 8.6% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last two weeks.

MJ Melendez’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 93.2-mph EV last year has fallen off to 90.6-mph.

Elly De La Cruz has been lucky this year, posting a .360 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .332 — a .028 deviation.

MJ Melendez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 93-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 76.7-mph over the past 7 days.

Over the last week, Tyler Stephenson’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 93.5 mph to 88.8 mph.

Tyler Stephenson has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 24.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is considerably higher than his 19.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In the last 14 days, Kyle Isbel’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 10%.

Despite posting a .346 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Salvador Perez has been lucky given the .024 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .322.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Renfroe in the 4th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Nick Martinez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Renfroe today.

Hunter Renfroe will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Hunter Renfroe has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 6.1% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past two weeks.

Over the past week, Hunter Renfroe’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.1%.

Jake Fraley has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (67% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Jake Fraley has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 13% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

In the past 7 days, Jake Fraley’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal mark of 89.7 mph to 87.2 mph.

Jake Fraley’s launch angle recently (0.2° over the last two weeks) is a considerable dropoff from his 10.9° seasonal angle.

Jake Fraley’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 46.2% to 40.4%.

Vinnie Pasquantino’s launch angle in recent games (9.3° over the last two weeks) is a significant dropoff from his 15.7° seasonal figure.

Hunter Renfroe has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .304 mark is inflated compared to his .290 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his home run talent, Jake Fraley ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake Fraley’s launch angle this year (10.9°) is a significant dropoff from his 16.3° angle last year.