Reds @ Guardians Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positives for the Cincinnati Reds Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 3rd-best stadium in the game for lefty BABIP.

,Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to better offense.

,Because of Brady Singer’s huge platoon split, Steven Kwan will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.

,Steven Kwan has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

,Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Steven Kwan will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.

,Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (42.4% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 83rd percentile when assessing his home run ability.

,The #3 venue in the majors for boosting BABIP to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.

,Tyler Stephenson has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Tyler Stephenson’s launch angle this year (20°) is significantly higher than his 12.8° angle last year.

,The switch-hitting Patrick Bailey will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Brady Singer… and even better, Singer has a huge platoon split.

,Patrick Bailey will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Patrick Bailey’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 42.5% to 48.4%.

,Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Given Brady Singer’s huge platoon split, Kyle Manzardo will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s game.

,Kyle Manzardo will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,Tyler Stephenson’s 15% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) grades out in the 92nd percentile since the start of last season.

,Daniel Schneemann has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (72% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

,Daniel Schneemann will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today’s game… and even more favorably, Singer has a huge platoon split.

,Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Daniel Schneemann will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Matt McLain’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 16% to 21.9%.

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Sal Stewart ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Sal Stewart is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.

,Sal Stewart has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the league’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Sal Stewart has posted a .388 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 99th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Chase DeLauter is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

,Considering Brady Singer’s huge platoon split, Chase DeLauter will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Chase DeLauter will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Chase DeLauter has been hot in recent games, batting his way to a .370 wOBA in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Brady Singer in the 25th percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent.

,The #5 field in MLB for boosting walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.

,In MLB, Progressive Field’s LF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.

,The Cleveland Guardians have 9 batters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today’s game, which is especially problematic given his huge platoon split.

,Brady Singer will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,Steven Kwan has shown good plate discipline this year, ranking in the 97th percentile with a 0.91 K/BB rate.

,Angel Martinez pulls many of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Angel Martinez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Angel Martinez has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 3.7% rate last year to 10.1% this year.

,JJ Bleday is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

,JJ Bleday will have the handedness advantage over Gavin Williams in today’s game.

,JJ Bleday pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,When estimating his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.

,The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Gavin Williams.

,Matt McLain has been hot recently, whalloping 2 homers in the last week.

,Angel Martinez has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 92.7-mph average to last year’s 88.9-mph average.

,Will Benson is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

,Will Benson will hold the platoon advantage over Gavin Williams in today’s matchup.

,Will Benson’s launch angle this season (24.5°) is a considerable increase over his 16.2° mark last year.

,When assessing his home run skill, Kyle Manzardo ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Gavin Williams’s overall pitching talent grades out in the 81st percentile among all starters in MLB right now.

,Gavin Williams is expected to throw 98 pitches today, which is the highest number of pitches for all pitchers on the slate today. This estimate is based on his inherent tendencies and the nature of the matchup.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Patrick Bailey (the Guardians’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) projects as an elite pitch framer.

,When assessing his home run talent, Will Benson ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Spencer Steer has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (79% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (38.6% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,The Barrel% of Spencer Steer has significantly improved, with an increase from 7.8% last year to 15.9% this year.

,Jose Ramirez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Brayan Rocchio will hold that advantage today.

,In terms of plate discipline, Brayan Rocchio’s skill is quite strong, sporting a 1.18 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 90th percentile.

,Ke’Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Ke’Bryan Hayes has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 4.5% rate last season to 10.8% this season.

,Compared to last season, Ke’Bryan Hayes has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 12.4% to 20.5% this season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

,Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have an edge today.

,Nathaniel Lowe has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,The Barrel% of Nathaniel Lowe has significantly improved, with an increase from 7% last year to 14% this season.

,The #8 ballpark in MLB for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.

,Brady Singer’s slider usage has jumped by 5.8% from last year to this one (39.3% to 45.1%) .

,Among all starting pitchers, Brady Singer’s fastball spin rate of 2442.9 rpm grades out in the 85th percentile since the start of last season.

,Considering the 1.44 difference between Brady Singer’s 6.00 K/9 and his 7.44 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the league this year when it comes to strikeouts and ought to see positive regression going forward.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Gavin Williams in the 92nd percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.

,The Cincinnati Reds have 4 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Will Benson, Tyler Stephenson, Elly De La Cruz, Matt McLain).

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Elly De La Cruz has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, JJ Bleday ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Travis Bazzana has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (87% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Travis Bazzana will have the handedness advantage over Brady Singer in today’s game… and the cherry on top, Singer has a huge platoon split.

,Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Travis Bazzana will hold that advantage today.

,Grading out in the 75th percentile, Brayan Rocchio sits with a .269 batting average this year.

,This season, Spencer Steer has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.1 mph compared to last year’s 91.3 mph mark.

,Daniel Schneemann’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 16.5% to 22.4%.

,Nathaniel Lowe has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last season’s 91.8-mph EV.

Negatives with the Cleveland Guardians Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 1st percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,Steven Kwan is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

,Among all major league parks, the 4th-tallest fence height (on average) are at Progressive Field.

,The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest among all the teams today.

