Rays vs White Sox match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Thursday, September 11th

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TB @ CWS

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Rays @ White Sox Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : Tampa Bay Rays at Chicago White Sox
Series : Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Thursday, September 11th
Time : 11/09/25 14:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Tampa Bay Rays Game Today

Curtis Mead is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 5th-best park in the majors for RHB home runs.

The weather report expects the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Curtis Mead will hold the platoon advantage against Ian Seymour in today’s matchup.

Curtis Mead has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

When it comes to his home run ability, Junior Caminero ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Junior Caminero is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Junior Caminero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.8% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Junior Caminero has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 13.5% seasonal rate to 21.6% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colson Montgomery in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Colson Montgomery is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

The #5 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.

Colson Montgomery pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Williams in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all parks.

Carson Williams has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 8% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the past 7 days.

As it relates to his home run talent, Carson Williams ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his batting average talent, Chandler Simpson is projected as the 17th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Chandler Simpson is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.

Hitting from the opposite that Shane Smith throws from, Chandler Simpson will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Chandler Simpson has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Chase Meidroth is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Ian Seymour throws from, Chase Meidroth will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Chase Meidroth has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Shane Smith in the 76th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.

Shane Smith will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats across the board.

Shane Smith’s 94.9-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 78th percentile among all starters.

Shane Smith has recorded a 12% Swinging Strike% this year, grading out in the 80th percentile.

Shane Smith was firing on all cylinders in his last outing and gave up 2 ER.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Ian Seymour in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent.

The 2nd-worst projected lineup on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the the Chicago White Sox.

In his last game started, Ian Seymour was in good form and conceded 0 ER.

Ian Seymour’s high utilization percentage of his secondary pitches (64.3% since the start of last season) should work in his favor consider they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

With a 2.85 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that concentrates on the things a pitcher can most influence), Ian Seymour falls in the 95th percentile.

Ian Seymour has been lucky this year, compiling a 2.89 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.25 — a 1.36 deviation.

Brooks Baldwin will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Brooks Baldwin has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last year’s 90.6-mph figure.

When it comes to his home run skill, Michael A. Taylor ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Michael A. Taylor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ian Seymour today.

Michael A. Taylor will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

As it relates to his batting average skill, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.

Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the league’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Yandy Diaz ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Last season, Yandy Diaz had an average launch angle of 1.3° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 5.7°.

When estimating his home run talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Shane Smith throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an advantage today.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brandon Lowe pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Josh Lowe is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the opposite that Shane Smith throws from, Josh Lowe will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Josh Lowe has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

Batting from the opposite that Shane Smith throws from, Hunter Feduccia will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Hunter Feduccia has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Hunter Feduccia has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .238 mark is considerably lower than his .274 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Ian Seymour throws from, Miguel Vargas will have an edge in today’s game.

Miguel Vargas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.1% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Richie Palacios will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Smith in today’s game.

Richie Palacios pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Richie Palacios has exhibited impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 94th percentile with a 1.47 K/BB rate.

Lenyn Sosa is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Batting from the opposite that Ian Seymour throws from, Lenyn Sosa will have an advantage today.

Lenyn Sosa has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lenyn Sosa in the 76th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Jake Mangum has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

In the past 14 days, Jake Mangum’s 63% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 38.4%.

Jake Mangum has recorded a .291 batting average this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Negatives with the Chicago White Sox Game Today

In the past two weeks, Curtis Mead’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4,° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 44.4%.

Curtis Mead has been cold of late, posting a 2.8% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) in the last two weeks.

Curtis Mead has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .243 mark is a good deal higher than his .224 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Based on Statcast data, Curtis Mead ranks in the 19th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 8.000.

Hitting from the same side that Shane Smith throws from, Junior Caminero encounters a tough challenge today.

Out of every team today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox.

Junior Caminero will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Junior Caminero has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 42.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is inflated compared to his 33.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

With a .253 BABIP this year, Junior Caminero is positioned in the 8th percentile.

Junior Caminero has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .352 rate is quite a bit higher than his .327 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In terms of plate discipline, Junior Caminero’s skill is quite poor, sporting a 3.66 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 21st percentile.

Hitting from the same side that Ian Seymour throws from, Colson Montgomery will be in a tough position today.

Colson Montgomery’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined of late, decreasing from 33.8% on the season to 26.9% over the last 14 days.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (35.7) may lead us to conclude that Colson Montgomery has been very fortunate this year with his 50.0 actual HR/600.

