Red Sox @ Athletics Matchup Details

Positives for the Boston Red Sox Game Today

In the league, Sutter Health Park’s left field dimensions are the 6th-deepest.

,Jackson Perkins will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats in all categories.

,Jackson Perkins’s 95.2-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 80th percentile among all starters.

,Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Jackson Perkins must realize this, because he has used his secondary pitches a lot this year: 63.7% of the time, checking in at the 89th percentile.

,Jackson Perkins has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his ERA this year; his 6.75 mark is considerably higher than his 4.54 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

,Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,The #2 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Colby Thomas ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Thomas White is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

,The #2 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.

,Hitting from the opposite that Tolle throws from, Thomas White will have an edge in today’s game.

,The Athletics outfield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among every team on the slate today.

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Tyler Soderstrom is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.

,Lawrence Butler will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,Caleb Durbin’s launch angle in recent games (22.6° in the last 7 days) is considerably higher than his 10.7° seasonal mark.

,Sutter Health Park projects as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Compared to his seasonal average of 3.7°, Lawrence Butler has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 9.8° figure in the last 14 days.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Masataka Yoshida ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.

,The #4 field in the game for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.

,Alika Williams will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tolle in today’s matchup.

,Alika Williams will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

,Sutter Health Park projects as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Jonah Heim is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Payton Tolle in the 90th percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.

,The Athletics have 4 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Brian Serven, Lawrence Butler, Henry Bolte, Colby Thomas).

,Payton Tolle was in good form in his last outing and accumulated 11 strikeouts.

,Grading out in the 80th percentile, Payton Tolle notched a 12.8% Swinging Strike% this year.

,Checking in at the 83rd percentile, Payton Tolle has put up a 26.6% Strikeout% this year.

,Batting from the opposite that Tolle throws from, Henry Bolte will have the upper hand today.

,Jacob Wilson is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 21.7°, Andruw Monasterio has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 29.3° figure over the past 7 days.

,Batting from the opposite that Tolle throws from, Colby Thomas will have an edge today.

,Colby Thomas will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Willson Contreras projects as the 18th-best batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Willson Contreras is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.

,In the last 7 days, Andruw Monasterio’s 75% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.1%.

,Jarren Duran will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Perkins in today’s matchup.

,When estimating his BABIP talent, Henry Bolte is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Payton Tolle in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent.

,The weakest projected batting order of all teams today in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the the Athletics.

,In his previous outing, Payton Tolle was in good form and conceded 1 ER.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jackson Perkins in the 85th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.

,Checking in at the 82nd percentile, Jackson Perkins has posted a 26.4% strikeout rate this year.

,This season, Connor Wong has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 90.6 mph compared to last year’s 87 mph mark.

,When assessing his batting average skill, Jacob Wilson is projected as the 18th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The switch-hitting Jonah Heim will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Tolle.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Negatives with the Athletics Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Perkins to throw 84 pitches in today’s game (9th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,The #1 park in Major League Baseball for boosting walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.

,Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-shortest fences among all major league stadiums.

,Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest weather of all games today at 104°.

,The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

,Batting from the same side that Jack Perkins throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have a disadvantage today.

,Ceddanne Rafaela will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Ceddanne Rafaela’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 92.5-mph mark last year has fallen off to 89.4-mph.

,Ceddanne Rafaela has been lucky this year, putting up a .330 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .305 — a .025 gap.

,Colby Thomas is penciled in 6th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

,When starting against a lefty on the mound this year, Colby Thomas has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 70% of the time.

,Colby Thomas hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Among all the teams today, the best infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox.

,Colby Thomas has exhibited weak plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 10th percentile with a 7.07 K/BB rate.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thomas White in the 23rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,In today’s matchup, Thomas White is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.7% rate (89th percentile).

,Thomas White has been cold in recent games, notching a 85-mph average exit velocity in the last two weeks.

,Thomas White has struggled to lift the ball recently, compiling a 1.7° launch angle in the past 14 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 12th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Caleb Durbin is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.

,Batting from the same side that Jack Perkins throws from, Caleb Durbin will have a disadvantage today.

