Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Giants vs Marlins Series Game 3 Matchup Today

Eric Wagaman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Eric Wagaman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Eric Wagaman will hold that advantage today.

Eric Wagaman has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph to 96.4-mph over the past 14 days.

The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in LoanDepot Park.

Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Casey Schmitt will have an advantage in today’s game.

Posting a .329 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Casey Schmitt is ranked in the 82nd percentile for hitting ability.

Sporting a 26.900 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Casey Schmitt is positioned in the 91st percentile for power.

Casey Schmitt’s 94.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to evaluate power) grades out in the 86th percentile since the start of last season.

When assessing his BABIP skill, Connor Norby is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Connor Norby will hold that advantage today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (28.3) implies that Connor Norby has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his 21.9 actual HR/600.

Connor Norby has put up a .340 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 90th percentile.

Connor Norby’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (26.3° in the past 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 21.9° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Hayden Birdsong in the 87th percentile when assessing his strikeout skill.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Patrick Bailey (the Giants’s expected catcher today) is considered to be an elite pitch framer.

Hayden Birdsong’s fastball spin rate has spiked 102 rpm this season (2393 rpm) over where it was last year (2291 rpm).

Hayden Birdsong’s curveball rate has spiked by 5.1% from last year to this one (18.7% to 23.8%) .

The Miami Marlins projected offense ranks as the 3rd-worst of the day in terms of overall batting ability.

The Miami Marlins have been the 4th-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse the rest of the season,The 4th-deepest right field fences among all stadiums are found in LoanDepot Park.

Hayden Birdsong has been lucky this year, notching a 2.48 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.69 — a 2.21 difference.

Liam Hicks is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Liam Hicks will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hayden Birdsong in today’s matchup.

Liam Hicks may have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants only has 1 same-handed RP.

Liam Hicks will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee as the 15th-best hitter in the league when assessing his batting average ability.

Jung Hoo Lee is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.

Jung Hoo Lee is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP.

In the last 14 days, Jung Hoo Lee has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 27.2° compared to his seasonal mark of 11.2°.

Jung Hoo Lee’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 44% to 51.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Jung Hoo Lee’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 13.4% to 16.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Chapman as baseball’s 9th-best home run batter.

Matt Chapman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Matt Chapman will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Weathers in today’s game.

Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Extreme flyball hitters like Matt Chapman tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Ryan Weathers.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Wilmer Flores is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Wilmer Flores will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Weathers in today’s game.

Extreme flyball bats like Wilmer Flores usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Ryan Weathers.

Wilmer Flores has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 9% seasonal rate to 42.9% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Wilmer Flores’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 14.9% on the season to 42.9% in the past two weeks.

When assessing his home run skill, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mike Yastrzemski may have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.

Extreme groundball bats like Mike Yastrzemski tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Weathers.

Mike Yastrzemski’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (26.7° over the last 14 days) is considerably better than his 15.4° seasonal angle.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (20.2) implies that Mike Yastrzemski has suffered from bad luck this year with his 14.8 actual HR/600.

Mike Yastrzemski’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, going from 45.9% on the season to 75% in the past 14 days.

Mike Yastrzemski has recorded a .351 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, placing in the 86th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to plate discipline, Mike Yastrzemski’s skill is quite strong, putting up a 1.56 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 83rd percentile.

As it relates to his home run skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Willy Adames is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.

Willy Adames will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Weathers today.

Extreme flyball hitters like Willy Adames usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Ryan Weathers.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.

Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage against Hayden Birdsong in today’s game.

The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jesus Sanchez stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

Hitters such as Jesus Sanchez with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Hayden Birdsong who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

It may be wise to expect stronger performance for the San Francisco Giants offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 10th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

The San Francisco Giants have 7 hitters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Weathers today.

Given that groundball pitchers struggle the most against flyball hitters, Ryan Weathers (42.8% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today’s game with 4 FB hitters in San Francisco’s projected batting order.

Ryan Weathers’s four-seamer usage has increased by 9.1% from last season to this one (39.7% to 48.8%) .

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Ryan Weathers in the 78th percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.

The San Francisco Giants have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Patrick Bailey, Tyler Fitzgerald, Mike Yastrzemski).

Ryan Weathers’s 96.8-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 98th percentile among all SPs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Extreme flyball hitters like Otto Lopez usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Hayden Birdsong.

Otto Lopez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.264) implies that Otto Lopez has experienced some negative variance this year with his .239 actual batting average.

Compared to last season, Otto Lopez has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 12.4% to 20% this season.

Otto Lopez has exhibited strong plate discipline this year, ranking in the 88th percentile with a 1.38 K/BB rate.

Heliot Ramos’s BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Heliot Ramos will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Checking in at the 87th percentile, Heliot Ramos sports a .366 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Grading out in the 89th percentile, Heliot Ramos has put up a .290 batting average this year.

