Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Pittsburgh at Arizona Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

The #2 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

Andrew McCutchen has made notable gains with his Barrel%, improving his 6.8% rate last year to 12.1% this year.

When estimating his home run skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Christian Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Connor Joe is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Yilber Diaz throws from, Ji Hwan Bae will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Eugenio Suarez will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

In the last week, Eugenio Suarez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.4% up to 26.7%.

Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the majors for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Geraldo Perdomo’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.6-mph over the course of the season to 89.8-mph lately.

Geraldo Perdomo’s launch angle lately (28.2° in the last two weeks) is significantly better than his 17.8° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the league’s 12th-best home run batter.

Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Oneil Cruz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yilber Diaz in today’s game.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Oneil Cruz, Joey Bart, Michael A. Taylor).

With 6 hitters of the same handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Yilber Diaz figures to benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.

Yilber Diaz will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his metrics across the board.

Out of all SPs, Yilber Diaz’s fastball velocity of 95.4 mph is in the 91st percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ji Hwan Bae in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When estimating his home run talent, Joey Bart ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Joey Bart has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 94-mph over the past week.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ketel Marte projects as the 18th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

Ketel Marte will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Joc Pederson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Joc Pederson will have the upper hand in today’s game.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joc Pederson can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Ke’Bryan Hayes’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Despite posting a .264 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ke’Bryan Hayes has been unlucky given the .036 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .300.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better going forward, The #2 venue in the league for boosting base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

In his previous outing, Yilber Diaz conceded a whopping 7 earned runs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Alek Thomas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today’s game.

Alek Thomas is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Pittsburgh Pirates only has 1 same-handed RP.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Gabriel Moreno will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Gabriel Moreno has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.3-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 90.1-mph EV.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (16.1) provides evidence that Michael A. Taylor has had some very poor luck this year with his 6.0 actual HR/600.

Michael A. Taylor’s 11.1% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) grades out in the 80th percentile this year.

Andrew McCutchen has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.7-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal figure of 93.6-mph.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has had some very poor luck with his home runs this year; his 19.5 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is quite a bit lower than his 23.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Corbin Carroll will probably have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Pittsburgh Pirates only has 1 same-handed RP.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Gabriel Moreno ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his home runs, Gabriel Moreno has suffered from bad luck this year. His 8.5 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been significantly deflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 13.5.

Josh Palacios is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.

Josh Palacios will hold the platoon advantage over Yilber Diaz in today’s game.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.258) implies that Josh Palacios has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .238 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Michael A. Taylor’s true offensive skill to be a .282, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .045 deviation between that figure and his actual .237 wOBA.

Alek Thomas will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

In comparison to his 88.9-mph average last year, Alek Thomas’s exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 91.6 mph.

Mitch Keller has averaged 95.6 adjusted pitches per outing this year, placing in the 91st percentile.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have been the 9th-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress going forward, Mitch Keller was in good form in his previous game started and gave up 1 ER.

In the last week’s worth of games, Oneil Cruz’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 18.4% up to 23.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

In comparison to his 91.1-mph average last year, Ketel Marte’s exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 93.5 mph.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.320) implies that Josh Palacios has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .301 actual wOBA.

In terms of power, Josh Palacios is ranked in the 78th percentile, having averaged 23.7 dingers per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

Geraldo Perdomo has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs this year; his 0.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is considerably lower than his 5.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Eugenio Suarez has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph to 97.5-mph over the past two weeks.

Christian Walker has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last season’s 91.2-mph figure.

Sunday Series Game 3 player match stat slumps with Pirates vs D-Backs Matchup

Low humidity has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-least humid conditions on the slate at 34%.

Batting from the same side that Yilber Diaz throws from, Andrew McCutchen faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Today, Andrew McCutchen is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.6% rate (86th percentile).

The Arizona Diamondbacks infield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among all the teams in action today.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Andrew McCutchen today.

The 3rd-deepest CF fences in the league are found in Chase Field.

Mitch Keller will have the handedness advantage against Christian Walker today.

The #1 park in baseball for suppressing home runs to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Yilber Diaz will have the handedness advantage against Connor Joe today.

Connor Joe hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Connor Joe will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ji Hwan Bae in the 5th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Ji Hwan Bae is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

The #1 park in the game for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.

Batting from the same side that Mitch Keller throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, Eugenio Suarez is in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .224.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 8th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today.

The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Mitch Keller, Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Oneil Cruz in today’s game.

Oneil Cruz’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 95.7-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 91.8-mph in the past 14 days.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Yilber Diaz is projected to throw 82 pitches in today’s game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 8th-least on the slate.

Yilber Diaz wasn’t on when it came to striking hitters out in his last start and put up 0 Ks.

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Yilber Diaz has relied on his fastball a lot since the start of last season, though: 61.8% of the time, placing in the 100th percentile.

Ji Hwan Bae will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Joey Bart is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

Yilber Diaz will hold the platoon advantage over Joey Bart in today’s game.

The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Mitch Keller, Ketel Marte pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 82nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

As it relates to his home runs, Ketel Marte has been lucky this year. His 30.3 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 24.6.

Joc Pederson pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Joc Pederson has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .376 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .340 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (72% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Yilber Diaz throws from, Ke’Bryan Hayes will be in a tough position in today’s game.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.6%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.

Alek Thomas is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Alek Thomas has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 10.9% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week.

Checking in at the 10th percentile, Alek Thomas has notched a .274 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Mitch Keller will have the handedness advantage against Lourdes Gurriel Jr. today.

In the past week’s worth of games, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.9% down to 0%.

In the past two weeks, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 91.9 mph to 88.4 mph.

Gabriel Moreno is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.

Mitch Keller will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gabriel Moreno today.

Gabriel Moreno has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Gabriel Moreno’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 44.3% to 39.1%.

Michael A. Taylor’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Michael A. Taylor is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the same side that Yilber Diaz throws from, Michael A. Taylor will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

In today’s matchup, Michael A. Taylor is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.5% rate (97th percentile).

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Ketel Marte has been very fortunate this year. His .377 mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .358.

From last year to this one, Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 16.5% to 9.1%.

By putting up a .277 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Corbin Carroll is positioned in the 17th percentile.

When starting against a right-handed pitcher since the start of last season, Josh Palacios has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 14% of the time.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Josh Palacios in today’s game.

Checking in at the 12th percentile, Corbin Carroll sits with a .325 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

By putting up a .243 BABIP this year, Corbin Carroll is positioned in the 9th percentile.

When assessing his home run talent, Ke’Bryan Hayes ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his home run talent, Alek Thomas ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mitch Keller will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Mitch Keller has used his cut-fastball 6.9% less often this season (17.4%) than he did last year (24.3%).

Given the 1.06 deviation between Mitch Keller’s 3.34 ERA and his 4.40 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the game this year and ought to see worse results in the future.

Mitch Keller’s 2410-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 80th percentile among all SPs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Checking in at the 22nd percentile, Mitch Keller put up a 9% Swinging Strike rate this year.

Geraldo Perdomo’s BABIP talent is projected in the 13th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 23rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.