
TEX @ LAA






Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 29th
29/09/24 15:07:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Rangers vs Angels Series Game 3 Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 6th-best field in the league for home runs.
On average, the fence height at Angel Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.
Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nathan Eovaldi in today’s matchup.
Nathan Eovaldi’s 2188-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 17th percentile out of all starters.
Los Angeles grades out as the #4 team in baseball when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (16.3% rate this year).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Angel Stadium as the 9th-best ballpark in baseball for righty home runs.
Ezequiel Duran has put up a .322 BABIP this year, ranking in the 81st percentile.
Matt Thaiss has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.
The #9 park in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.
Matt Thaiss will hold the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi today.
Matt Thaiss has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers only has 1 same-handed RP.
Eric Wagaman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
Eric Wagaman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Taylor Ward is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.
Taylor Ward will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.
Adolis Garcia has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 96.5-mph in the last week.
Niko Kavadas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi in today’s matchup.
The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Niko Kavadas stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Niko Kavadas will hold that advantage today.
Over the last 7 days, Jonah Heim’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.1% up to 14.3%.
Jonah Heim has been unlucky this year, notching a .263 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .289 — a .026 deviation.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.
Wyatt Langford has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 94.1-mph in the past 7 days.
Wyatt Langford’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 15.2% on the season to 23.3% over the past two weeks.
Wyatt Langford has been hot recently, compiling a a 13.3% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) over the past 14 days.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Michael Stefanic will hold that advantage today.
As it relates to plate discipline, Michael Stefanic’s talent is quite good, sporting a 1.7 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 90th percentile.
Angel Stadium profiles as the #3 ballpark in the game for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Jack Kochanowicz will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his metrics across the board.
Among all SPs, Jack Kochanowicz’s fastball velocity of 95.2 mph grades out in the 89th percentile this year.
Considering the 1.81 disparity between Jack Kochanowicz’s 3.70 K/9 and his 5.52 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year when it comes to strikeouts and should positively regress in the future.
Gustavo Campero will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Marcus Semien ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Marcus Semien is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.
Extreme flyball batters like Marcus Semien tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jack Kochanowicz.
The switch-hitting Leody Taveras will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Jack Kochanowicz.
Over the last 7 days, Leody Taveras’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.1% up to 18.2%.
In the past two weeks, Leody Taveras’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.5-mph over the course of the season to 94.5-mph of late.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Adolis Garcia has been unlucky this year, posting a .294 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .320 — a .026 deviation.
Josh H. Smith is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.
Josh H. Smith will have the handedness advantage over Jack Kochanowicz in today’s matchup.
Josh H. Smith has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 3.8% seasonal rate to 15.4% over the past 7 days.
Compared to his seasonal average of 15.3°, Josh H. Smith has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 23.2° figure over the past two weeks.
Posting a .317 BABIP this year, Josh H. Smith is positioned in the 80th percentile.
Jack Lopez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (82% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.
Jack Lopez will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Over the past week, Jack Lopez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.2% up to 11.1%.
Jack Lopez’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, rising from 45.2% on the season to 88.9% over the past week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.
Batting from the opposite that Jack Kochanowicz throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have the upper hand today.
Taylor Ward’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 17.8% to 22.4%.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Taylor Ward has had bad variance on his side this year. His .327 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .348.
Marcus Semien has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 90.1-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 87.4-mph figure.
Over the last week, Marcus Semien’s 50% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.1%.
Throwing 95.2 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Nathan Eovaldi falls in the 91st percentile.
Compared to his seasonal average of 14.1°, Leody Taveras has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 22.4° angle in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
When it comes to his batting average, Leody Taveras has had bad variance on his side this year. His .228 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .252.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Brandon Drury will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brandon Drury’s true offensive ability to be a .298, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .078 disparity between that figure and his actual .220 wOBA.
Nathaniel Lowe has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 90.4-mph.
Nathaniel Lowe’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 44.8% on the season to 67.9% in the past two weeks.
As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Nathan Eovaldi in the 79th percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors.
The Los Angeles Angels have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jack Lopez, Matt Thaiss, Niko Kavadas).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Niko Kavadas in the 87th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
Jack Kochanowicz is an extreme groundball pitcher (52.1% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Angel Stadium — the #6 HR venue among all parks — in this matchup.
In his previous outing, Jack Kochanowicz turned in a great performance and conceded 0 ER.
Niko Kavadas’s launch angle of late (37.1° in the last 14 days) is considerably better than his 27.6° seasonal angle.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Michael Stefanic’s true offensive talent to be a .285, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .041 deviation between that figure and his actual .244 wOBA.
Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Matt Thaiss will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Matt Thaiss has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 91.4-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 86.7-mph mark.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Stefanic in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
Negative Match Player Stats with Rangers vs Angels Series Game 3
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Nathan Eovaldi in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.
The Los Angeles Angels projected offense projects as the 2nd-weakest of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability.
Edwin Jimenez projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be umping in today’s game.
The 10th-deepest LF fences among all stadiums are found in Angel Stadium.
Out of all starting pitchers, Nathan Eovaldi’s fastball velocity of 94.8 mph ranks in the 77th percentile this year.
