
COL @ BOS



Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Tuesday, July 8th
08/07/25 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Rockies vs Red Sox Series Game 2 Matchup Today
Fenway Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to lower offensive output.
In his previous GS, Kyle Freeland was rolling and posted 7 strikeouts.
Kyle Freeland’s higher usage percentage of his secondary pitches this year (61% vs. 55.2% last season) figures to work in his favor considering they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
Among all starting pitchers, Kyle Freeland’s fastball spin rate of 2410 rpm ranks in the 79th percentile this year.
Kyle Freeland has had some very poor luck with his strikeouts this year, posting a 6.56 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.30 — a 0.74 K/9 gap.
Throwing 92.7 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Brayan Bello places him the 83rd percentile.
With a 1.24 discrepancy between Brayan Bello’s 6.48 K/9 and his 7.72 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the game this year in terms of strikeouts and should see positive regression the rest of the season.
Negative Match Player Stats with Rockies vs Red Sox Series Game 2
Fenway Park projects as the #29 park in the game for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The weather forecast forecasts the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.
Kyle Freeland’s 91.4-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 23rd percentile among all starting pitchers.
Kyle Freeland has compiled a 17.6% strikeout rate this year, placing in the 22nd percentile.
Brayan Bello’s fastball velocity has fallen 1.1 mph this year (94.6 mph) below where it was last year (95.7 mph).
Brayan Bello has utilized his four-seamer 10.5% more often this season (15.3%) than he did last year (4.8%).
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