
ARI @ ATH


Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, August 3rd
03/08/25 16:05:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for D-Backs vs Athletics Series Game 3 Matchup Today
Adrian Del Castillo is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest weather of all games today at 84°.
Adrian Del Castillo will have the handedness advantage against Jack Perkins in today’s matchup.
Over the last 14 days, Adrian Del Castillo has posted a 27.6° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.
Sutter Health Park has the 5th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the 10th-best park in baseball for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Locklear in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Since the start of last season, Tyler Locklear’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to study power) ranks in the 99th percentile at 100.2 mph.
Tyler Locklear has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 25.6° angle is among the highest in baseball since the start of last season (98th percentile).
The #10 ballpark in MLB for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.
Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Colby Thomas will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Colby Thomas will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nicholas Kurtz in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Nicholas Kurtz is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Nicholas Kurtz will hold that advantage today.
Nicholas Kurtz has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 21.2% seasonal rate to 36.7% in the last 14 days.
Nicholas Kurtz projects as the 7th-best home run hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ketel Marte projects as the 11th-best batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.
Ketel Marte has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.2-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 91.3-mph mark.
Ketel Marte has recorded a .392 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 97th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.5-mph to 93.5-mph in the last week.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .248 BA is deflated compared to his .266 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
Brent Rooker projects as the 14th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brent Rooker is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.
Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Brent Rooker will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Brent Rooker will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
James McCann has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.4-mph average to last year’s 86.9-mph average.
When it comes to his batting average, James McCann has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .243 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .264.
Placing in the 78th percentile for power, James McCann has paced 21.5 dingers per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.
Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Gio Urshela will have an advantage in today’s game.
Gio Urshela will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Gio Urshela has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96.3-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 91.7-mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gio Urshela in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
Luis Urias will hold the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez today.
Luis Urias will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
As it relates to plate discipline, Luis Urias’s talent is quite strong, putting up a 1.34 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 92nd percentile.
Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.
Geraldo Perdomo has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.9-mph average to last season’s 88.1-mph EV.
Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 13% to 19.8%.
Geraldo Perdomo has posted a .353 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 87th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Eduardo Rodriguez in the 81st percentile among all starting pitchers in the league.
Eduardo Rodriguez has averaged 91.5 adjusted pitches per GS this year, ranking in the 75th percentile.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the most strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Athletics with a 25.6% underlying K%.
Eduardo Rodriguez has a reverse platoon split and is fortunate enough to be facing 7 opposite-handed hitters in today’s game.
Placing in the 77th percentile, Eduardo Rodriguez has compiled a 24.3% K% this year.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Eduardo Rodriguez’s overall pitching skill ranks in the 75th percentile among all starters in the league right now.
The underlying talent of the Athletics projected offense today (.310 projected wOBA according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be quite a bit weaker than their .323 wOBA this year.
The Athletics have been the 5th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse going forward,Austin Wynns will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Austin Wynns will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shea Langeliers in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Shea Langeliers is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.
Shea Langeliers will hold the platoon advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Shea Langeliers will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shea Langeliers in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
Blaze Alexander’s BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Blaze Alexander has notched a .314 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 77th percentile.
Hitting from the opposite that Jack Perkins throws from, Alek Thomas will have an edge in today’s game.
Over the last week, Alek Thomas’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.6% up to 14.3%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.
Corbin Carroll will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Perkins in today’s game.
Corbin Carroll has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.6-mph average to last season’s 89.2-mph mark.
Negative Match Player Stats with D-Backs vs Athletics Series Game 3
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adrian Del Castillo in the 20th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.
Adrian Del Castillo has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will be challenged by the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Adrian Del Castillo in today’s game.
Adrian Del Castillo has been cold of late, notching a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) in the last 14 days.
Adrian Del Castillo has shown some bad exit velocity statistics in recent games, averaging just 87.1-mph on his flyballs in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Adrian Del Castillo has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .346 figure is a good deal higher than his .258 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Tyler Locklear has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Among all parks, Sutter Health Park’s left field dimensions are the 6th-deepest.
