Pirates vs Cardinals match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, August 27th

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Pirates vs Cardinals match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, August 27th

PIT @ STL

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Pirates @ Cardinals Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals
Series : Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Wednesday, August 27th
Time : 27/08/25 19:45:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Pittsburgh Pirates Game Today

Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.

Among all major league parks, Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

Spencer Horwitz will hold the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray in today’s matchup.

Spencer Horwitz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, going from 20.6% on the season to 35.7% in the past week’s worth of games.

Among every team today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thomas Saggese in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams today.

Thomas Saggese will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Thomas Saggese has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 6.1% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past 14 days.

Thomas Saggese has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.7-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 90.4-mph EV.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Willson Contreras will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Sonny Gray’s overall pitching ability ranks in the 93rd percentile out of all starting pitchers in MLB currently.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Pedro Pages (the Cardinals’s expected catcher today) profiles as a good pitch framer.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Busch Stadium as the 2nd-worst venue in Major League Baseball for home runs.

In Major League Baseball, Busch Stadium’s right field fences are the 2nd-deepest.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats in all categories, and Sonny Gray will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Sonny Gray projects as the 20th-best starting pitcher in the game currently as it relates to his strikeout ability, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Pittsburgh Pirates have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Joey Bart, Oneil Cruz, Jack Suwinski).

Sonny Gray’s 2493-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 91st percentile among all starters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Sonny Gray.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Over the last two weeks, Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.3-mph over the course of the season to 90.5-mph lately.

Over the last week, Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s 75% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.

Andrew McCutchen hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an advantage in today’s game.

Oneil Cruz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the majors’s 6th-best home run hitter.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

Batting from the opposite that Carmen Mlodzinski throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an advantage today.

The Pittsburgh Pirates don’t have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Lars Nootbaar is assured to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

When estimating his home run skill, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nolan Gorman is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Carmen Mlodzinski throws from, Nolan Gorman will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

The Pittsburgh Pirates don’t have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Nolan Gorman is certain to hold the advantage against every reliever all game.

Pedro Pages will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Alec Burleson’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Alec Burleson will hold the platoon advantage over Carmen Mlodzinski today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

The Pittsburgh Pirates don’t have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Alec Burleson is assured to never face a bullpen mismatch the whole game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.1% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Jordan Walker has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 10.2% seasonal rate to 23.5% over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Masyn Winn has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 5.1% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the past 7 days.

Masyn Winn has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 92.9-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 89.5-mph.

Jared Triolo’s BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jared Triolo is penciled in 1st in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 97% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

In the last week, Jared Triolo’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.8% up to 23.1%.

Jared Triolo has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph to 93.4-mph in the past week.

Negatives with the St. Louis Cardinals Game Today

Busch Stadium profiles as the #25 stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Spencer Horwitz has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 8th-deepest LF fences today.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Spencer Horwitz today.

Spencer Horwitz’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 87.5-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 85.2-mph in the past 14 days.

The #7 ballpark in the league for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Thomas Saggese is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.

Carmen Mlodzinski will hold the platoon advantage against Thomas Saggese today.

Thomas Saggese has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Thomas Saggese’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, falling from 21.9% on the season to 8.3% over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Busch Stadium as the 4th-worst field in the majors for RHB home runs.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.236) provides evidence that Thomas Saggese has been lucky this year with his .255 actual batting average.

Home runs are generally less common at stadiums with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest in Major League Baseball.

Carmen Mlodzinski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Willson Contreras in today’s matchup.

It may be best to expect stronger performance for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 3rd-unluckiest offense in the league this year.

Jordan Baker profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be in charge of the strike zone in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Busch Stadium as the 2nd-worst venue in the majors for strikeouts.

Sonny Gray’s fastball velocity has fallen 1.2 mph this year (91.1 mph) below where it was last season (92.3 mph).

Sonny Gray has gone to his cut-fastball 6.3% less often this season (11.5%) than he did last year (17.8%).

Bryan Reynolds will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

In the last week’s worth of games, Bryan Reynolds’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.2% down to 0%.

When it comes to plate discipline, Bryan Reynolds’s skill is quite bad, putting up a 3.66 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 21st percentile.

Bryan Reynolds’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 93.8-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 84.6-mph in the past 7 days.

When estimating his home run ability, Isiah Kiner-Falefa ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Isiah Kiner-Falefa is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.

Batting from the same side that Sonny Gray throws from, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a tough challenge today.

In today’s game, Isiah Kiner-Falefa is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.3% rate (91st percentile).

Isiah Kiner-Falefa will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s launch angle this year (4.1°) is considerably lower than his 8.9° mark last season.

Hitting from the same side that Sonny Gray throws from, Andrew McCutchen will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Andrew McCutchen will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

In the last 14 days, Andrew McCutchen’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (-0.6°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 12.7°.

Oneil Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Oneil Cruz has posted a .206 batting average this year, checking in at the 3rd percentile.

Oneil Cruz and his 6.5° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 11th percentile, among the lowest in baseball this year.

Carmen Mlodzinski will hold the platoon advantage against Ivan Herrera today.

Ivan Herrera has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 9.1°, Ivan Herrera has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-2.5°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Ivan Herrera’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 16.3% to 9.6%.

Ivan Herrera has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .279 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .267 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nolan Gorman pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 82nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Nolan Gorman has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 10.1% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week.

Nolan Gorman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 25% to 19.5%.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.307) may lead us to conclude that Nolan Gorman has had some very good luck this year with his .325 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 16th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pedro Pages in the 21st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Pedro Pages is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

15% of the time that Pedro Pages has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Hitting from the same side that Carmen Mlodzinski throws from, Pedro Pages will have a tough matchup today.

Pedro Pages has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Alec Burleson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, falling from 15.8% on the season to 7.7% in the past two weeks.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.261) suggests that Alec Burleson has experienced some positive variance this year with his .291 actual batting average.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Alec Burleson has had positive variance on his side this year. His .346 mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .319.

Jordan Walker is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Carmen Mlodzinski throws from, Jordan Walker will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Last season, Jordan Walker had a launch angle of 7.9° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 2.7°.

In the last 7 days, Jordan Walker’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.3%.

With a .278 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Jordan Walker grades out in the 8th percentile for offensive ability.

Masyn Winn has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (71% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the same side that Carmen Mlodzinski throws from, Masyn Winn faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Masyn Winn’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined recently, decreasing from 43% on the season to 25% in the last week’s worth of games.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 15.4°, Masyn Winn has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.3°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Masyn Winn grades out in the 25th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .303.

Sonny Gray will have the handedness advantage over Jared Triolo today.

Today, Jared Triolo is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.5% rate (88th percentile).

Jared Triolo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Checking in at the 16th percentile, Jared Triolo has notched a .357 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

In notching a .214 batting average this year, Jared Triolo is ranked in the 6th percentile.

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