
PHI @ MIA


Phillies @ Marlins Matchup Details
Series :
Date : Todays Game is on Friday, September 5th
Time : 05/09/25 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the Philadelphia Phillies Game Today
Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Eric Wagaman will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Eric Wagaman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Eric Wagaman will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Joey Wiemer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today’s game.
Joey Wiemer hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Joey Wiemer will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Connor Norby’s BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The 3rd-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in LoanDepot Park.
Connor Norby will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez today.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Connor Norby will hold that advantage in today’s game.
When estimating his home run skill, Agustin Ramirez ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Agustin Ramirez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.
Agustin Ramirez will hold the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez today.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Agustin Ramirez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Javier Sanoja will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Javier Sanoja will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
Jakob Marsee is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
Jakob Marsee will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
In the past week’s worth of games, Jakob Marsee has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .420.
Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Valente Bellozo will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Valente Bellozo’s cutter percentage has increased by 11.4% from last season to this one (25.3% to 36.7%) .
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Valente Bellozo in the 16th percentile when assessing his overall pitching skills.
The Philadelphia Phillies projected offense ranks as the 4th-best of all teams today in terms of overall offensive skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best field in MLB for walks.
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 4th-best home run batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.
Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage against Valente Bellozo in today’s matchup.
Kyle Schwarber will probably have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.
Kyle Schwarber has a ton of pop (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (26.9% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Valente Bellozo has a pitch-to-contact profile (25th percentile K%) — great news for Schwarber.
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 12th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Kyle Schwarber has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 15.6% rate last year to 20.9% this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 8th-best hitter in the league when estimating his batting average talent.
Trea Turner is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.
In the last 14 days, Trea Turner has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .350.
Trea Turner has compiled a .350 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 79th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Harrison Bader’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (12.8°) is considerably better than his 8.9° angle last year.
Harrison Bader has been hot lately, putting up a .347 wOBA in the past 14 days.
In notching a .350 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Harrison Bader grades out in the 79th percentile.
Placing in the 90th percentile, Harrison Bader has posted a .338 BABIP this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Max Kepler will hold the platoon advantage over Valente Bellozo in today’s matchup.
Max Kepler will probably have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP.
Max Kepler hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.
Max Kepler has made significant gains with his Barrel%, improving his 6.2% rate last season to 11.6% this season.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best batter in the league.
Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.
Batting from the opposite that Valente Bellozo throws from, Bryce Harper will have an advantage in today’s game.
Bryce Harper will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP.
Bryce Harper has been hot in recent games, whalloping 2 homers over the last week.
In the past 14 days, Bryce Harper has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .366.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
Alec Bohm has recorded a .277 batting average this year, checking in at the 84th percentile.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Alec Bohm ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 3rd-best batter in baseball when assessing his BABIP talent.
Brandon Marsh is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Valente Bellozo in today’s game.
Brandon Marsh will probably have an edge against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP.
Checking in at the 98th percentile, Brandon Marsh sports a .355 BABIP this year.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Brandon Marsh ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
Otto Lopez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.
Otto Lopez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez today.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Last season, Otto Lopez had an average launch angle of 7.9° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 11.3°.
As it relates to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Cristopher Sanchez in the 88th percentile among all starting pitchers in baseball.
Cristopher Sanchez has averaged 91.8 adjusted pitches per GS this year, placing in the 76th percentile.
The Miami Marlins have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Connor Norby, Joey Wiemer, Heriberto Hernandez).
Considering that flyball pitchers hold a sizeable edge over flyball batters, Cristopher Sanchez and his 55.5% underlying FB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a strong spot in today’s outing going up against 2 opposing FB batters.
Xavier Edwards is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.
Xavier Edwards will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Xavier Edwards has compiled a .279 batting average this year, placing in the 86th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage over Valente Bellozo today.
Bryson Stott will probably have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.
Sporting a 1.75 K/BB rate this year, Bryson Stott has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 79th percentile.
Heriberto Hernandez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game.
Heriberto Hernandez will hold the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez today.
Heriberto Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.
This year, Heriberto Hernandez’s 11.1% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 76th percentile among his peers.
When assessing his home run talent, Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Negatives with the Miami Marlins Game Today
Eric Wagaman is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
The #3 field in MLB for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.
