Pirates @ Brewers Matchup Details

Positives for the Pittsburgh Pirates Game Today

The #9 field in the league for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

,Among all parks, American Family Field’s centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.

,In the league, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.

,Sal Frelick will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes in today’s matchup.

,The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

,Gary Sanchez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 9th-best venue in the majors for right-handed home runs.

,When it comes to his home run skill, Jake Bauers ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jake Bauers is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

,American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,William Contreras is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Konnor Griffin as the 5th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Woodruff in today’s game.

,Spencer Horwitz has notched a .346 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 81st percentile.

,Joey Ortiz will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,When estimating his BABIP skill, Garrett Mitchell is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Garrett Mitchell is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

,Sal Frelick’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Ryan O’Hearn ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Ryan O’Hearn is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.

,As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Brandon Woodruff in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, David Hamilton will have an advantage in today’s game.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Brice Turang’s BABIP talent is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Brice Turang is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Paul Skenes projects as the 2nd-best starter in the league currently, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Paul Skenes has been granted more leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, tallying 4.2 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than the average starting pitcher.

,The Milwaukee Brewers projected batting order ranks as the 4th-weakest on the slate in terms of overall batting skill.

,The Milwaukee Brewers have been the 8th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in the future,American Family Field projects as the #25 stadium in baseball for walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Paul Skenes projects as the 5th-best SP in Major League Baseball currently when estimating his strikeout skill, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The #1 stadium in the game for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

,Paul Skenes’s 96.6-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 92nd percentile out of all starting pitchers.

,Paul Skenes has compiled a 13.5% Swinging Strike rate since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile.

,Oneil Cruz projects as the 12th-best home run batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Brandon Woodruff throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an edge today.

,Compared to last year, Brandon Lowe has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 17.4% to 21.1% this season.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Gary Sanchez will hold that advantage today.

,Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Jake Bauers will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Pittsburgh’s 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Jake Bauers, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

,Posting a 1.56 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Spencer Horwitz has shown favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 89th percentile.

,Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Sal Frelick will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Brandon Woodruff is an extreme flyball pitcher (42% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #8 HR venue in the majors in this game.

,Brandon Woodruff’s four-seamer usage has jumped by 7.5% from last season to this one (30.9% to 38.4%) .

,Out of all starters, Brandon Woodruff’s fastball velocity of 91.8 mph grades out in the 15th percentile this year.

,Brandon Lockridge will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lockridge in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Brandon Lockridge has recorded a .335 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 87th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Ryan O’Hearn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Woodruff in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run ability.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Oneil Cruz ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Batting from the opposite that Brandon Woodruff throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Oneil Cruz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,David Hamilton will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Brice Turang will have an edge today.

,Brice Turang hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Marcell Ozuna’s launch angle this season (24°) is significantly better than his 14.6° mark last year.

,Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Garrett Mitchell will have an edge today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gary Sanchez in the 97th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Brandon Woodruff in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.

,The Pittsburgh Pirates (24.1% K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 4th-most strikeout-heavy group of batters of the day.

,Ranking in the 75th percentile, Brandon Woodruff compiled an 11.8% Swinging Strike rate since the start of last season.

Negatives with the Milwaukee Brewers Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 4th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

,Sal Frelick is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.

,From last year to this one, Sal Frelick’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 41.1% to 31%.

,Since the start of last season, Sal Frelick’s 2.9% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 8th percentile among his peers.

,The standard deviation of Sal Frelick’s launch angle since the start of last season (31°) is in the 13th percentile. A high deviation like this tends to lead to a lower BABIP.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gary Sanchez in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,Hitting from the same side that Paul Skenes throws from, Gary Sanchez meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Jake Bauers pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 75th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Jake Bauers’s launch angle this year (11.2°) is significantly lower than his 16.6° mark last year.

,Paul Skenes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against William Contreras in today’s matchup.

,William Contreras’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 43.9% to 36.8%.

,The standard deviation of William Contreras’s launch angle since the start of last season (30.1°) is in the 20th percentile. A high figure like this tends to lead to a lower rate of base hits.

,Konnor Griffin is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this game.

,Brandon Woodruff will hold the platoon advantage over Konnor Griffin in today’s game.

