Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Rays vs Blue Jays Series Game 2 Matchup Today

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks.

Addison Barger will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today’s game.

Addison Barger will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Addison Barger has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 96.1-mph average to last season’s 88.1-mph figure.

Addison Barger has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.5-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 94.5-mph.

Rogers Centre ranks as the #2 park in MLB for lefty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Junior Caminero ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Junior Caminero is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 2nd-best field in the game for righty home runs.

Junior Caminero hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Extreme groundball hitters like Junior Caminero are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Chris Bassitt.

Junior Caminero’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Chandler Simpson is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Given Chris Bassitt’s large platoon split, Chandler Simpson will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.

Extreme flyball bats like Chandler Simpson tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Chris Bassitt.

When assessing his batting average talent, Chandler Simpson is projected as the 20th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Daulton Varsho will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Daulton Varsho has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.4-mph average to last year’s 91.1-mph average.

When estimating his home run talent, Daulton Varsho ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his home run skill, Anthony Santander ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.

Anthony Santander will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Anthony Santander has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.4-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 90.7-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Anthony Santander’s true offensive ability to be a .327, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .056 difference between that figure and his actual .271 wOBA.

Because of Chris Bassitt’s large platoon split, Travis Jankowski will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

Extreme groundball hitters like Travis Jankowski usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Chris Bassitt.

Travis Jankowski has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86-mph to 89.4-mph in the past 7 days.

Compared to last season, Travis Jankowski has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 43.4% to 53.6% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

George Springer is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and George Springer will hold that advantage in today’s game.

George Springer has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 18.3% seasonal rate to 26.1% over the last two weeks.

The Tampa Bay Rays have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress going forward,Rogers Centre profiles as the #3 stadium in MLB for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Tampa Bay Rays have 6 hitters in the projected lineup that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in this game, which is especially troublesome given his large platoon split.

Chris Bassitt is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.1% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #3 HR venue in the majors in this matchup.

Chris Bassitt has averaged 95.7 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, checking in at the 88th percentile.

Rogers Centre projects as the #10 field in the majors for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Chris Bassitt was on point in his previous GS and posted 7 strikeouts.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 87th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Given Chris Bassitt’s large platoon split, Brandon Lowe will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s game.

Brandon Lowe hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Brandon Lowe has been unlucky this year, compiling a .243 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .323 — a .080 difference.

Danny Jansen’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 16.4% to 20.3%.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.3) suggests that Danny Jansen has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his 14.2 actual HR/600.

Danny Jansen has exhibited good plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 96th percentile with a 1.32 K/BB rate.

In the last 14 days, Danny Jansen’s 52.9% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.4%.

Danny Jansen has been unlucky this year, putting up a .260 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .314 — a .054 deviation.

When assessing his batting average skill, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks as the 6th-best hitter in the league.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .343 figure is deflated compared to his .379 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 10th-best hitter in the league as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Bo Bichette is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.

Bo Bichette will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Over the past 7 days, Bo Bichette’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.2% up to 16.7%.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Bo Bichette ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Alejandro Kirk will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Over the past 14 days, Alejandro Kirk’s 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 50%.

Alejandro Kirk has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .295 mark is a fair amount lower than his .325 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (16.4) provides evidence that Alejandro Kirk has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his 8.2 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Ernie Clement will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In the last week’s worth of games, Ernie Clement’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.9-mph over the course of the season to 92.1-mph lately.

Ernie Clement’s launch angle this season (22.6°) is a significant increase over his 16.2° figure last season.

Taylor Walls hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

Taylor Walls’s launch angle lately (26° in the past week’s worth of games) is considerably higher than his 13.6° seasonal angle.

Taylor Walls has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .255 mark is deflated compared to his .292 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his home runs, Taylor Walls has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His 3.3 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been considerably lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 7.5.

Because groundball pitchers have a significant edge over groundball hitters, Ryan Pepiot and his 38.7% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a favorable spot in today’s outing squaring off against 2 opposing GB hitters.

Ryan Pepiot was firing on all cylinders in his last start and compiled 8 strikeouts.

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Ryan Pepiot has gone to his non-fastballs 9.4% more often this year (58.8%) than he did last season (49.4%).

It may be smart to expect improved performance for the Toronto Blue Jays offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 10th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.

Ryan Pepiot is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.7% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #3 HR venue among all major league stadiums today.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Jonathan Aranda will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today’s matchup… and moreover, Bassitt has a large platoon split.

Over the past 14 days, Jonathan Aranda’s 69.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 56%.

Last year, Jose Caballero had an average launch angle of 17° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 25.3°.

Jose Caballero’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, going from 58.3% on the season to 85.7% in the past week.

Kameron Misner has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (83% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Kameron Misner will have the handedness advantage against Chris Bassitt in today’s game… and the cherry on top, Bassitt has a large platoon split.

Kameron Misner hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Negative Match Player Stats with Rays vs Blue Jays Series Game 2

Addison Barger is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.

This year, Addison Barger has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 36% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

Rogers Centre grades out as the #27 field in baseball for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays.

Addison Barger’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (5°) is considerably worse than his 11° angle last season.

