Phillies @ Giants 2025 WorldSeries Matchup Details

Positives for the Philadelphia Phillies World Game Today

Adrian Houser has tallied 17.9 outs per start since the start of last season, placing in the 93rd percentile.

It may be best to expect worse results for the Philadelphia Phillies offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in MLB since the start of last season.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Patrick Bailey (the Giants’s expected catcher today) projects as an elite pitch framer.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the worst ballpark in MLB for walks.

Oracle Park has the highest average fence height among all major league parks.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Heliot Ramos ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Heliot Ramos is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 4th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average.

Heliot Ramos has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Bryson Stott’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bryson Stott is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 4th-best park in the league for lefty batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 10th-best batter in the league when it comes to his batting average ability.

Trea Turner is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as baseball’s 4th-best home run hitter.

Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage over Adrian Houser in today’s game.

Harrison Bader will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Harrison Bader has been hot recently, posting a a 21.4% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) over the last 7 days.

Harrison Bader has displayed some good exit velocity stats in recent games, averaging 103.4-mph on his flyballs in the past week’s worth of games.

The switch-hitting Patrick Bailey will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Andrew Painter.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Patrick Bailey will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Patrick Bailey has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 89.5-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal EV of 87-mph.

Harrison Bader has been unlucky in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 20.2 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is significantly deflated relative to his 26.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Painter throws from, Jung Hoo Lee will have an advantage today.

Jung Hoo Lee will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Crawford as the 3rd-best batter in the majors when assessing his BABIP ability.

Justin Crawford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adrian Houser today.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Matt Chapman ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Matt Chapman is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Matt Chapman will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Matt Chapman has exhibited some good exit velocity stats recently, averaging 102.2-mph on his flyballs over the past 7 days.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best hitter in the majors.

Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Bryce Harper will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adrian Houser in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 2nd-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP talent.

Hitting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

J.T. Realmuto has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.

Adrian Houser will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his metrics across the board.

When it comes to his home run talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Notching a 97.1-mph average exit velocity over the past 7 days, Adolis Garcia has been in great form in recent games.

Ranked in the 92nd percentile, Adolis Garcia has one of the highest average exit velocities in the majors since the start of last season (92.1-mph).

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 13th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Adolis Garcia ranks in the 76th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (17.7% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

In the last 7 days, Brandon Marsh’s swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 33.3% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

In his previous outing, Andrew Painter performed well and conceded 1 ER.

San Francisco’s 88.8-mph average exit velocity since the start of last season is among the worst in MLB: #24 overall.

When it comes to his home run talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Willy Adames is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Willy Adames will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

As it relates to plate discipline, Jung Hoo Lee’s talent is quite good, posting a 1.46 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 90th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

J.T. Realmuto has been lifting the ball well lately, notching a 27.5° launch angle over the past week.

As it relates to his home run skill, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Painter today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jerar Encarnacion in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Jerar Encarnacion has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.

Jerar Encarnacion will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average ability.

Alec Bohm is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Alec Bohm has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Bryson Stott will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Bryson Stott has exhibited good plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 81st percentile with a 1.72 K/BB rate.

Luis Arraez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.

Luis Arraez will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Painter in today’s matchup.

Luis Arraez will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Kyle Schwarber has a ton of pop (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (29.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Adrian Houser has a pitch-to-contact profile (19th percentile K%) — great news for Schwarber.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average skill.

Willy Adames has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs of late, hitting balls between 23° and 34° 30.8% of the time in the past week.

Andrew Painter was in good form in his previous outing and put up 8 strikeouts.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Heliot Ramos will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Trea Turner ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Trea Turner has hit one of the hardest balls in baseball in the past week — 109.7-mph — which is a strong proxy for recent form and raw power.

In notching a .342 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Trea Turner grades out in the 78th percentile for hitting ability.

Jung Hoo Lee’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Alec Bohm ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Over the past two weeks, Alec Bohm’s swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 25% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

Negatives with the San Francisco Giants World Game Today

The Philadelphia Phillies projected batting order profiles as the 2nd-best of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting ability.

