Rangers vs Padres match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Sunday, July 6th

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Rangers vs Padres match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Sunday, July 6th

TEX @ SD

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Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Texas Rangers at San Diego Padres
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, July 6th
06/07/25 21:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Rangers vs Padres Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Jackson Merrill is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.

The #5 park in the league for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Petco Park has the 5th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.

Batting from the opposite that Jack Leiter throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Jackson Merrill will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 5th-best stadium in the game for right-handed home runs.

Xander Bogaerts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Xander Bogaerts will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Xander Bogaerts ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

This season, Xander Bogaerts has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 92.2 mph compared to last year’s 89.6 mph mark.

Xander Bogaerts has been unlucky this year, posting a .304 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .026 deviation.

The 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in Petco Park.

Elias Diaz will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Elias Diaz has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 91-mph average to last year’s 88.3-mph mark.

Elias Diaz’s launch angle this year (17°) is significantly better than his 7.3° mark last year.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.

Manny Machado hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Manny Machado will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

Manny Machado’s launch angle recently (23.7° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 15° seasonal angle.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jake Cronenworth will have the handedness advantage over Jack Leiter today.

Jake Cronenworth will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Jake Cronenworth has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 7.2% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.

Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold that advantage today.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has been unlucky this year, notching a .344 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .378 — a .034 gap.

Luis Arraez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Luis Arraez will have the handedness advantage over Jack Leiter in today’s matchup.

When assessing his batting average talent, Luis Arraez is projected as the 2nd-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Luis Arraez will hold that advantage today.

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Gavin Sheets will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Leiter in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage in today’s game.

This season, Gavin Sheets has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.7 mph compared to last year’s 90.8 mph mark.

In the past 7 days, Gavin Sheets’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.7-mph over the course of the season to 106.9-mph recently.

Trenton Brooks will have the handedness advantage over Jack Leiter in today’s game.

Trenton Brooks will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Trenton Brooks’s quickness has improved this year. His 24.85 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.89 ft/sec now.

Negative Match Player Stats with Rangers vs Padres Series Game 3

Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to less offense.

This matchup is predicted to have the 3rd-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers.

In the last week’s worth of games, Jackson Merrill’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.9% down to 0%.

Jackson Merrill’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, decreasing from 18.1% on the season to 0% in the last week.

In the past week, Jackson Merrill’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 90.9 mph to 80.2 mph.

The #7 ballpark in MLB for suppressing base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Xander Bogaerts has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (67% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Jack Leiter throws from, Xander Bogaerts will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 10.7°, Xander Bogaerts has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.2°) in the last 14 days.

The #7 park in MLB for suppressing base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Elias Diaz is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Jack Leiter throws from, Elias Diaz encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Elias Diaz has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .269 rate is significantly inflated relative to his .251 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

With a .270 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Elias Diaz has performed in the 13th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 11th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Jack Leiter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Manny Machado today.

Manny Machado has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92-mph dropping to 88.2-mph in the past 14 days.

Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.

Jake Cronenworth has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 17.5 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit higher than his 13.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jake Cronenworth’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 47.2% to 38.6%.

Hitting from the same side that Jack Leiter throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

Over the past week, Fernando Tatis Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.8% down to 0%.

Fernando Tatis Jr.’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 92.8-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 87.3-mph in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez in the 0th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 87.9-mph figure last year has fallen to 85.4-mph.

Over the past 7 days, Luis Arraez’s 5.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.2%.

Luis Arraez has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 6.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is inflated compared to his 0.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Gavin Sheets pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 6th-deepest RF fences today.

Gavin Sheets has been lucky this year, posting a .335 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .314 — a .021 discrepancy.

Gavin Sheets’s launch angle of late (7° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit worse than his 15° seasonal mark.

Trenton Brooks is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trenton Brooks in the 4th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

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