Carson Williams is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the same side that Shane Smith throws from, Carson Williams will have a tough challenge today.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Carson Williams today.

Carson Williams’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 85.2-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 81.5-mph over the past 7 days.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Chandler Simpson in today’s matchup.

Chandler Simpson’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 79.7-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 74.6-mph over the last 14 days.

Compared to his seasonal figure of -0.2°, Chandler Simpson has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-14.6°) over the last two weeks.

By putting up a .298 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Chandler Simpson has performed in the 19th percentile for offensive skills.

When assessing his home run skill, Chandler Simpson ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his home run talent, Chase Meidroth ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Chase Meidroth has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph dropping to 86.1-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Chase Meidroth’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, going from 10% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.

In the past two weeks, Chase Meidroth has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Based on Statcast metrics, Chase Meidroth grades out in the 22nd percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .301.

Shane Smith is expected to throw 85 pitches in today’s game, which is the 8th-highest number of pitches for all pitchers on the slate today. This estimate is based on his inherent tendencies and the nature of the matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the worst field in the league for strikeouts.

The Tampa Bay Rays have 6 batters in the projected batting order that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Smith in this game.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Shane Smith has utilized his fastball a lot this year, though: 55% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.

Guaranteed Rate Field grades out as the #5 field in MLB for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest LF fences among all major league parks.

Collectively, Tampa Bay Rays batters have done poorly when assessing hitting balls in the launch angle span that tends to result the most in home runs (between 23° and 34°), ranking worst in the majors.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Seymour to throw 84 pitches in this game (6th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Ian Seymour will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Brooks Baldwin is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

In the past week’s worth of games, Brooks Baldwin’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 93.2 mph to 82.1 mph.

Ranking in the 19th percentile, Brooks Baldwin sports a .293 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

When it comes to plate discipline, Brooks Baldwin’s skill is quite bad, posting a 4.51 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 13th percentile.

Michael A. Taylor is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Michael A. Taylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 94 mph to 84.8 mph.

Michael A. Taylor’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, falling from 17.6% on the season to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Based on Statcast metrics, Michael A. Taylor ranks in the 8th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .284.

Michael A. Taylor has put up a .272 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 6th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 12th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Hitting from the same side that Shane Smith throws from, Yandy Diaz has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Yandy Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Over the past 14 days, Yandy Diaz’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.6% down to 0%.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 5.2°, Yandy Diaz has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.8°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

As it relates to his home runs, Yandy Diaz has experienced some positive variance this year. His 22.4 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 14.5.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brandon Lowe today.

In the last week’s worth of games, Brandon Lowe’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.4% down to 0%.

Brandon Lowe has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 33.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a fair amount higher than his 27.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Brandon Lowe has shown poor plate discipline this year, grading out in the 22nd percentile with a 3.53 K/BB rate.

Brandon Lowe has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .340 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .327 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Josh Lowe will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

There has been a significant decline in Josh Lowe’s launch angle from last year’s 16.8° to 8.7° this season.

Josh Lowe has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 17.3 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a fair amount higher than his 13.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Feduccia in the 23rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Hunter Feduccia is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

Hunter Feduccia has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 37% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Hunter Feduccia in today’s matchup.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Hunter Feduccia’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Feduccia in the 16th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Last season, Miguel Vargas had a launch angle of 20.1° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 17°.

Miguel Vargas’s footspeed has decreased this year. His 28.65 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.31 ft/sec now.

Miguel Vargas has recorded a .235 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Checking in at the 13th percentile, Miguel Vargas sports a .262 BABIP this year.

When assessing his home run skill, Richie Palacios ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Richie Palacios is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

13% of the time that Richie Palacios has started against a northpaw since the start of last season, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Richie Palacios today.

Richie Palacios has paced 9.6 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 14th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Richie Palacios in the 21st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Lenyn Sosa’s true offensive talent to be a .302, providing some evidence that he has had some very good luck this year given the .014 difference between that mark and his actual .316 wOBA.

With a 6.12 K/BB rate this year, Lenyn Sosa has displayed poor plate discipline, placing in the 2nd percentile.

When assessing his home run ability, Jake Mangum ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake Mangum is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.

Jake Mangum will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Jake Mangum’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 91.2-mph seasonal average has decreased to 89.2-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.255) suggests that Jake Mangum has had some very good luck this year with his .295 actual batting average.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Jake Mangum’s 3.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 10.1%.

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