Pirates vs Rockies match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Sunday, August 3rd

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Pirates vs Rockies match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Sunday, August 3rd

PIT @ COL

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Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Pittsburgh Pirates at Colorado Rockies
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, August 3rd
03/08/25 15:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Pirates vs Rockies Series Game 3 Matchup Today

Warming Bernabel has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (50% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

The #1 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Among every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the 10th-best field in baseball for righty home runs.

Warming Bernabel will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Coors Field projects as the #1 venue in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When estimating his home run ability, Brenton Doyle ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Brenton Doyle will hold that advantage today.

Brenton Doyle’s BABIP ability is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

The #10 stadium in the league for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

Hitting from the opposite that Bradley Blalock throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have an edge in today’s game.

The #1 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

Hunter Goodman will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 77th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Jordan Beck is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher stats in all categories, and Bradley Blalock will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Given the 1.68 disparity between Bradley Blalock’s 7.09 ERA and his 5.41 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in MLB this year and figures to positively regress the rest of the season.

Bradley Blalock has notched a .329 BABIP this year, a sign that he has been one of the unluckiest mound aces in the majors on balls in play with better performance likely coming.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best stadium in the majors for batting average.

Bradley Blalock has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 4.36 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 6.01 — a 1.65 K/9 difference.

Recording 92 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Mitch Keller places him the 80th percentile.

The Colorado Rockies projected lineup projects as the worst of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill.

Mitch Keller will have the handedness advantage over 7 opposing bats in this matchup.

Mitch Keller was on point in his previous game started and gave up 1 ER.

The Colorado Rockies have 4 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Brenton Doyle, Mickey Moniak, Jordan Beck, Hunter Goodman).

Bryan Reynolds’s BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

In the past week, Tommy Pham’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.9% up to 25%.

Tommy Pham has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.9-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 91.3-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Joey Bart has seen a big gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 98.1-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.4-mph figure.

Joey Bart has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 2.5 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is considerably lower than his 14.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.

When it comes to his home run talent, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mickey Moniak is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Batting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an advantage today.

Thairo Estrada is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Thairo Estrada will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Orlando Arcia will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

In the past two weeks, Orlando Arcia’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.2-mph over the course of the season to 94-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as baseball’s 6th-best home run hitter.

Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Nick Gonzales’s BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nick Gonzales is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Nick Gonzales ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Ezequiel Tovar will hold that advantage today.

Jared Triolo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 17.2% to 22%.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jared Triolo has experienced some negative variance this year. His .236 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .315.

Negative Match Player Stats with Pirates vs Rockies Series Game 3

When it comes to his home run talent, Warming Bernabel ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.9-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.

Mitch Keller will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Warming Bernabel in today’s game.

In the last two weeks, Warming Bernabel has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 103.9-mph on the top 5% of his batted balls.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Warming Bernabel in the 22nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Brenton Doyle has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (70% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Mitch Keller will have the handedness advantage against Brenton Doyle in today’s game.

Brenton Doyle has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 11.2% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last two weeks.

Brenton Doyle’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 90.3-mph seasonal average has lowered to 86.6-mph in the past 14 days.

Spencer Horwitz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Spencer Horwitz has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 8.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last 7 days.

Spencer Horwitz’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 91-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 88-mph over the last two weeks.

Spencer Horwitz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, decreasing from 19.7% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

With a .295 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Spencer Horwitz has performed in the 25th percentile.

Hunter Goodman has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (95% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Mitch Keller will hold the platoon advantage over Hunter Goodman in today’s game.

Hunter Goodman has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .360 mark is a good deal higher than his .290 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

By putting up a 4.97 K/BB rate this year, Hunter Goodman has shown bad plate discipline, checking in at the 8th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Mitch Keller throws from, Jordan Beck will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

Jordan Beck has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph dropping to 84.3-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 13.4°, Jordan Beck has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1.3°) in the last 14 days.

Despite posting a .340 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jordan Beck has had positive variance on his side given the .037 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .303.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Bradley Blalock in the 3rd percentile when assessing his overall pitching skills.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Bradley Blalock is projected to throw 78 pitches in today’s matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least of all pitchers on the slate.

It may be smart to expect better results for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the unluckiest offense in the game this year.

It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Alfonso Marquez) calling pitches today.

Projected catcher Hunter Goodman projects as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Bradley Blalock in the 2nd percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.

The #1 venue in the majors for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

It may be smart to expect positive regression for the Colorado Rockies offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 7th-unluckiest offense in the league this year.

Mitch Keller’s slider utilization has spiked by 8.9% from last year to this one (25.1% to 34%) .

Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Mitch Keller today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryan Reynolds in today’s matchup.

In the past 7 days, Bryan Reynolds’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.9% down to 0%.

In the past week’s worth of games, Bryan Reynolds’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.1%.

Bryan Reynolds has put up a .291 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile.

Tommy Pham is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Bradley Blalock will hold the platoon advantage against Tommy Pham in today’s matchup.

Tommy Pham will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Tommy Pham’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (5.5°) is quite a bit lower than his 9.6° angle last season.

Joey Bart is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Bradley Blalock will have the handedness advantage against Joey Bart today.

Joey Bart will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Joey Bart has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 9.3% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last 7 days.

Hitting from the same side that Bradley Blalock throws from, Andrew McCutchen will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andrew McCutchen in today’s game.

Andrew McCutchen’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 94.6-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 85.6-mph over the past 7 days.

Andrew McCutchen’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 17.4% to 12.6%.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Mickey Moniak has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 25% of the time.

Mickey Moniak has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 12.4% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past 7 days.

Mickey Moniak’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, falling from 19.8% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

Mickey Moniak has been lucky this year, putting up a .359 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .314 — a .045 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thairo Estrada in the 15th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Batting from the same side that Mitch Keller throws from, Thairo Estrada meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Thairo Estrada’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 86.6-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 83.7-mph over the last two weeks.

Thairo Estrada has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average this year; his .264 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .248 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thairo Estrada in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Thairo Estrada has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .293 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .278 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Orlando Arcia in the 4th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Orlando Arcia is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Mitch Keller will have the handedness advantage over Orlando Arcia in today’s game.

Orlando Arcia’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 88.2-mph figure last year has dropped off to 86.1-mph.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Orlando Arcia ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Oneil Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Over the last two weeks, Oneil Cruz’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 21% down to 13.8%.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 9.5°, Oneil Cruz has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-6.8°) in the last two weeks.

Oneil Cruz has notched a .217 batting average this year, ranking in the 11th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Bradley Blalock throws from, Nick Gonzales has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nick Gonzales in today’s matchup.

There has been a significant decline in Nick Gonzales’s launch angle from last year’s 12.6° to 8.5° this year.

Nick Gonzales’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (0.7° over the last two weeks) is significantly worse than his 7.3° seasonal figure.

Mitch Keller will have the handedness advantage against Ezequiel Tovar in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ezequiel Tovar’s true offensive talent to be a .304, implying that he has been very fortunate this year given the .029 disparity between that mark and his actual .333 wOBA.

Jared Triolo is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Bradley Blalock throws from, Jared Triolo will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jared Triolo today.

Jared Triolo’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to assess power) has been 106.3 mph this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile.

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