Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Rockies vs Brewers Matchup Today

Sal Frelick is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

In the majors, American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.8-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.

Sal Frelick will probably have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 78th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Brenton Doyle will have an edge in today’s game.

Brenton Doyle’s BABIP talent is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brenton Doyle hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Joey Ortiz will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams today.

Joey Ortiz will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Jackson Chourio’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jackson Chourio ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Jackson Chourio will have an advantage today.

Hunter Goodman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana today.

Hunter Goodman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Hunter Goodman has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 12.2% seasonal rate to 20.8% over the last 14 days.

When estimating his home run talent, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Caleb Durbin will have an edge today.

Caleb Durbin hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 81st percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Jordan Beck is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

American Family Field has the 6th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Ryan Ritter’s BABIP ability is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Ryan Ritter will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Recording 92.8 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Jose Quintana ranks in the 83rd percentile.

The worst projected lineup of the day in terms of overall offensive ability belongs to the Colorado Rockies.

American Family Field profiles as the #28 field in MLB for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

As a result of his reverse platoon split, Jose Quintana will be in a good position squaring off against 9 hitters in the projected batting order who hit from the other side in this outing.

The Colorado Rockies have 5 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Michael Toglia, Brenton Doyle, Jordan Beck, Ryan Ritter, Hunter Goodman).

American Family Field ranks as the #1 stadium in the majors for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Jose Quintana will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Kyle Farmer is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Kyle Farmer will have an edge in today’s game.

Kyle Freeland was firing on all cylinders in his last game started and put up 7 strikeouts.

Kyle Freeland’s 2404-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 78th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Rhys Hoskins will have an edge in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

William Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

Batting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, William Contreras will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Thairo Estrada is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Thairo Estrada will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Quintana in today’s matchup.

When estimating his BABIP ability, Christian Yelich is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Christian Yelich is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Christian Yelich ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Tyler Freeman is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Tyler Freeman will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Quintana in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Tyler Freeman ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brice Turang is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brice Turang stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

The switch-hitting Isaac Collins will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Kyle Freeland.

Isaac Collins will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

Michael Toglia is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Michael Toglia will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Jose Quintana in today’s matchup.

When assessing his home run talent, Michael Toglia ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Negative Match Player Stats with Rockies vs Brewers

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 4th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 3rd-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.

Kyle Freeland will hold the platoon advantage against Sal Frelick in today’s game.

Over the past two weeks, Sal Frelick’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 87 mph to 84.8 mph.

Sal Frelick has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .296 BA is a good deal higher than his .266 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 4th-worst venue in the league for left-handed batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Sal Frelick’s true offensive ability to be a .296, providing some evidence that he has had some very good luck this year given the .033 gap between that figure and his actual .329 wOBA.

Sal Frelick has averaged 9.7 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 14th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Brenton Doyle has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (83% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the batting order today.

The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Brenton Doyle will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Checking in at the 1st percentile, Brenton Doyle sits with a .227 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

With a .277 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Brenton Doyle has performed in the 3rd percentile.

The #4 park in the league for suppressing batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

Joey Ortiz is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

This year, Joey Ortiz has been pinch hit for in 11% of his appearances when starting against left-handed starter.

Joey Ortiz has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Joey Ortiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 90.8-mph EV last year has decreased to 87.9-mph.

Joey Ortiz’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (-0.3° in the past 14 days) is a significant dropoff from his 4.2° seasonal figure.

Jackson Chourio’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 89.7-mph figure last year has dropped to 87.4-mph.

Over the last week, Jackson Chourio’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 92.4 mph to 88.4 mph.

Jackson Chourio’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 16% to 12%.

Posting a 4.64 K/BB rate this year, Jackson Chourio has demonstrated poor plate discipline, checking in at the 12th percentile.

Hunter Goodman has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (93% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.

Hunter Goodman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Hunter Goodman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, decreasing from 13.9% on the season to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Hunter Goodman has had some very good luck this year. His .361 figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .290.

Posting a 5.15 K/BB rate this year, Hunter Goodman has displayed weak plate discipline, grading out in the 9th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 13th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Caleb Durbin is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Caleb Durbin’s launch angle recently (2.9° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is considerably worse than his 13.8° seasonal figure.

Utilizing Statcast data, Caleb Durbin is in the 18th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .290.