,Caleb Durbin pulls many of his flyballs (37.2% — 92nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.

,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Caleb Durbin today.

,Tolle will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Soderstrom today.

,Tyler Soderstrom has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,In the past 7 days, Tyler Soderstrom’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10% down to 0%.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Tyler Soderstrom’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 92.2 mph to 84.1 mph.

,Lawrence Butler is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Tolle will hold the platoon advantage over Lawrence Butler today.

,Lawrence Butler has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Over the past week, Lawrence Butler’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 93.7 mph to 89.2 mph.

,Andruw Monasterio is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Jack Perkins will have the handedness advantage against Andruw Monasterio today.

,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Andruw Monasterio today.

,Over the past week, Andruw Monasterio’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.4% down to 0%.

,This year, Masataka Yoshida has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 13% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

,HRs are generally less common at parks with deep fences, and Sutter Health Park has the 9th-deepest among all major league parks.

,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Masataka Yoshida in today’s game.

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 9.4°, Masataka Yoshida has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.5°) in the last 14 days.

,Checking in at the 19th percentile for power, Masataka Yoshida has paced 10.8 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Alika Williams ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Alika Williams is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

,31% of the time that Alika Williams has started against a lefty hurler this year, he has been pinch hit for.

,There has been a significant decline in Lawrence Butler’s launch angle from last year’s 9.2° to 3.7° this season.

,Jarren Duran has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (78% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Jarren Duran has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jarren Duran in today’s game.

,Over the last week, Jarren Duran’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.8% down to 0%.

,Over the past 7 days, Jarren Duran’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alika Williams’s true offensive ability to be a .276, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .041 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .317 wOBA.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonah Heim in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Jonah Heim has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 12% of the time when starting against a lefty on the mound this year.

,In today’s game, Jonah Heim is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38% rate (76th percentile).

,Jonah Heim’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 90.9-mph mark last season has fallen off to 88.8-mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Payton Tolle to throw 81 pitches in this game (4th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,Projected catcher Connor Wong projects as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The #8 ballpark in the league for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.

,Henry Bolte is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.

,Henry Bolte hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Henry Bolte’s 1.7° launch angle (an advanced metric to assess a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the lowest in Major League Baseball: 1st percentile.

,Posting a .119 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Henry Bolte is positioned in the 3rd percentile.

,When it comes to plate discipline, Henry Bolte’s talent is quite bad, putting up a 4.04 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 13th percentile.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Caleb Durbin ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Wilson in the 2nd percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,Jacob Wilson has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 83.6-mph dropping to 79.4-mph in the past 7 days.

,Jacob Wilson’s launch angle recently (3.7° over the past two weeks) is a significant dropoff from his 6.9° seasonal figure.

,Connor Wong is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,When starting against a northpaw this year, Connor Wong has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 16% of the time.

,Batting from the same side that Jack Perkins throws from, Connor Wong encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Connor Wong in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Wilyer Abreu in today’s matchup.

,In the last 7 days, Wilyer Abreu’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.8% down to 0%.

,Utilizing Statcast metrics, Wilyer Abreu is in the 24th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .230.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thomas White in the 16th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

,Jack Perkins will hold the platoon advantage over Willson Contreras in today’s matchup.

,Willson Contreras pulls many of his flyballs (35.6% — 85th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Willson Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Over the last 7 days, Willson Contreras’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 97.4 mph to 92.3 mph.

,Willson Contreras has been lucky this year, notching a .400 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .363 — a .037 disparity.

,Jacob Wilson has performed at a clip of 3.9 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 7th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,It may be best to expect stronger performance for the Athletics offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 8th-unluckiest offense in the league this year.

,Jackson Perkins has been lucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, posting a 10.91 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.54 — a 1.38 K/9 gap.

,Tyler Soderstrom’s launch angle lately (-3° in the last 7 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 11.6° seasonal mark.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonah Heim in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jonah Heim’s true offensive skill to be a .284, implying that he has been very fortunate this year given the .022 disparity between that figure and his actual .306 wOBA.

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