Todays Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Toronto at Chicago Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Ian Happ is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.

The weather report predicts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The switch-hitting Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Yariel Rodriguez.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Dansby Swanson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 16.6% on the season to 35.7% in the last week’s worth of games.

When estimating his home run skill, Michael Busch ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Michael Busch is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Michael Busch will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. projects as the 7th-best hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s 18.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.3%.

When it comes to his home run ability, Daulton Varsho ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Daulton Varsho will have the upper hand today.

Nico Hoerner will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Nico Hoerner has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 1.6% seasonal rate to 7.1% over the past week.

Nico Hoerner’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 45.4% on the season to 71.4% in the last week.

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (45.9% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Isaac Paredes will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Batting from the opposite that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Joey Loperfido will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Joey Loperfido is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

This season, Alejandro Kirk has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.6 mph compared to last year’s 90.6 mph mark.

When it comes to his home runs, Alejandro Kirk has experienced some negative variance this year. His 7.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a good deal lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 16.9.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Ernie Clement is penciled in 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Ernie Clement has put up a .271 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

Hitting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Pete Crow-Armstrong’s BABIP talent is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an edge today.

Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leo Jimenez in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Over the last week, Leo Jimenez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.9% up to 27.3%.

Leo Jimenez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 93.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 88.8-mph.

When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Yariel Rodriguez in the 77th percentile among all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The Chicago Cubs have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games, Chicago’s 92.7-mph exit velocity on flyballs ranks them as the #7 team in the game this year by this standard.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Will Wagner’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Will Wagner will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Hendricks today.

The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Will Wagner stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Over the last 7 days, Pete Crow-Armstrong’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6% up to 16.7%.

Miguel Amaya will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

Miguel Amaya has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.8-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 87.8-mph EV.

Miguel Amaya’s launch angle of late (10.8° in the past 14 days) is a significant increase over his 7.3° seasonal figure.

Spencer Horwitz’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Spencer Horwitz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Hendricks in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Despite posting a .283 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alejandro Kirk has been unlucky given the .037 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .320.

Nico Hoerner’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

When it comes to his batting average ability, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Compared to last year, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 42.7% to 48.8% this season.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

George Springer is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

George Springer has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .294 rate is deflated compared to his .350 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Kyle Hendricks will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his metrics in all categories.

The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

In the last 14 days, Leo Jimenez’s 31.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.6%.

When it comes to plate discipline, Nico Hoerner’s talent is quite strong, posting a 1.48 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 93rd percentile.

Friday player match stat slumps with Blue Jays vs Cubs Matchup

Ian Happ has posted a .229 batting average this year, grading out in the 23rd percentile.

Dansby Swanson is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.

Yariel Rodriguez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dansby Swanson today.

Dansby Swanson has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 8.7% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the past 7 days.

Dansby Swanson has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.7-mph dropping to 84.8-mph over the last week.

Ranking in the 25th percentile, Dansby Swanson has posted a .291 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Michael Busch has been pulled from the game early 12% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.225) suggests that Michael Busch has had some very good luck this year with his .262 actual batting average.

Batting from the same side that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be in a tough position in today’s game.

In today’s game, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.9% rate (77th percentile).

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 94-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 91-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

There has been a significant decline in Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s launch angle from last season’s 10.2° to 7° this season.

Daulton Varsho pulls many of his flyballs (39.8% — 98th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences today.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Daulton Varsho in today’s game.

Over the past two weeks, Daulton Varsho’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.6% down to 0%.

Daulton Varsho’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 87.8-mph mark last season has dropped to 85.8-mph.

Based on Statcast metrics, Daulton Varsho grades out in the 17th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .284.

When it comes to his home run ability, Nico Hoerner ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nico Hoerner is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.

Batting from the same side that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Nico Hoerner will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

Nico Hoerner has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 5th-deepest RF fences today.

Nico Hoerner’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 88-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 85.9-mph over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Batting from the same side that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Isaac Paredes faces a tough challenge today.