Caleb Durbin has performed at a clip of 11.8 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 20th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Caleb Durbin’s BABIP skill is projected in the 9th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.220) implies that Caleb Durbin has experienced some positive variance this year with his .236 actual batting average.

Jordan Beck will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

In the past 7 days, Jordan Beck’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal mark of 92.9 mph to 82.9 mph.

Jordan Beck’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, going from 14.7% on the season to 10.7% in the last two weeks.

Despite posting a .348 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jordan Beck has experienced some positive variance given the .042 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .306.

Jordan Beck has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, ranking in the 15th percentile with a 4.22 K/BB rate.

Ryan Ritter is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ryan Ritter today.

Ryan Ritter has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 82.4-mph dropping to 78.1-mph over the past 7 days.

In the last week, Ryan Ritter’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 6.5%.

Ryan Ritter has been cold of late, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) in the last two weeks.

Jose Quintana’s fastball velocity has decreased 1.1 mph this season (89.6 mph) below where it was last season (90.7 mph).

Jose Quintana’s 2072.4-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season grades out in the 13th percentile among all SPs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jose Quintana in the 12th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

In his previous outing, Jose Quintana didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking hitters out and only managed to post 2 Ks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Farmer in the 25th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

35% of the time that Kyle Farmer has started against a left-handed pitcher this year, he has been pinch hit for.

Kyle Farmer will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Kyle Farmer’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 20.8% to 13.2%.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Kyle Farmer ranks in the 12th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .282.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Freeland to throw 75 pitches in today’s game (3rd-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The Milwaukee Brewers (20 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 4th-least strikeout-heavy set of batters of all teams on the slate.

Hunter Goodman, the Rockies’s expected catcher today, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 4th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Rhys Hoskins is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Extreme flyball hitters like Rhys Hoskins tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Freeland.

This season, there has been a decline in Rhys Hoskins’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 25.28 ft/sec last year to 24.68 ft/sec currently.

William Contreras has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 10% rate last year has fallen off to 4.6% this year.

Over the last 14 days, William Contreras’s 34.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40.4%.

Using Statcast data, William Contreras grades out in the 17th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 10.600.

William Contreras has posted a .168 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, ranking in the 19th percentile.

As it relates to his home run ability, Thairo Estrada ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Thairo Estrada in today’s matchup.

Thairo Estrada’s launch angle this year (6.2°) is quite a bit lower than his 10.5° figure last year.

In the last 14 days, Thairo Estrada’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (5.5°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 11.9°.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Thairo Estrada has had positive variance on his side this year. His .306 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .272.

Kyle Freeland will hold the platoon advantage over Christian Yelich in today’s matchup.

Christian Yelich’s launch angle this season (1.9°) is considerably worse than his 5.1° mark last season.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (14.1) provides evidence that Christian Yelich has been lucky this year with his 27.8 actual HR/600.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Christian Yelich has had some very good luck this year. His .344 rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .318.

When starting against a lefty hurler this year, Tyler Freeman has been pulled from the game early 22% of the time.

Tyler Freeman will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

In the last 14 days, Tyler Freeman’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 89.6 mph to 83.7 mph.

There has been a significant decline in Tyler Freeman’s launch angle from last season’s 12.9° to 8.9° this season.

Tyler Freeman has been lucky this year, posting a .376 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .047 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 9th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Hitting from the same side that Kyle Freeland throws from, Brice Turang meets a tough challenge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brice Turang’s true offensive skill to be a .304, providing some evidence that he has had some very good luck this year given the .018 disparity between that mark and his actual .322 wOBA.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Brice Turang is in the 9th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 7.800.

Brice Turang has posted a .141 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, checking in at the 10th percentile.

Isaac Collins is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game.

When starting against a lefty hurler this year, Isaac Collins has been pulled from the game early 23% of the time.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Isaac Collins’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 89 mph to 85.9 mph.

Despite posting a .341 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Isaac Collins has experienced some positive variance given the .038 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .303.

Isaac Collins’s launch angle in recent games (9.1° over the last 14 days) is significantly worse than his 12.9° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 4th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Michael Toglia in today’s matchup.

In terms of his home runs, Michael Toglia has been very fortunate this year. His 22.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 17.0.

Ranking in the 12th percentile, Michael Toglia has put up a .269 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

By putting up a 4.89 K/BB rate this year, Michael Toglia has shown bad plate discipline, checking in at the 11th percentile.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Michael Toglia has had some very good luck this year. His .284 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .263.

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