Posting a 24.200 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Heliot Ramos finds himself in the 79th percentile for power.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Heliot Ramos ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Over the past 14 days, Patrick Bailey has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 27.7° compared to his seasonal mark of 15.7°.

Compared to last season, Patrick Bailey has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15.4% to 24.4% this season.

Despite posting a .219 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Patrick Bailey has been unlucky given the .064 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .283.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Hayden Birdsong.

Extreme flyball batters like Xavier Edwards usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Hayden Birdsong.

Xavier Edwards will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Xavier Edwards has exhibited good plate discipline this year, grading out in the 78th percentile with a 1.77 K/BB rate.

As it relates to his home run talent, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

Batting from the opposite that Hayden Birdsong throws from, Kyle Stowers will have the upper hand today.

The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Stowers can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Kyle Stowers will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Tyler Fitzgerald will have an advantage in today’s game.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Tyler Fitzgerald has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 21.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 15.1°.

Tyler Fitzgerald has put up a .364 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 99th percentile.

Placing in the 86th percentile, Tyler Fitzgerald has put up a .461 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season.

Negative Match Player Stats with Giants vs Marlins Series Game 3

LoanDepot Park projects as the #23 field in baseball for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output.

Hayden Birdsong will have the handedness advantage against Eric Wagaman today.

Over the past two weeks, Eric Wagaman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.2% down to 0%.

Eric Wagaman’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (-2.5° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is a significant dropoff from his 8.1° seasonal mark.

Casey Schmitt is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins.

Casey Schmitt will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

When it comes to plate discipline, Casey Schmitt’s ability is quite weak, posting a 5.08 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 19th percentile.

Connor Norby is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Hayden Birdsong throws from, Connor Norby will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

Connor Norby pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 10th-deepest LF fences today.

Connor Norby has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.3-mph dropping to 81.1-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hayden Birdsong to throw 83 pitches in today’s game (2nd-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The Miami Marlins (20.3 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 5th-least strikeout-heavy set of batters of all teams on the slate.

Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Hayden Birdsong (36.9% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 4 FB hitters in Miami’s projected lineup.

Hayden Birdsong will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

LoanDepot Park projects as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When it comes to his home run skill, Liam Hicks ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

LoanDepot Park profiles as the #23 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Liam Hicks has been lucky this year, notching a .358 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .304 — a .054 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Liam Hicks in the 24th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Grading out in the 20th percentile for Sprint Speed at 25.94 ft/sec this year, Liam Hicks is not very fast.

Batting from the same side that Ryan Weathers throws from, Jung Hoo Lee encounters a tough challenge today.

Jung Hoo Lee has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Jung Hoo Lee will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Matt Chapman in today’s matchup.

Matt Chapman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, going from 20.3% on the season to 0% in the past two weeks.

Wilmer Flores pulls many of his flyballs (37% — 95th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 10th-deepest LF fences today.

Wilmer Flores will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Wilmer Flores’s launch angle this year (17.5°) is quite a bit lower than his 21° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilmer Flores in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Mike Yastrzemski is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Hitting from the same side that Ryan Weathers throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will be in a tough position today.

Today, Mike Yastrzemski is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36% rate (92nd percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 14th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Willy Adames in today’s matchup.

In the past 14 days, Willy Adames’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.8% down to 0%.

Sporting a .209 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Willy Adames is ranked in the 8th percentile.

Willy Adames has put up a .293 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 25th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jesus Sanchez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and will be challenged by the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences today.

In the last 14 days, Jesus Sanchez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7% down to 0%.

Over the past two weeks, Jesus Sanchez’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 8.5%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Ryan Weathers’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 76th percentile out of all starters in Major League Baseball right now.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Ryan Weathers will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Otto Lopez has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (68% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hayden Birdsong will hold the platoon advantage over Otto Lopez today.

Otto Lopez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

When it comes to his home run talent, Otto Lopez ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

There has been a decrease in Otto Lopez’s average exit velocity this year, from 88 mph last year to 85.7 mph now,Heliot Ramos has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Heliot Ramos in today’s game.

In the past 14 days, Heliot Ramos’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.7% down to 0%.

Patrick Bailey’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Patrick Bailey is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.

The switch-hitting Patrick Bailey will bat from his worse side (0) today against Ryan Weathers,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Patrick Bailey in the 22nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Xavier Edwards is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

In today’s game, Xavier Edwards is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 41.1% rate (99th percentile).

From last season to this one, Xavier Edwards’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 87.1 mph to 84.2 mph.

Xavier Edwards’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (4.8°) is a considerable dropoff from his 10.8° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

In the past two weeks, Kyle Stowers’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 20%.

Despite posting a .372 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Kyle Stowers has been lucky given the .051 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .321.

Tyler Fitzgerald is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.

Today, Tyler Fitzgerald is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.4% rate (84th percentile).

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Tyler Fitzgerald in today’s game.

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