Red Sox vs Rays match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Tuesday, June 9th

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BOS @ TB

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Red Sox @ Rays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Teams : Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays
Series Game 2
Date : Todays Game is on Tuesday, June 9th
Time : 09/06/26 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Boston Red Sox Series Game 2 Game Today

Chandler Simpson is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.

,The #3 park in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.

,Chandler Simpson has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Extreme groundball hitters like Chandler Simpson usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tolle.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Chandler Simpson will hold that advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 3rd-best stadium in the league for RHB home runs.

,The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today.

,Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s launch angle this season (10.4°) is quite a bit better than his 4° angle last year.

,Cedric Mullins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Cedric Mullins will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Cedric Mullins’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2.8% up to 22.2%.

,Cedric Mullins’s launch angle this year (29.7°) is considerably better than his 23.3° angle last year.

,Despite posting a .243 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Caleb Durbin has had some very poor luck given the .052 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .295.

,Ceddanne Rafaela has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (53% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.

,The 4th-shallowest LF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Tropicana Field.

,Ceddanne Rafaela’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 17.5% to 21%.

,Ceddanne Rafaela’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, rising from 21% on the season to 27.3% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Junior Caminero projects as the 16th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Tolle throws from, Junior Caminero will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Junior Caminero pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.8% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Hitters such as Junior Caminero with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Tolle who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

,Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Anthony Seigler will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Anthony Seigler has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Anthony Seigler has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .252 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .330 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,In the league, Tropicana Field’s right field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.

,Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an edge today.

,Nick Martinez has tallied 17.7 outs per outing this year, ranking in the 86th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 3rd-worst field in the majors for base hits.

,As a result of his reverse platoon split, Nick Martinez will benefit from going up against 6 hitters in the projected lineup of opposing handedness in today’s game.

,In his last outing, Nick Martinez turned in a great performance and allowed 2 ER.

,Taylor Walls has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Taylor Walls will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,Taylor Walls’s launch angle this season (19.9°) is significantly better than his 14.9° mark last year.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 19.9°, Taylor Walls has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 33° mark over the past two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Cedric Mullins’s true offensive skill to be a .314, suggesting that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .060 deviation between that figure and his actual .254 wOBA.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.

,Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Jarren Duran will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Jarren Duran has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,Austin Slater is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

,Austin Slater will have the handedness advantage over Tolle in today’s matchup.

,Extreme flyball bats like Austin Slater tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tolle.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jonathan Aranda will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Mickey Gasper, the Red Sox’s expected catcher today, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Payton Tolle is an extreme flyball pitcher (39.4% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #9 HR venue among all stadiums today.

,Considering that groundball hitters hold a substantial advantage over flyball pitchers, Payton Tolle and his 39.4% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a hard spot in this matchup being matched up with 4 opposing GB hitters.

,Payton Tolle’s high utilization rate of his fastball (72.2% this year) is likely hurting his results, since they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

,Batting from the opposite that Tolle throws from, Nick Fortes will have the upper hand today.

,Nick Fortes pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.8% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Nick Fortes will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Willson Contreras is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.

,Willson Contreras pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,The switch-hitting Mickey Gasper will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Nick Martinez.

,Mickey Gasper has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.9-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 92.5-mph EV.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Austin Slater will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Ben Williamson’s BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Ben Williamson will have the handedness advantage against Tolle in today’s matchup.

,Ben Williamson has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game’s 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Extreme groundball bats like Ben Williamson are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Tolle.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Ben Williamson will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Marcelo Mayer will have an advantage today.

,Marcelo Mayer has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Marcelo Mayer’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 34.6% on the season to 47.6% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Jonathan Aranda has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.4-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 90.7-mph EV.

,Despite posting a .255 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Marcelo Mayer has had bad variance on his side given the .036 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .291.

,Ryan Vilade is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Tolle throws from, Ryan Vilade will have an edge today.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Ryan Vilade will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,In the past week, Ryan Vilade’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.3% up to 14.3%.

,Nick Martinez’s change-up percentage has risen by 8.2% from last year to this one (19.6% to 27.8%) .

,Nick Martinez has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 5.35 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 6.15 — a 0.81 K/9 disparity.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chandler Simpson as the 10th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his batting average skill.

,In the past week, Willson Contreras’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 15.3% up to 27.3%.

,Masataka Yoshida’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have an advantage today.

,As it relates to his batting average skill, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

,Yandy Diaz will have the handedness advantage against Tolle in today’s game.

,Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.4%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Yandy Diaz ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,As it relates to his home run skill, Cedric Mullins ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Anthony Seigler and his 16° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 77th percentile, among the highest in baseball since the start of last season.

,Hitters such as Yandy Diaz with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Tolle who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Masataka Yoshida has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 8.6 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is deflated compared to his 18.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Ryan Vilade has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 99.1-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal 89.3-mph EV.

,Using Statcast metrics, Anthony Seigler is in the 95th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .289.

,Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s launch angle lately (14.5° over the last week) is significantly higher than his 10.4° seasonal mark.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Payton Tolle in the 91st percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.

,Payton Tolle was on point in his last GS and notched 11 strikeouts.

,Payton Tolle’s 95.5-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 78th percentile among all starting pitchers.

,Checking in at the 91st percentile, Payton Tolle recorded a 13.7% Swinging Strike% this year.