,Steven Kwan’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 86.3-mph EV last year has dropped to 82.4-mph.

,Jose Ramirez’s quickness has declined this season. His 28.41 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.09 ft/sec now.

,Checking in at the 12th percentile, Jose Ramirez has notched a .230 BABIP this year.

,Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Hitting from the same side that Gavin Williams throws from, Tyler Stephenson has a tough challenge today.

,Tyler Stephenson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Tyler Stephenson’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 95.9-mph mark last season has dropped off to 93.2-mph.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Patrick Bailey ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Patrick Bailey is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Progressive Field projects as the #27 stadium in baseball for lefty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,In Major League Baseball, Progressive Field’s centerfield fences are the 7th-deepest.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 12th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,Kyle Manzardo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 83rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 7th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,Kyle Manzardo’s launch angle this season (17.7°) is a considerable dropoff from his 21.5° mark last year.

,Kyle Manzardo is not very athletic, grading out in the 14th percentile in Sprint Speed at 25.56 ft/sec this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 4th-worst field in the game for righty home runs.

,Daniel Schneemann hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 81st percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 7th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Hitting the ball to all fields is a core ability for batting average that Daniel Schneemann has struggled with since the start of last season, as evidenced by his checking in at the 21st percentile on THE BAT X’s Spray Score.

,Daniel Schneemann has posted a .223 batting average since the start of last season, grading out in the 17th percentile.

,Matt McLain has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (76% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.

,Gavin Williams will hold the platoon advantage against Matt McLain in today’s matchup.

,Matt McLain hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 7th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,Matt McLain will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,Batting from the same side that Gavin Williams throws from, Sal Stewart will have a disadvantage today.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Sal Stewart in today’s matchup.

,The 3rd-worst projected batting order of the day in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the Cleveland Guardians.

,The Cleveland Guardians have been the 6th-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in the future,It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (David Rackley) behind the plate today.

,Angel Martinez is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game.

,As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Angel Martinez will have a tough time against Brady Singer and his huge platoon split in this game.

,Angel Martinez has recorded a .259 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 4th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 10th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,JJ Bleday will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Based on Statcast metrics, JJ Bleday is in the 5th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .263.

,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Elly De La Cruz today.

,Angel Martinez’s launch angle this season (14.6°) is significantly worse than his 19.1° figure last year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 19th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

,Will Benson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 81st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 7th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Will Benson in today’s matchup.

,Will Benson’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 98.5-mph average last year has dropped off to 92-mph.

,By putting up a .287 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Will Benson is ranked in the 19th percentile.

,Kyle Manzardo has been cold recently, putting up a .272 wOBA in the past week’s worth of games.

,Sporting a .246 BABIP this year, Sal Stewart grades out in the 18th percentile.

,It may be sensible to expect better numbers for the Cincinnati Reds offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 10th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.

,Cincinnati Reds bats collectively place in baseball for power this year when using their 11.9% Barrel%.

,Positioned highest in the game this year, Cincinnati Reds batters as a group have compiled a 16° launch angle (a reliable standard to measure the ability to lift the ball for power).

,Posting a .289 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Angel Martinez grades out in the 23rd percentile.

,Gavin Williams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Steer today.

,Spencer Steer will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,Based on Statcast metrics, Spencer Steer ranks in the 23rd percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .298.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brayan Rocchio in the 8th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Brayan Rocchio is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke’Bryan Hayes in the 18th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,Ke’Bryan Hayes is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Batting from the same side that Gavin Williams throws from, Ke’Bryan Hayes faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Ke’Bryan Hayes will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,The standard deviation of Chase DeLauter’s launch angle this year (30°) is in the 22nd percentile. A high mark like this tends to lead to a lower rate of hits on balls in play.

,Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.

,Nathaniel Lowe will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,Using Statcast metrics, Nathaniel Lowe is in the 14th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .285.

,Ranking in the 23rd percentile, Nathaniel Lowe has posted a .227 batting average since the start of last season.

,Based on Statcast data, Ke’Bryan Hayes grades out in the 9th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .274.

,Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 109.7 mph (an advanced standard to assess power), placing in the 25th percentile.

,The Cleveland Guardians (19.6 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 3rd-least strikeout-prone lineup of all teams today.

,Brady Singer’s 90.3-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a big 1.3-mph decrease from last season’s 91.6-mph mark.

,Matt McLain’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 93.1-mph figure last year has dropped to 88.9-mph.

,Given the 0.7 deviation between Gavin Williams’s 10.73 K/9 and his 10.03 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league this year in terms of strikeouts and figures to see negative regression the rest of the season.

,This season, there has been a decline in Steven Kwan’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.27 ft/sec last year to 26.44 ft/sec currently.

,This year, Steven Kwan’s 0.8% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 3rd percentile among his peers.

,Sporting a .210 batting average since the start of last season, Tyler Stephenson is positioned in the 8th percentile.

,Brady Singer has averaged 14 outs per outing this year, checking in at the 16th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brayan Rocchio in the 25th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,Brayan Rocchio’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 88-mph EV last season has dropped off to 85.4-mph.

,Patrick Bailey’s speed has dropped off this season. His 25.71 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.36 ft/sec now.

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