Rogers Centre has the 8th-highest average fence height in the league.

Sporting a .356 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, Addison Barger grades out in the 24th percentile.

Because of Chris Bassitt’s large platoon split, Junior Caminero will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today’s game.

Junior Caminero will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Junior Caminero has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph dropping to 88.1-mph over the past 14 days.

Junior Caminero’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (3.6°) is significantly worse than his 9.3° figure last season.

Rogers Centre grades out as the #27 ballpark in the league for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When estimating his home run ability, Chandler Simpson ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Chandler Simpson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Chandler Simpson’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 81.8-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 77.8-mph over the past 7 days.

In the last week, Chandler Simpson’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 4.9%.

Chandler Simpson has been cold of late, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 3rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Extreme groundball batters like Daulton Varsho generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Ryan Pepiot.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.182) implies that Daulton Varsho has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his .212 actual batting average.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Daulton Varsho has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His .304 figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .273.

The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will bat from his worse side (0) today against Ryan Pepiot,Extreme flyball batters like Anthony Santander usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Pepiot.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 16.2°, Anthony Santander has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.3°) in the past 14 days.

Anthony Santander’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (4.8°) is quite a bit lower than his 15° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 1st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Travis Jankowski in the 1st percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Travis Jankowski is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.

Travis Jankowski has been pinch hit for 20% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

Travis Jankowski will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Travis Jankowski ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Batting from the same side that Ryan Pepiot throws from, George Springer will not have the upper hand today.

George Springer has put up a .274 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 22nd percentile.

George Springer has been lucky this year, notching a .395 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .066 discrepancy.

The Tampa Bay Rays projected batting order profiles as the 4th-worst of all teams today in terms of overall offensive skill.

Paul Clemons grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be umping in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Chris Bassitt will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In his previous GS, Chris Bassitt performed well and gave up 1 ER.

Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Chris Bassitt (34.1% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today’s game with 3 GB hitters in Tampa Bay’s projected lineup.

Chris Bassitt’s fastball velocity has fallen 2 mph this season (90.6 mph) below where it was last year (92.6 mph).

Out of all SPs, Chris Bassitt’s fastball spin rate of 2154 rpm grades out in the 25th percentile since the start of last season.

With a 1.26 discrepancy between Chris Bassitt’s 9.66 K/9 and his 8.40 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in MLB this year in terms of strikeouts and figures to see worse results going forward.

Brandon Lowe will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Brandon Lowe has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 10.4% seasonal rate has decreased to 4% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Over the past two weeks, Brandon Lowe’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 93.5 mph to 89.7 mph.

Brandon Lowe’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off in recent games, going from 45.8% on the season to 32% over the past 14 days.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 11.3°, Brandon Lowe has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (8.2°) in the past two weeks.

Danny Jansen is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Chris Bassitt will hold the platoon advantage over Danny Jansen in today’s matchup… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Bassitt’s large platoon split.

Extreme flyball hitters like Danny Jansen tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Chris Bassitt.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Danny Jansen in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Danny Jansen in the 1st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Ryan Pepiot will hold the platoon advantage over Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today’s game.

Over the last week, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 93.6 mph to 80.5 mph.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 8.1°, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.8°) in the last two weeks.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 14.5% to 10.8%.

Ryan Pepiot will have the handedness advantage over Bo Bichette in today’s game.

Bo Bichette has paced 5 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 16th percentile for power.

Alejandro Kirk has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (65% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Ryan Pepiot will have the handedness advantage over Alejandro Kirk today.

In the last week’s worth of games, Alejandro Kirk’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 91.1 mph to 80.4 mph.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 14.9°, Alejandro Kirk has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.3°) in the past two weeks.

Ernie Clement is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Ernie Clement will have a tough matchup today.

When it comes to plate discipline, Ernie Clement’s ability is quite poor, posting a 3.54 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 25th percentile.

As it relates to his home run talent, Ernie Clement ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Compared to his seasonal figure of 22.6°, Ernie Clement has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.7°) in the past 14 days.

Taylor Walls’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Taylor Walls is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Taylor Walls will be at a big disadvantage against Chris Bassitt and his large platoon split in today’s matchup.

Taylor Walls will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Taylor Walls ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 2nd-least strikeout-prone lineup today is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 18.6% underlying K%.

Ryan Pepiot will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Ryan Pepiot was firing on all cylinders in his last GS and conceded 1 ER.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jonathan Aranda in today’s matchup.

Jonathan Aranda has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 13.1% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week.

Jonathan Aranda’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 94.4-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 74.4-mph in the last week.

Despite posting a .422 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jonathan Aranda has had positive variance on his side given the .087 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .335.

Jonathan Aranda’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, going from 16.7% on the season to 8.7% over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Caballero in the 17th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Jose Caballero is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Chris Bassitt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Caballero today… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Bassitt’s large platoon split.

Jose Caballero will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Caballero in the 20th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Kameron Misner’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kameron Misner has been pulled from the game early 28% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

Kameron Misner will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Over the last two weeks, Kameron Misner’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.6% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kameron Misner in the 13th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

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