Red Sox vs Tigers match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, May 14th

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Red Sox vs Tigers match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, May 14th

BOS @ DET

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Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Wednesday, May 14th
14/05/25 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Red Sox vs Tigers Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 95th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Comerica Park has the 3rd-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the schedule today.

Batters such as Wilyer Abreu with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Tarik Skubal who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers.

Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Ceddanne Rafaela has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 14.9% seasonal rate to 23.3% over the past two weeks.

Batting from the opposite that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Trey Sweeney will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Trey Sweeney will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Over the last week, Trey Sweeney’s 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40%.

When assessing his BABIP skill, Kristian Campbell is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kristian Campbell is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Kristian Campbell will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Kristian Campbell ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected lineup for the Detroit Tigers in this game has an estimated true talent wOBA of .314, which is significantly lower than their actual wOBA of .329 this year.

The Detroit Tigers have been the 2nd-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future games,It is anticipated that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Alex MacKay) in charge of the strike zone in this game.

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 3rd-most strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Detroit Tigers with a 25.3% underlying K%.

Hunter Dobbins’s 94.4-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 76th percentile among all starting pitchers.

Detroit Tigers batters collectively rank 3rd- in MLB for power this year when judging by their 93.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 19th-best hitter in the majors.

Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Javier Baez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Javier Baez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.4-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal 87.8-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Trevor Story is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.

Trevor Story will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 75th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Given that flyball hitters have a significant advantage over groundball pitchers, Tarik Skubal and his 44.2% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a troublesome position in this game matching up with 2 opposing GB batters.

Tarik Skubal projects as the 2nd-best starting pitcher in the majors currently when it comes to his strikeout talent, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Boston Red Sox (24.4% K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 4th-most strikeout-heavy group of hitters on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Alex Bregman is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Alex Bregman will have the handedness advantage against Tarik Skubal in today’s matchup.

Zach McKinstry has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (53% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Zach McKinstry will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Dobbins in today’s matchup.

Zach McKinstry will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Gleyber Torres’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Gleyber Torres is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Gleyber Torres ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Gleyber Torres will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Jarren Duran’s BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Spencer Torkelson is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.

Extreme flyball hitters like Spencer Torkelson generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Dobbins.

As it relates to his home run ability, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 6th-best batter in baseball when assessing his BABIP talent.

Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

Riley Greene will have the handedness advantage against Hunter Dobbins in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Riley Greene ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Dillon Dingler will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

In the last week, Dillon Dingler’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph lately.

Dillon Dingler’s launch angle lately (18° in the last week’s worth of games) is considerably better than his 14.9° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Kerry Carpenter is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have an edge in today’s game.

Negative Match Player Stats with Red Sox vs Tigers Series Game 3

Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Comerica Park projects as the #24 field in the game for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Batting from the same side that Tarik Skubal throws from, Wilyer Abreu faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Wilyer Abreu pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 10th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Wilyer Abreu in today’s game.

Comerica Park projects as the #21 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #8 park in the league for suppressing home runs to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park.

Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Ceddanne Rafaela has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 10th-deepest RF fences today.

Ceddanne Rafaela will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Checking in at the 16th percentile, Ceddanne Rafaela has notched a .280 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

The #10 field in baseball for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park.

Comerica Park ranks as the #22 stadium in baseball for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Trey Sweeney is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.

Trey Sweeney hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 2nd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Among every team in action today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox.

Trey Sweeney has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 6.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

In the last 7 days, Trey Sweeney’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 91.1 mph to 84.5 mph.

Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest CF fences among all parks.

Kristian Campbell will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Kristian Campbell has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 7.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

Kristian Campbell has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph dropping to 84.7-mph over the past 7 days.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Hunter Dobbins is projected to throw 81 pitches in today’s game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-least on the slate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Comerica Park as the 7th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for walks.

Hunter Dobbins will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Comerica Park as the 8th-worst stadium in the game for strikeouts.

Tarik Skubal will have the handedness advantage over Rafael Devers in today’s game.

Rafael Devers has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will be challenged by the league’s 5th-deepest LF fences today.

Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Rafael Devers has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .285 mark is considerably higher than his .258 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Javier Baez is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.

Hunter Dobbins will have the handedness advantage over Javier Baez today.

Javier Baez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 81st percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 5th-deepest LF fences today.

Typically, hitters like Javier Baez who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Hunter Dobbins.

Trevor Story hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 2nd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Trevor Story will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Trevor Story’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 93.6-mph seasonal average has lowered to 88.8-mph over the past 14 days.

Over the past two weeks, Trevor Story’s 30% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 42.6%.

Utilizing Statcast data, Trevor Story is in the 13th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .277.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Tarik Skubal as the best starter in the league right now.

Tarik Skubal has a reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing 6 opposite-handed batters today.

Tarik Skubal will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his metrics in all categories.

In his last outing, Tarik Skubal struggled when it came to striking batters out and only managed to tally 2 Ks.

Alex Bregman pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 5th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alex Bregman in today’s game.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Alex Bregman has had positive variance on his side this year. His .405 mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .324.

In today’s game, Zach McKinstry is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.6% rate (94th percentile).

Over the past week, Zach McKinstry’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.1% down to 0%.

Zach McKinstry has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.3-mph dropping to 83.4-mph over the last 7 days.

Over the past 7 days, Zach McKinstry’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.6%.

Hitting from the same side that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Gleyber Torres will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

In today’s matchup, Gleyber Torres is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.7% rate (92nd percentile).

Over the past 7 days, Gleyber Torres’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9% down to 0%.

Despite posting a .370 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gleyber Torres has been very fortunate given the .041 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329.

Batting from the same side that Tarik Skubal throws from, Jarren Duran has a tough challenge in today’s game.

In today’s matchup, Jarren Duran is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 40.6% rate (98th percentile).

Jarren Duran will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Jarren Duran has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 7.1% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

Hitting from the same side that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Spencer Torkelson has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.7% — 93rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 5th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Spencer Torkelson has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 14.2% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Spencer Torkelson’s true offensive talent to be a .322, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .037 gap between that mark and his actual .359 wOBA.

Riley Greene has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 5th-deepest LF fences today.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 9.6°, Riley Greene has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.7°) in the last 14 days.

Riley Greene has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .341 figure is considerably higher than his .320 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his home runs, Riley Greene has been very fortunate this year. His 32.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 24.6.

Dillon Dingler is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Dillon Dingler will be in a tough position in today’s game.

Dillon Dingler has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 9.3% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last 7 days.

Kerry Carpenter has been pinch hit for 22% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

Kerry Carpenter pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 80th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 10th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Kerry Carpenter’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased of late, going from 37.6% on the season to 25% over the last week.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 18.3°, Kerry Carpenter’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls has dropped significantly in recent games (14.8° in the past 14 days).

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.335) implies that Kerry Carpenter has been very fortunate this year with his .363 actual wOBA.

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