LAD @ PIT






Dodgers @ Pirates Matchup Details
Date : Todays Game is on Tuesday, June 9th
Time : 09/06/26 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the Los Angeles Dodgers Game Today
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Max Muncy ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 4th-best field in baseball for left-handed BABIP.
,PNC Park sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.
,This game is projected to have the highest humidity of all games on the slate (84%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.
,Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Max Muncy will have an advantage today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for right-handed BABIP.
,The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst among every team in action today.
,Alex Call has shown good plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 94th percentile with a 1.4 K/BB rate.
,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Spencer Horwitz ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Spencer Horwitz will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
,Nick Gonzales is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.
,Nick Gonzales will hold the platoon advantage over Eric Lauer today.
,Freddie Freeman projects as the 18th-best batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Freddie Freeman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.
,Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Freddie Freeman will have an edge in today’s matchup.
,Will Smith projects as the 15th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Will Smith has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96.9-mph average in the last week to his seasonal EV of 92.3-mph.
,As it relates to his home run talent, Max Muncy ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,The switch-hitting Alex Freeland will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Paul Skenes.
,Alex Freeland’s launch angle in recent games (29° over the last 7 days) is considerably better than his 10° seasonal angle.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Tucker in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
,Kyle Tucker is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game.
,Kyle Tucker will hold the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes today.
,Kyle Tucker has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.2-mph average in the past week to his seasonal figure of 89.2-mph.
,The switch-hitting Jake Mangum will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Eric Lauer.
,Hitters such as Jake Mangum with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Eric Lauer who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
,Jake Mangum will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Eric Lauer’s overall pitching talent ranks in the 5th percentile among all SPs in the majors currently.
,The #3 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.
,Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Eric Lauer (41.5% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today’s game with 2 GB hitters in Pittsburgh’s projected batting order.
,Eric Lauer’s fastball spin rate has dropped 107 rpm this season (2134 rpm) below where it was last season (2241 rpm).
,Hitting from the opposite that Eric Lauer throws from, Henry Davis will have the upper hand today.
,Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Henry Davis will hold that advantage today.
,Over the last two weeks, Jake Mangum’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.8-mph over the course of the season to 94.7-mph of late.
,Andy Pages’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Andy Pages is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
,Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
,Ryan Ward will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes in today’s game.
,Ryan Ward has been hot in recent games, putting up a .393 wOBA in the last week’s worth of games.
,When assessing his strikeout skill, Paul Skenes projects as the 10th-best starter in the majors currently, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Paul Skenes has averaged 98.7 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, ranking in the 100th percentile.
,Paul Skenes’s change-up utilization has spiked by 5.1% from last season to this one (24.5% to 29.6%) .
,Grading out in the 77th percentile, Paul Skenes recorded a 12% Swinging Strike% this year.
,Ranking in the 98th percentile, Paul Skenes has notched a 31% K% this year.
,Bryan Reynolds’s BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
,Jared Triolo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (89% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
,Jared Triolo will have the handedness advantage against Eric Lauer in today’s matchup.
,When estimating his home run talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.
,Batting from the opposite that Eric Lauer throws from, Marcell Ozuna will have the upper hand today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
,Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Mookie Betts ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Mookie Betts is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.
,Oneil Cruz projects as the 13th-best home run batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.
,Oneil Cruz has strong power (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (31% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Eric Lauer struggles to strike batters out (6th percentile K%) — great news for Cruz.
,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Shohei Ohtani is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.
,Shohei Ohtani will have the handedness advantage against Paul Skenes in today’s game.
,Spencer Horwitz has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 7.1% seasonal rate to 14% in the past two weeks.
,Marcell Ozuna will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
,Bryan Reynolds will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
,Jared Triolo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (15.6) may lead us to conclude that Jared Triolo has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his 8.6 actual HR/600.
,Based on Statcast metrics, Shohei Ohtani is in the 99th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .403.
,Eric Lauer was in good form in his previous game started and put up 9 strikeouts.
,Eric Lauer has relied on his change-up 9.2% more often this year (16.4%) than he did last season (7.2%).
,Eric Lauer has experienced some negative variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, compiling a 5.94 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.04 — a 1.1 K/9 difference.
,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Bryan Reynolds has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 8.7% seasonal rate to 13.9% over the past 14 days.
,When it comes to his home run talent, Henry Davis ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Over the last 7 days, Mookie Betts’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19%.
,Will Smith’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, rising from 20.4% on the season to 23.8% over the last two weeks.
,Despite posting a .319 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Will Smith has been unlucky given the .044 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .363.
,Extreme flyball bats like Oneil Cruz usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Eric Lauer.
,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Andy Pages ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Andy Pages has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 10.1% seasonal rate to 17.8% in the past 14 days.
,Compared to his seasonal average of 16.6°, Andy Pages has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 25.6° mark in the past two weeks.
,Brandon Lowe has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.3-mph average to last year’s 94.9-mph figure.
,The best projected lineup of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.
,This season, Max Muncy has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 97.6 mph compared to last year’s 95 mph mark.
,By putting up a .374 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Max Muncy is ranked in the 94th percentile for hitting ability.
,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Nick Gonzales will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
Negatives with the Pittsburgh Pirates Game Today
Max Muncy is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.
,PNC Park has the 8th-deepest fences in the majors — generally bad for home runs.
,Max Muncy will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
,Max Muncy’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 90.9-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 86.1-mph over the past two weeks.
,Max Muncy’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, going from 17.5% on the season to 0% in the past week.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Call in the 22nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
,Alex Call is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
,Batting from the same side that Paul Skenes throws from, Alex Call encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
,Alex Call will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
,Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.