,The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense projects as the strongest out of all the teams playing today.

,Konnor Griffin will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,Konnor Griffin has been cold lately, putting up a .235 wOBA in the past week’s worth of games.

,Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today.

,Spencer Horwitz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,This season, Spencer Horwitz’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 8.4% last year to just 2.3% this year.

,Spencer Horwitz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 20.2% to 11.6%.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Joey Ortiz ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Joey Ortiz is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.

,Paul Skenes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Ortiz in today’s matchup.

,Joey Ortiz has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences today.

,Joey Ortiz’s launch angle this season (-0.1°) is quite a bit lower than his 13.8° mark last season.

,Power-wise, Garrett Mitchell is ranked in the 25th percentile, having hit 3.8 home runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 10th-worst ballpark in MLB for left-handed batting average.

,Ryan O’Hearn will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Ryan O’Hearn’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 18.4% to 13.1%.

,Bryan Reynolds will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,Bryan Reynolds’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, going from 50.9% to 44.6%.

,David Hamilton’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,David Hamilton is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,David Hamilton’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 10.4% to 2.8%.

,The standard deviation of David Hamilton’s launch angle since the start of last season (30.8°) is in the 15th percentile. A high deviation like this tends to lead to a lower rate of base hits.

,Ranking in the 24th percentile, David Hamilton sports a .247 BABIP since the start of last season.

,Bryan Reynolds’s 7.2° launch angle (a reliable stat to measure a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most groundball-inducing in MLB: 7th percentile.

,Hitting from the same side that Brandon Woodruff throws from, Marcell Ozuna meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Marcell Ozuna will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,With a .266 BABIP since the start of last season, Marcell Ozuna finds himself in the 15th percentile.

,Paul Skenes will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Paul Skenes has utilized his sinker 7.3% more often this season (16.1%) than he did last season (8.8%).

,Oneil Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,By putting up a .214 batting average since the start of last season, Oneil Cruz is ranked in the 11th percentile.

,Brandon Lowe pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 88th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brandon Lowe today.

,Sporting a 3.34 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Brandon Lowe has shown weak plate discipline, ranking in the 25th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 10th-worst ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 23rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,With a .265 wOBA in the past two weeks’ worth of games, Sal Frelick has been struggling at the plate.

,When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Sal Frelick and his 11.9% rank in the 6th percentile since the start of last season.

,Henry Davis is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.

,Batting from the same side that Brandon Woodruff throws from, Henry Davis faces a tough challenge today.

,Henry Davis will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,This season, Henry Davis’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 11.8% last year to just 5.6% this year.

,From last year to this one, Henry Davis’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 13.4% to 5.6%.

,Brice Turang’s 9.1° launch angle (a reliable metric to evaluate a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most groundball-inducing in Major League Baseball: 14th percentile.

,Oneil Cruz and his 5.9° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 9th percentile, among the lowest in MLB since the start of last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Brandon Woodruff in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching talent level.

,It may be best to expect weaker performance for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 10th-luckiest offense in the game this year.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics in all categories, and Brandon Woodruff will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lockridge in the 2nd percentile when assessing his home run skill.

,Brandon Lockridge is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Paul Skenes will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Lockridge today.

,Today, Brandon Lockridge is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.6% rate (95th percentile).

,Brandon Lockridge’s launch angle this year (-2.3°) is considerably worse than his 1.6° angle last season.

,Nick Gonzales is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.

,Batting from the same side that Brandon Woodruff throws from, Nick Gonzales encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

,In today’s matchup, Nick Gonzales is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.2% rate (83rd percentile).

,Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nick Gonzales today.

,Henry Davis’s BABIP skill is projected in the 9th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Ortiz in the 25th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,Throwing 84.7 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Brandon Woodruff checks in at the 25th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Hamilton in the 19th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,Paul Skenes was on point in his last game started and conceded 1 ER.

,When assessing his home run skill, Nick Gonzales ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Marcell Ozuna has been cold in recent games, posting a .244 wOBA over the last 7 days.

,With a 1.42 difference between Brandon Woodruff’s 10.49 K/9 and his 9.07 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game since the start of last season as it relates to strikeouts and should negatively regress the rest of the season.

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