LoanDepot Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.
Eric Wagaman has been cold of late, struggling to the tune of a .287 wOBA in the last week.
Eric Wagaman and his 6.4° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 17th percentile, among the lowest in the game this year.
The #9 ballpark in baseball for suppressing batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.
LoanDepot Park grades out as the #25 field in MLB for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Wiemer in the 5th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
Joey Wiemer is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.
Joey Wiemer has been cold lately, struggling to the tune of a .291 wOBA over the past 7 days.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Joey Wiemer ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Connor Norby is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.
Connor Norby has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 14.8% rate last year has dropped off to 8.5% this season.
Last season, Connor Norby had a launch angle of 25.3° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 21°.
Agustin Ramirez has done a weak job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 6.7° mark is among the lowest in Major League Baseball this year (18th percentile).
Placing in the 4th percentile, Agustin Ramirez has posted a .248 BABIP this year.
With a 3.39 K/BB rate this year, Agustin Ramirez has demonstrated poor plate discipline, placing in the 23rd percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Agustin Ramirez in the 25th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
When assessing his home run talent, Javier Sanoja ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Javier Sanoja is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.
With a .285 wOBA in the last week, Javier Sanoja has been struggling at the plate.
Javier Sanoja’s 2.2% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) is in the 5th percentile this year.
Hitting from the same side that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Jakob Marsee meets a tough challenge today.
Jakob Marsee has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-deepest LF fences today.
The #9 ballpark in MLB for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.
The #6 ballpark in the majors for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Valente Bellozo in the 7th percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Valente Bellozo to be on a bit of a short leash in this game, projecting a maximum of 73 pitches.
Valente Bellozo’s 90.1-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 12th percentile among all starting pitchers.
Among all starters, Valente Bellozo’s fastball spin rate of 2143 rpm grades out in the 18th percentile this year.
Valente Bellozo has recorded an 8% Swinging Strike% since the start of last season, placing in the 7th percentile.
Among all parks, LoanDepot Park’s RF fences are the 4th-deepest.
Valente Bellozo is an extreme flyball pitcher (41.3% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #25 HR venue among all stadiums in today’s game.
Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.
In today’s game, Kyle Schwarber is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 40.3% rate (99th percentile).
Kyle Schwarber will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Valente Bellozo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trea Turner in today’s matchup.
Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
Trea Turner and his 7.5° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 21st percentile, among the lowest in baseball this year.
Harrison Bader is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.
Hitting from the same side that Valente Bellozo throws from, Harrison Bader encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.
Harrison Bader pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.1% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 10th-deepest LF fences today.
Max Kepler is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today.
Max Kepler will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
With a .294 wOBA over the last 14 days, Max Kepler has been struggling at the plate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 12th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
Bryce Harper has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryce Harper in today’s matchup.
Alec Bohm is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
Valente Bellozo will hold the platoon advantage against Alec Bohm today.
Alec Bohm has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and will be challenged by the game’s 4th-deepest RF fences today.
In today’s matchup, Brandon Marsh is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36% rate (90th percentile).
Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brandon Marsh today.
Brandon Marsh’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (11°) is considerably worse than his 15.8° angle last season.
Otto Lopez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Extreme flyball batters like Otto Lopez are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez.
Ranking in the 19th percentile, Otto Lopez has notched a .189 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.
Otto Lopez has recorded a .265 BABIP this year, ranking in the 18th percentile.
With 8 batters of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Cristopher Sanchez will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.
Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Cristopher Sanchez in today’s game.
Considering the 0.32 deviation between Cristopher Sanchez’s 9.62 K/9 and his 9.30 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the game this year as it relates to strikeouts and should negatively regress going forward.
Cristopher Sanchez projects as the 9th-best starting pitcher in the majors currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The Miami Marlins projected lineup grades out as the 4th-worst on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability.
The Miami Marlins have been the 7th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in future games,When estimating his home run skill, Xavier Edwards ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Cristopher Sanchez,Xavier Edwards has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences today.
Extreme flyball batters like Xavier Edwards usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez.
Bryson Stott is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.
Bryson Stott has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bryson Stott in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 22nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
Heriberto Hernandez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33% — 75th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
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