,Since the start of last season, Spencer Horwitz has been pinch hit for in 15% of his appearances when starting against lefty hurler.
,The league’s 6th-tallest average fence height can be found at PNC Park.
,Eric Lauer will hold the platoon advantage over Spencer Horwitz today.
,Spencer Horwitz has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 10th-deepest LF fences today.
,Nick Gonzales’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 88.9-mph figure last year has dropped to 85.8-mph.
,Nick Gonzales’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 85.8-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 82.1-mph over the past 14 days.
,There has been a significant decline in Nick Gonzales’s launch angle from last year’s 9.3° to 5.8° this year.
,The #3 park in the league for suppressing home runs to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.
,Freddie Freeman has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
,Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Freddie Freeman in today’s game.
,Freddie Freeman’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 91.1-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 86-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
,Will Smith has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (81% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game.
,Hitting from the same side that Paul Skenes throws from, Will Smith encounters a tough challenge today.
,Will Smith will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
,Alex Freeland’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Alex Freeland is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in today’s game.
,When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Alex Freeland has been pinch hit for 30% of the time.
,Freddie Freeman’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 50.9% to 41.1%.
,Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kyle Tucker today.
,Kyle Tucker’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 92.4-mph mark last year has dropped off to 89.2-mph.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 1st percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
,Jake Mangum is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today’s game.
,Jake Mangum’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 87.4-mph average last year has fallen to 84.4-mph.
,It may be sensible to expect worse numbers for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 6th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.
,In the majors, PNC Park’s left field dimensions are the 10th-deepest.
,Eric Lauer is an extreme flyball pitcher (41.5% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is fortunate enough to be pitching in the #27 HR venue among all stadiums today.
,In his last outing, Eric Lauer was in good form and gave up 2 ER.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Henry Davis in the 4th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
,Henry Davis is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.
,Henry Davis pulls many of his flyballs (38.5% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
,From last year to this one, Henry Davis’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 40.9% to 34.1%.
,Henry Davis has notched a .237 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 0th percentile.
,PNC Park projects as the #29 stadium in the league for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Paul Skenes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andy Pages in today’s game.
,Andy Pages will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
,In the past week’s worth of games, Andy Pages’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 91.8 mph to 88.6 mph.
,This year, Brandon Lowe has been pulled from the game early in 12% of his appearances when starting against lefty on the mound.
,Batting from the same side that Eric Lauer throws from, Brandon Lowe has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
,Brandon Lowe has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 12.7% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past 7 days.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brandon Lowe’s true offensive skill to be a .331, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .035 gap between that mark and his actual .366 wOBA.
,When it comes to his batting average, Jake Mangum has been lucky since the start of last season. His .295 figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .257.
,Jake Mangum has posted a .271 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 7th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Ward in the 23rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
,Ryan Ward is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.
,The #9 field in MLB for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.
,The Los Angeles Dodgers have 6 hitters in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage against Paul Skenes in this matchup.
,Paul Skenes’s 96.5-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a sizeable 1-mph decline from last season’s 97.5-mph mark.
,The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will bat from his bad side (0) today against Eric Lauer,Over the past week, Bryan Reynolds’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 93.7 mph to 88 mph.
,25% of the time that Jared Triolo has started against a left-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.
,Jared Triolo’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 91.5-mph average last year has fallen off to 84.6-mph.
,Over the past two weeks, Jared Triolo’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 84.6 mph to 78.4 mph.
,When it comes to his home run skill, Alex Call ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Marcell Ozuna is very slow, checking in at the 14th percentile in Sprint Speed at 25.64 ft/sec this year.
,In notching a .261 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Marcell Ozuna finds himself in the 11th percentile.
,Sporting a .191 batting average this year, Marcell Ozuna is positioned in the 9th percentile.
,Batting from the same side that Paul Skenes throws from, Mookie Betts faces a tough challenge today.
,Today, Mookie Betts is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.6% rate (81st percentile).
,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Mookie Betts in today’s matchup.
,Mookie Betts’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 89.9-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 87.7-mph in the last 14 days.
,Batting from the same side that Eric Lauer throws from, Oneil Cruz will have a tough matchup in today’s game.
,Oneil Cruz’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 98.4-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 95-mph over the past two weeks.
,Oneil Cruz has compiled a .224 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,Sporting a .243 BABIP since the start of last season, Mookie Betts grades out in the 4th percentile.
,Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Shohei Ohtani today.
,Shohei Ohtani has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 23.7% rate last season has dropped to 15.7% this year.
,Shohei Ohtani’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 100.7-mph average last year has decreased to 96.5-mph.
,Ranking in the 13th percentile, Marcell Ozuna has notched a .306 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.
,As it relates to his home run talent, Jared Triolo ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Nick Gonzales has posted a .298 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 23rd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alex Freeland in today’s matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Ward in the 8th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ryan Ward in today’s matchup.
,When it comes to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Eric Lauer in the 18th percentile among all starters in baseball.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eric Lauer to throw 85 pitches in today’s game (7th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
,Henry Davis’s launch angle this year (19.4°) is a significant dropoff from his 23.4° mark last season.
,Ryan Ward has been cold lately, posting a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) in the past week.
,With a .284 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Jared Triolo finds himself in the 17th percentile.
,Despite posting a .361 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Andy Pages has had positive variance on his side given the .027 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .334.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Paul Skenes as the 2nd-best SP in baseball currently.
,Paul Skenes was on point in his previous outing and allowed 1 ER.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 14th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
,Spencer Horwitz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 20.2% to 11.9%.
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