Ezequiel Duran is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today’s game.
Hitting from the same side that Jack Kochanowicz throws from, Ezequiel Duran will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Ezequiel Duran will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
In the past week, Ezequiel Duran’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 90.1 mph to 79.2 mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Thaiss in the 8th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
Today, Matt Thaiss is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34% rate (76th percentile).
Over the last two weeks, Matt Thaiss’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.4% down to 0%.
In the past week’s worth of games, Matt Thaiss’s 50% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 37.6%.
Using Statcast metrics, Matt Thaiss ranks in the 10th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .185.
Hitting from the same side that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Eric Wagaman will have a tough matchup in today’s game.
Over the past week, Eric Wagaman’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 94.5 mph to 92.1 mph.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 13.2°, Eric Wagaman’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls has dropped significantly of late (4.6° in the past 14 days).
Eric Wagaman has been cold of late, compiling a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) over the last 7 days.
Nathan Eovaldi will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taylor Ward today.
In the past week, Taylor Ward’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.1% down to 0%.
Taylor Ward’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 93.1-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 72.7-mph over the past 7 days.
Hitting from the same side that Jack Kochanowicz throws from, Adolis Garcia has a tough challenge today.
Adolis Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
Adolis Garcia’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 96.2-mph figure last year has dropped off to 93.8-mph.
Adolis Garcia’s launch angle in recent games (21.5° over the past 7 days) is considerably better than his 15.3° seasonal angle.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Niko Kavadas in the 1st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.
Niko Kavadas is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.
Niko Kavadas has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 6.7% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
In the past 7 days, Niko Kavadas’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 93.1 mph to 78.3 mph.
Jonah Heim’s BABIP ability is projected in the 3rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jonah Heim is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.
The switch-hitting Jonah Heim will bat from his weak side (0) today against Jack Kochanowicz, Jonah Heim will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
Jonah Heim’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 18.4% to 11.3%.
Batting from the same side that Jack Kochanowicz throws from, Wyatt Langford encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Wyatt Langford pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Wyatt Langford in today’s matchup.
As it relates to his home run skill, Michael Stefanic ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Michael Stefanic is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.
Nathan Eovaldi will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Stefanic today.
In terms of his batting average, Michael Stefanic has been lucky since the start of last season. His .240 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .213.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Jack Kochanowicz in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jack Kochanowicz to throw 80 pitches in this game (12th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Matt Thaiss, the Angels’s expected catcher today, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Jack Kochanowicz has used his fastball a lot this year, though: 77.1% of the time, ranking in the 100th percentile.
Placing in the 13th percentile, Jack Kochanowicz notched a 7.4% Swinging Strike percentage this year.
Gustavo Campero is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.
The switch-hitting Gustavo Campero will bat from his weak side (0) today against Nathan Eovaldi, Gustavo Campero’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 84.1-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 76.1-mph over the past 7 days.
Gustavo Campero’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (-5.7° over the past 7 days) is quite a bit worse than his 7.8° seasonal figure.
Gustavo Campero has been cold of late, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Jack Kochanowicz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Marcus Semien in today’s matchup.
Marcus Semien pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.4% — 96th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Marcus Semien today.
Marcus Semien’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 21.1% to 16.4%.
Grading out in the 10th percentile, Marcus Semien sits with a .256 BABIP this year.
Over the last 7 days, Jonah Heim’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.3%.
Leody Taveras is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.
Leody Taveras has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Leody Taveras in today’s matchup.
Based on Statcast metrics, Leody Taveras grades out in the 25th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 13.100.
Leody Taveras has compiled a .281 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 14th percentile.
In the last week’s worth of games, Marcus Semien’s 10% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.4%.
Josh H. Smith will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
This season, Josh H. Smith’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 10.7% last year to just 3.8% this year.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Josh H. Smith has experienced some positive variance this year. His .325 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .301.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jack Lopez ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the same side that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Jack Lopez will have a disadvantage in today’s game.
Jack Lopez has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.5-mph dropping to 84.3-mph over the last week.
Today, Nathaniel Lowe is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 42.6% rate (99th percentile).
Typically, hitters like Nathaniel Lowe who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Jack Kochanowicz.
Nathaniel Lowe will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Nathaniel Lowe’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 92.5-mph figure last year has dropped to 90.4-mph.
Nathaniel Lowe has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 15.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a good deal higher than his 10.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Ranking in the 22nd percentile, Leody Taveras has posted a .274 BABIP this year.
Nathaniel Lowe’s launch angle recently (0.4° in the past 14 days) is quite a bit lower than his 7.7° seasonal mark.
Brandon Drury is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
Hitting from the same side that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Brandon Drury will be in a tough position in today’s game.
Brandon Drury has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 11.1% rate last year has fallen off to 3.8% this year.
From last year to this one, Brandon Drury’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 14.4% to 10.5%.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Jack Kochanowicz’s overall pitching talent is in the 23rd percentile out of all starters in the game right now.
Sporting a 1.600 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Michael Stefanic grades out in the 8th percentile for power.
Posting a .254 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Michael Stefanic grades out in the 17th percentile for hitting ability.
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