Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Rockies vs Mets Series Game 3 Matchup Today

Brenton Doyle’s BABIP skill is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brenton Doyle hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among every team playing today.

Over the past 14 days, Brenton Doyle’s 50% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.6%.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Brenton Doyle has had bad variance on his side this year. His .278 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .304.

When assessing his home run talent, Brenton Doyle ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Given Carson Palmquist’s large platoon split, Luisangel Acuna will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.

Luisangel Acuna hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball bats like Luisangel Acuna tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Carson Palmquist.

Luisangel Acuna will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luisangel Acuna in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

With a .263 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Luisangel Acuna has performed in the 81st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Jordan Beck is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums.

Jordan Beck has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.6% rate last season to 18.8% this year.

Jordan Beck has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 18.8% seasonal rate to 42.9% in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Citi Field grades out as the #30 field in baseball for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the 4th-best park in baseball for strikeouts.

Kyle Farmer has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 5.1% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Kyle Farmer’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 15.3% on the season to 33.3% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Carson Palmquist… and even better, Palmquist has a large platoon split.

Francisco Lindor pulls many of his flyballs (36.8% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Francisco Lindor will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 82nd percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Ryan McMahon is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Ryan McMahon will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ryan McMahon can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Ryan McMahon has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Sam Hilliard will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Sam Hilliard has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP.

Sam Hilliard’s 15.9% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) ranks in the 96th percentile since the start of last season.

When it comes to his home run ability, Sam Hilliard ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best batter in the league.

Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Juan Soto has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

Extreme flyball batters like Juan Soto are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Carson Palmquist.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Nimmo has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Brandon Nimmo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Brandon Nimmo will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as the game’s 11th-best home run batter.

Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.

Pete Alonso will have the handedness advantage against Carson Palmquist today… and the cherry on top, Palmquist has a large platoon split.

Pete Alonso pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Pete Alonso projects as the 19th-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

It may be best to expect improved performance for the Colorado Rockies offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 2nd-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Clay Holmes (57.2% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 GB hitters in Colorado’s projected batting order.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the most strikeout-heavy lineup today is the Colorado Rockies with a 28.1% underlying K%.

Hitting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an advantage today.

Mickey Moniak may have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP.

Hitters such as Mickey Moniak with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Clay Holmes who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 79th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Starling Marte will hold the platoon advantage against Carson Palmquist today… and even better, Palmquist has a large platoon split.

Bats such as Starling Marte with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Carson Palmquist who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Starling Marte will hold that advantage today.

Starling Marte has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 11.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is considerably lower than his 14.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Thairo Estrada is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.

Thairo Estrada pulls many of his flyballs (37.3% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.268) may lead us to conclude that Thairo Estrada has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .256 actual wOBA.

Considering Carson Palmquist’s large platoon split, Tyrone Taylor will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s matchup.

Tyrone Taylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his home runs, Tyrone Taylor has suffered from bad luck this year. His 3.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been deflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 11.4.

Posting a .320 BABIP since the start of last season, Tyrone Taylor has performed in the 84th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 87th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Mark Vientos is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.

Mark Vientos will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carson Palmquist in today’s matchup… and even better, Palmquist has a large platoon split.

Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Mark Vientos will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Extreme groundball bats like Ezequiel Tovar usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Clay Holmes.

Over the last 14 days, Ezequiel Tovar has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 8.3% to 22.2%.

Ezequiel Tovar has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.6-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal average of 95.3-mph.

Negative Match Player Stats with Rockies vs Mets Series Game 3

Brenton Doyle has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.

The #1 venue in the game for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Citi Field’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

The weather forecast predicts the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Hitting from the same side that Clay Holmes throws from, Brenton Doyle faces a tough challenge today.

Brenton Doyle will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

As it relates to his home run talent, Luisangel Acuna ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luisangel Acuna is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Luisangel Acuna’s 3.3% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) is in the 24th percentile since the start of last season.

Hitting from the same side that Clay Holmes throws from, Jordan Beck will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jordan Beck today.

Jordan Beck has been lucky this year, compiling a .353 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .302 — a .051 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Carson Palmquist in the 17th percentile when assessing his overall pitching skills.

The New York Mets projected batting order ranks as the 4th-best of all teams today in terms of overall hitting skill.

Jordan Baker projects as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone in today’s game.

As a result of his large platoon split, Carson Palmquist will have a tough matchup matching up with 7 bats in the projected offense who hit from the other side in today’s matchup.

Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Carson Palmquist (42% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 3 FB hitters in New York’s projected batting order.

Carson Palmquist will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

In his last start, Carson Palmquist wasn’t on when it came to striking hitters out and was only able to post 0 Ks.

When assessing his home run ability, Kyle Farmer ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Farmer is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.

Clay Holmes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Farmer in today’s matchup.

In the past two weeks, Francisco Lindor’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.1% down to 0%.

In the past 14 days, Francisco Lindor’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.2%.

From last season to this one, Francisco Lindor’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 16.6% to 11.2%.

The #1 park in baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ryan McMahon in today’s game.

Ryan McMahon’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (0° over the past two weeks) is considerably lower than his 15.6° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sam Hilliard in the 9th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Sam Hilliard is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Sam Hilliard in today’s game.

When it comes to his home runs, Sam Hilliard has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His 38.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 23.4.

Carson Palmquist will hold the platoon advantage against Juan Soto in today’s game… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Palmquist’s large platoon split.

In the last 14 days, Juan Soto’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.9% down to 0%.

In the past two weeks, Juan Soto’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.4%.

Carson Palmquist will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Nimmo in today’s matchup… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Palmquist’s large platoon split.

Brandon Nimmo has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 11.8% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past 14 days.

In the last 14 days, Brandon Nimmo’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.4%.

Pete Alonso’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, going from 16.8% on the season to 0% over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Pete Alonso’s true offensive ability to be a .363, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .032 deviation between that figure and his actual .395 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Clay Holmes in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching abilities.

The weakest projected batting order of all teams today in terms of overall batting skill is that of the the Colorado Rockies.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Francisco Alvarez (the Mets’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) is considered to be a good pitch framer.

Mickey Moniak is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mickey Moniak in today’s matchup.

Mickey Moniak has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 7.1% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Starling Marte is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Starling Marte has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 6.3% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past 14 days.

From last year to this one, Starling Marte’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 10.8% to 6.3%.

When it comes to his home run ability, Thairo Estrada ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the same side that Clay Holmes throws from, Thairo Estrada has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Thairo Estrada will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Thairo Estrada ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Tyrone Taylor is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today.

Tyrone Taylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 91.7-mph figure last season has lowered to 88.3-mph.

Tyrone Taylor’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (6.4°) is quite a bit worse than his 14.6° mark last season.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Mark Vientos’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.2% down to 0%.

Mark Vientos’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 90.8-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 83-mph over the last two weeks.

Mark Vientos’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, going from 12.4% on the season to 0% over the past two weeks.

Clay Holmes will have the handedness advantage against Ezequiel Tovar in today’s game.

Ezequiel Tovar will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Utilizing Statcast data, Ezequiel Tovar is in the 23rd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .288.

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