Isaac Paredes’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 91.5-mph average last season has dropped off to 89.2-mph.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.218) provides evidence that Isaac Paredes has been very fortunate this year with his .239 actual batting average.

Posting a .256 BABIP this year, Isaac Paredes has performed in the 12th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 24th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Joey Loperfido is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Joey Loperfido today.

Joey Loperfido has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph dropping to 82.2-mph in the past week.

Over the past week, Joey Loperfido’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 19.3%.

Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Kyle Hendricks will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alejandro Kirk in today’s game.

Today, Alejandro Kirk is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38.9% rate (95th percentile).

Alejandro Kirk will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Alejandro Kirk has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 7.5% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

Batting from the same side that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Seiya Suzuki encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

In the last week’s worth of games, Seiya Suzuki’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.7% down to 0%.

Seiya Suzuki’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off of late, falling from 42.6% on the season to 13.3% in the past week’s worth of games.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.241) suggests that Seiya Suzuki has experienced some positive variance this year with his .266 actual batting average.

Batting from the same side that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Ernie Clement faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ernie Clement today.

Ernie Clement’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 85.7-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 81.4-mph over the past 7 days.

Ernie Clement’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, going from 42.7% on the season to 33.3% in the past week’s worth of games.

Ernie Clement has been cold recently, compiling a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Cody Bellinger pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 87th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Cody Bellinger’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 87.4-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 83.8-mph over the past 14 days.

Cody Bellinger’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 43.4% to 37.9%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.239) may lead us to conclude that Cody Bellinger has had some very good luck this year with his .276 actual batting average.

Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.

Pete Crow-Armstrong has been pulled from the game early 10% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

Pete Crow-Armstrong’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (17.7° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit lower than his 21.4° seasonal figure.

Ranking in the 6th percentile, Pete Crow-Armstrong has posted a .254 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Sporting a 5.66 K/BB rate this year, Pete Crow-Armstrong has shown bad plate discipline, ranking in the 5th percentile.

Leo Jimenez is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.

Kyle Hendricks will hold the platoon advantage against Leo Jimenez today.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Leo Jimenez in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yariel Rodriguez to throw 76 pitches today (3rd-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Yariel Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Isaac Paredes has been lucky this year, putting up a .341 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .324 — a .017 gap.

In the last week, Joey Loperfido has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power).

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.303) suggests that Cody Bellinger has had some very good luck this year with his .326 actual wOBA.

Will Wagner is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.

Will Wagner will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Amaya in the 24th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Miguel Amaya is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

21% of the time that Miguel Amaya has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Yariel Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage against Miguel Amaya in today’s matchup.

Miguel Amaya has recorded a .274 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 10th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Spencer Horwitz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Spencer Horwitz has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph dropping to 80.9-mph in the past week.

Spencer Horwitz’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (5.7° over the last 14 days) is a significant dropoff from his 15.7° seasonal mark.

Spencer Horwitz has been lucky this year, putting up a .340 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .319 — a .021 gap.

This year, the hardest ball Spencer Horwitz has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 108.1 mph (an advanced stat to assess power), placing in the 16th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 7th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Kyle Hendricks will hold the platoon advantage over George Springer in today’s game.

George Springer will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

George Springer’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 87.1-mph seasonal average has fallen to 78-mph in the past week.

There has been a significant decline in George Springer’s launch angle from last season’s 11.8° to 8.5° this season.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 8.5°, George Springer has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.1°) over the past two weeks.

Seiya Suzuki has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .345 mark is inflated compared to his .324 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kyle Hendricks in the 17th percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Hendricks to throw 78 pitches in this game (5th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 19.6% underlying K%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 4th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Michael Busch’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, falling from 19.7% on the season to 8.3% in the last 14 days.

Despite posting a .348 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Michael Busch has had some very good luck given the .032 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .316.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leo Jimenez in the 24th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 11th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 13.2°, Ernie Clement’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls has dropped significantly in recent games (8.8° in the past 14 days).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Amaya in the 25th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (6.9) implies that Miguel Amaya has had positive variance on his side this year with his 9.4 actual HR/600.