Negatives with the Tampa Bay Rays Series Game 2 Game Today

When it comes to his home run ability, Chandler Simpson ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -5° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching.

,Tolle will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chandler Simpson in today’s matchup.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Chandler Simpson’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 83.9 mph to 81.8 mph.

,Over the last two weeks, Chandler Simpson’s 6.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 10.4%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

,Isiah Kiner-Falefa is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

,21% of the time that Isiah Kiner-Falefa has started against a northpaw this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

,Hitting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, Isiah Kiner-Falefa encounters a tough challenge today.

,Cedric Mullins’s BABIP talent is projected in the 3rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Cedric Mullins is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.

,Tolle will have the handedness advantage against Cedric Mullins today.

,Extreme flyball hitters like Cedric Mullins generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Tolle.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 9th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,Caleb Durbin is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.

,Hitting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, Caleb Durbin will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Caleb Durbin hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,Nick Martinez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ceddanne Rafaela today.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ceddanne Rafaela in today’s matchup.

,In the past 7 days, Ceddanne Rafaela’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.9% down to 0%.

,Ceddanne Rafaela has been lucky this year, putting up a .341 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .034 difference.

,Tropicana Field profiles as the #28 park in MLB for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The Boston Red Sox outfield defense grades out as the strongest out of all the teams today.

,Compared to his seasonal mark of 8.5°, Junior Caminero has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.6°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Junior Caminero’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 14.3% to 10%.

,When estimating his home run talent, Anthony Seigler ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Anthony Seigler is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.

,When starting against a right-handed starter since the start of last season, Anthony Seigler has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 40% of the time.

,Anthony Seigler will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,Wilyer Abreu will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,By putting up a .230 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Wilyer Abreu grades out in the 24th percentile.

,It may be sensible to expect positive regression for the Boston Red Sox offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 7th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.

,Considering the 1.46 discrepancy between Nick Martinez’s 2.29 ERA and his 3.75 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in baseball this year and should see worse results in future games.

,Placing in the 13th percentile, Nick Martinez notched an 8.1% Swinging Strike percentage this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 7th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

,Taylor Walls is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.

,Taylor Walls’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 86.4-mph mark last season has fallen to 82.6-mph.

,Tropicana Field profiles as the #28 field in the majors for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jarren Duran in today’s matchup.

,Jarren Duran has displayed bad plate discipline this year, placing in the 13th percentile with a 4.19 K/BB rate.

,Posting a .256 BABIP this year, Jarren Duran grades out in the 20th percentile.

,This year, Austin Slater has been pulled from the game early in 82% of his appearances when starting against left-handed pitcher.

,Austin Slater hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Taylor Walls ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,In notching a .270 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Taylor Walls is ranked in the 6th percentile for offensive ability.

,Caleb Durbin’s BABIP skill is projected in the 11th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Batting from the same side that Tolle throws from, Jonathan Aranda will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Over the past week, Jonathan Aranda’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.6% down to 0%.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Payton Tolle’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 90th percentile among all starting pitchers in the league right now.

,The Tampa Bay Rays have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in the future,Nick Fortes’s BABIP talent is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Nick Fortes is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Nick Fortes has been pinch hit for 18% of the time when starting against a lefty on the mound this year.

,Nick Martinez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Willson Contreras in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Willson Contreras in today’s matchup.

,Willson Contreras has been lucky this year, posting a .397 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .356 — a .041 deviation.

,Mickey Gasper is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today.

,Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Mickey Gasper today.

,Mickey Gasper has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 6.5% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past 7 days.

,Ben Williamson is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.

,Ben Williamson’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 88.8-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 86-mph over the past 7 days.

,Marcelo Mayer is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

,23% of the time that Marcelo Mayer has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

,Marcelo Mayer will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Over the past 14 days, Marcelo Mayer’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.1% down to 0%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Williamson in the 3rd percentile when assessing his home run skill.

,When starting against a lefty hurler this year, Ryan Vilade has been pinch hit for 57% of the time.

,Today, Ryan Vilade is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.6% rate (96th percentile).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ryan Vilade’s true offensive talent to be a .288, implying that he has had some very good luck this year given the .057 gap between that mark and his actual .345 wOBA.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nick Martinez in the 5th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.

,Nick Martinez has posted a 14.1% Strikeout% this year, grading out in the 2nd percentile.

,Mickey Gasper’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, going from 15.2% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.

,Ben Williamson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, going from 14.3% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.

,Masataka Yoshida will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Masataka Yoshida’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 91.6-mph EV last year has dropped off to 88.3-mph.

,Masataka Yoshida’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 88.3-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 69-mph over the last week.

,Yandy Diaz’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 93-mph figure last year has fallen off to 90.8-mph.

,Yandy Diaz has been lucky this year, compiling a .396 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .353 — a .043 disparity.

,Compared to his seasonal angle of 8.7°, Masataka Yoshida has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-13°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Nick Fortes ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Nick Fortes’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 86.4-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 79.6-mph in the past 7 days.

,Over the past 7 days, Yandy Diaz’s 5.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.9%.

,Cedric Mullins’s launch angle recently (20.3° in the last 7 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 29.7° seasonal figure.

,Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Payton Tolle is projected to throw 82 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least of all pitchers on the slate today.

,Ryan Vilade’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, falling from 40% on the season to 28.6% over the past week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 14th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,When it comes to his home run talent, Masataka Yoshida ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Seigler in the 23rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

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