Batting from the same side that Jack Perkins throws from, Tyler Locklear will have a tough matchup in today’s game.
Tyler Locklear will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
In notching a .200 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Tyler Locklear grades out in the 4th percentile for offensive ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colby Thomas in the 15th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
Colby Thomas is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.
The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams in action today.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Colby Thomas ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Eduardo Rodriguez will have the handedness advantage against Nicholas Kurtz in today’s matchup.
Nicholas Kurtz has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.
Despite posting a .432 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nicholas Kurtz has been very fortunate given the .084 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .348.
Sutter Health Park has the 9th-largest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally bad for home runs.
The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will bat from his worse side (0) today against Jack Perkins,Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ketel Marte in today’s matchup.
Ketel Marte has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 15.7% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.
In the past 7 days, Ketel Marte’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.2%.
Batting from the same side that Jack Perkins throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have a disadvantage in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today’s matchup.
In the past 14 days, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s 25.9% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 46%.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded a .296 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 25th percentile.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s launch angle of late (-4.5° over the past 7 days) is considerably lower than his 15.8° seasonal mark.
In today’s matchup, Brent Rooker is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.7% rate (80th percentile).
Brent Rooker’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 91-mph seasonal average has decreased to 84.9-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Brent Rooker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 20.6% to 17.6%.
James McCann is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today.
Hitting from the same side that Jack Perkins throws from, James McCann will have a tough challenge in today’s game.
James McCann hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.
James McCann will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
James McCann’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 92.8-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 83.6-mph over the past two weeks.
When estimating his home run talent, Gio Urshela ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Gio Urshela is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.
In today’s matchup, Gio Urshela is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.5% rate (79th percentile).
Using Statcast data, Gio Urshela ranks in the 11th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 4.200.
When it comes to power, Gio Urshela has performed in the 0th percentile, having averaged 0 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Urias in the 4th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Luis Urias is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.
Luis Urias pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.
Luis Urias’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 86.5-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 83.7-mph over the last 14 days.
Compared to his seasonal figure of 14.1°, Luis Urias has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.8°) in the last two weeks.
Luis Urias has been cold of late, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) over the last 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 16th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
Geraldo Perdomo will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off in recent games, going from 44.5% on the season to 33.3% over the past week.
Despite posting a .349 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Geraldo Perdomo has been very fortunate given the .039 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .310.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Geraldo Perdomo’s 13.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 19.8%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 18th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Marvin Hudson projects as a Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be umping in this game.
Eduardo Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Eduardo Rodriguez’s 91.3-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 15th percentile out of all starters.
It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Eduardo Rodriguez has gone to his fastball a lot this year, though: 53.6% of the time, ranking in the 100th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for walks.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Austin Wynns ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Austin Wynns is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Austin Wynns pulls many of his flyballs (33.1% — 76th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
This year, there has been a decline in Austin Wynns’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 25.17 ft/sec last year to 24.48 ft/sec currently.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Austin Wynns’s true offensive talent to be a .273, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .091 disparity between that mark and his actual .364 wOBA.
Shea Langeliers pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.
From last season to this one, Shea Langeliers’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 95.3 mph to 92 mph.
Shea Langeliers’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 92-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 89.3-mph in the last 14 days.
Posting a .261 BABIP this year, Shea Langeliers is positioned in the 11th percentile.
As it relates to his home runs, Shea Langeliers has had some very good luck this year. His 35.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 25.4.
Blaze Alexander is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Jack Perkins will have the handedness advantage against Blaze Alexander today.
Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Blaze Alexander in today’s game.
Blaze Alexander has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 12.5% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past 7 days.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Blaze Alexander ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Alek Thomas is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.
14% of the time that Alek Thomas has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been pulled from the game early.
Alek Thomas has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Alek Thomas will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
In the past week’s worth of games, Alek Thomas’s 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 38%.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 8.6°, Alek Thomas’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls has dropped significantly of late (5.5° in the past 14 days).
Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Corbin Carroll in today’s matchup.
In the past week’s worth of games, Corbin Carroll’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.1%.
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