Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Mariners vs Rangers Matchup Today

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Evan Carter ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Evan Carter will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert in today’s game.

Evan Carter will probably have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Evan Carter will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Compared to last season, Evan Carter has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16.7% to 22.4% this season.

On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.

Alejandro Osuna will have the handedness advantage against Logan Gilbert in today’s game.

The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alejandro Osuna can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Alejandro Osuna will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Over the last week, Alejandro Osuna’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.8% up to 20%.

Alejandro Osuna has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.3-mph to 94.5-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Cole Young will have the handedness advantage against Nathan Eovaldi in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (7.6) suggests that Benjamin Williamson has suffered from bad luck this year with his 2.9 actual HR/600.

In notching a .356 BABIP this year, Benjamin Williamson has performed in the 96th percentile.

Benjamin Williamson’s BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nathan Eovaldi in the 86th percentile when assessing his strikeout talent.

Nathan Eovaldi will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his metrics in all categories.

In his previous outing, Nathan Eovaldi turned in a great performance and put up 9 strikeouts.

Ranking in the 89th percentile, Nathan Eovaldi posted a 13.3% Swinging Strike percentage this year.

Corey Seager projects as the 12th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Corey Seager is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Corey Seager will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Corey Seager is apt to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.

Corey Seager will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Marcus Semien is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Marcus Semien will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Marcus Semien has had some very poor luck this year. His .288 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .323.

Marcus Semien’s 19.2° launch angle (an advanced stat to evaluate a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in the majors: 88th percentile.

Jonah Heim will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Jonah Heim’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 38.4% to 43.6%.

In the last 7 days, Jonah Heim’s 64.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.6%.

Jonah Heim’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 11.1% to 15.7%.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, J.P. Crawford will have an edge in today’s game.

J.P. Crawford’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 16.6% to 20.2%.

J.P. Crawford has posted a .348 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Sam Haggerty is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Sam Haggerty will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Sam Haggerty’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 21.5% on the season to 27.3% over the last two weeks.

Sam Haggerty’s BABIP skill is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Donovan Solano has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.6-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 88-mph mark.

In the last two weeks, Donovan Solano’s 64.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.9%.

Donovan Solano has recorded a .343 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 96th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Randy Arozarena is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (17.9) implies that Randy Arozarena has had some very poor luck this year with his 14.3 actual HR/600.

Placing in the 76th percentile, Randy Arozarena sports a .347 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Placing in the 83rd percentile, Randy Arozarena sports a .333 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Adolis Garcia will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Adolis Garcia has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last season’s 91-mph figure.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Adolis Garcia has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.3-mph to 96.5-mph over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as Major League Baseball’s 4th-best home run batter.

Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Extreme flyball batters like Cal Raleigh are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi.

This season, Cal Raleigh has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 97.7 mph compared to last year’s 94.9 mph mark.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Cal Raleigh ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Cal Raleigh’s launch angle in recent games (28° over the last 7 days) is a considerable increase over his 23.6° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Logan Gilbert in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent.

Logan Gilbert has been given a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, recording 4.3 more adjusted pitches-per-start than league average.

Globe Life Field ranks as the #27 ballpark in the majors for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

As it relates to his strikeout talent, Logan Gilbert projects as the 18th-best starter in the majors currently, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In his last game started, Logan Gilbert was rolling and compiled 8 strikeouts.

Logan Gilbert’s 2177-rpm spin rate on his fastball this season is a sizeable 143-rpm increase from last year’s 2034-rpm rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 10th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average skill.

Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Julio Rodriguez has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.6-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 90.6-mph average.

Julio Rodriguez’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (21.6° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 9.6° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Julio Rodriguez’s true offensive skill to be a .360, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .047 deviation between that figure and his actual .313 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Josh Jung will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.318) implies that Josh Jung has had some very poor luck this year with his .296 actual wOBA.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Josh Jung ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Smith in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Josh Smith is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Josh Smith will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Josh Smith has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Josh Smith will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Negative Match Player Stats with Mariners vs Rangers

Evan Carter is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.

This year, Evan Carter has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 17% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Globe Life Field as the worst venue in baseball for lefty batting average.

The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -11° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching.

Evan Carter hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 7th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Globe Life Field ranks as the #29 ballpark in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #10 stadium in the majors for suppressing home runs to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.

When it comes to his home run skill, Alejandro Osuna ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Alejandro Osuna is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

Alejandro Osuna has been pinch hit for 28% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

Alejandro Osuna hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 7th-deepest CF fences today.

Cole Young is projected to hit 8th in the lineup today.

This year, Cole Young has been pinch hit for in 13% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

The 7th-deepest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Globe Life Field.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cole Young in the 13th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 6th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Benjamin Williamson is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

This year, Benjamin Williamson has been pinch hit for in 20% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

The #1 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.

Globe Life Field ranks as the #21 stadium in baseball for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Nathan Eovaldi to be limited in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 70 pitches.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Nathan Eovaldi (46.5% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 GB hitters in Seattle’s projected lineup.

Nathan Eovaldi’s fastball velocity has dropped 2 mph this season (93.4 mph) below where it was last year (95.4 mph).

With a 0.21 discrepancy between Nathan Eovaldi’s 9.48 K/9 and his 9.27 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball this year as it relates to strikeouts and figures to perform worse the rest of the season.

In the past week, Corey Seager’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal figure of 94.4 mph to 91.4 mph.

Corey Seager’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 21.5% to 14.1%.

Logan Gilbert will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Marcus Semien in today’s game.

Typically, batters like Marcus Semien who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Logan Gilbert.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonah Heim in the 3rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Jonah Heim is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Jonah Heim will bat from his worse side against Logan Gilbert in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonah Heim in the 24th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

The Texas Rangers infield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest among every team playing today.

J.P. Crawford will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

J.P. Crawford has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.1% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sam Haggerty in the 7th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

The switch-hitting Sam Haggerty will bat from his weak side (0) today against Logan Gilbert,Sam Haggerty’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 87.6-mph seasonal average has lowered to 83.9-mph in the past two weeks.

Donovan Solano is penciled in 6th in the batting order today.

Batting from the same side that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Donovan Solano will not have the upper hand today.

Donovan Solano hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 7th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 21st percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Nathan Eovaldi will have the handedness advantage against Randy Arozarena today.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Randy Arozarena today.

Batting from the same side that Logan Gilbert throws from, Adolis Garcia has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Adolis Garcia has shown weak plate discipline this year, checking in at the 19th percentile with a 4.05 K/BB rate.

The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Nathan Eovaldi,Cal Raleigh will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Mitch Garver (the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s game) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

With 6 bats who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Logan Gilbert will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.

Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Logan Gilbert today.

Logan Gilbert’s 94.8-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a significant 1.8-mph decrease from last season’s 96.6-mph figure.

Logan Gilbert has been lucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, posting a 13.39 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 10.24 — a 3.15 K/9 deviation.

In his last outing, Logan Gilbert was firing on all cylinders and conceded 1 ER.

Nathan Eovaldi will hold the platoon advantage over Julio Rodriguez in today’s game.

Julio Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Josh Jung is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Logan Gilbert will hold the platoon advantage against Josh Jung today.

Josh Jung hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Josh Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 7th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Josh Smith has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 6% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week.

Josh Smith has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph dropping to 84.9-mph in the last 14 days.

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