Among all major league stadiums, Oracle Park’s RF fences are the shallowest.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.3-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats.

The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team in action today.

Adrian Houser’s high usage percentage of his fastball (57.9% since the start of last season) is likely harming his results, considering they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Oracle Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

Hitting from the same side that Andrew Painter throws from, Heliot Ramos will not have the upper hand today.

Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Heliot Ramos has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs in recent games, lifting balls between 23° and 34° just 0% of the time in the past 14 days.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bryson Stott in today’s matchup.

Bryson Stott has been cold in recent games, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) in the past week’s worth of games.

Posting a 2.3° launch angle in the last week suggests that Bryson Stott has been finding it challenging to lift the ball of late, which is a key component of hitting for power.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Bryson Stott is in the 21st percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 12.300.

Compiling a lowly an 81.3-mph average exit velocity over the last 7 days, Rafael Devers has been in a slump of late.

Hitting from the same side that Adrian Houser throws from, Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Trea Turner’s quickness has decreased this season. His 30.28 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.59 ft/sec now.

Kyle Schwarber will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

When it comes to his home runs, Kyle Schwarber has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His 46.5 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 42.2.

By putting up a .227 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Kyle Schwarber finds himself in the 22nd percentile.

Harrison Bader is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the same side that Andrew Painter throws from, Harrison Bader will be at a disadvantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Patrick Bailey in the 4th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Patrick Bailey is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the 3rd-worst park in the league for left-handed home runs.

Patrick Bailey has been cold of late, compiling a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the 3rd-worst stadium in the majors for right-handed home runs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 6th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Jung Hoo Lee is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

In the last 14 days, Jung Hoo Lee has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Justin Crawford is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.

Extreme flyball bats like Justin Crawford tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Adrian Houser.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Justin Crawford today.

Justin Crawford has been cold recently, putting up a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) over the past two weeks.

Batting from the same side that Andrew Painter throws from, Matt Chapman faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Over the last 14 days, Matt Chapman has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

In the past 14 days, Matt Chapman has not been doing well in optimizing the launch angle on his hardest hit balls to generate power, managing a mere a -0.5° angle.

Bryce Harper will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Bryce Harper’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 93.7-mph mark last season has dropped off to 88.7-mph.

Brandon Marsh is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game.

When starting against a right-handed starter since the start of last season, Brandon Marsh has been pinch hit for 12% of the time.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brandon Marsh in today’s game.

In the last 14 days, Brandon Marsh has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 87.5-mph on his flyballs.

J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.

Adrian Houser will have the handedness advantage against J.T. Realmuto in today’s game.

J.T. Realmuto will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

When it comes to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Adrian Houser in the 13th percentile among all SPs in Major League Baseball.

The #6 ballpark in the game for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

Adrian Houser has compiled an 8.6% Swinging Strike rate since the start of last season, checking in at the 17th percentile.

Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Adrian Houser throws from, Adolis Garcia has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Adolis Garcia today.

Adolis Garcia has recorded a .289 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 16th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.243) suggests that Harrison Bader has been lucky since the start of last season with his .267 actual batting average.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Kyle Schwarber has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His .392 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .376.

Kyle Schwarber has recorded a .253 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 6th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Painter to throw 82 pitches in this matchup (6th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), J.T. Realmuto (the Phillies’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) projects as a weak pitch framer.

Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Andrew Painter in today’s matchup.

Batting from the same side that Andrew Painter throws from, Willy Adames will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

In notching a .224 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Willy Adames finds himself in the 18th percentile.

Jerar Encarnacion is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

Since the start of last season, Jerar Encarnacion has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 11% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

Hitting from the same side that Andrew Painter throws from, Jerar Encarnacion will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Adrian Houser throws from, Alec Bohm will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alec Bohm in today’s game.

In the last two weeks, Alec Bohm has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Trea Turner has not been doing well in optimizing the launch angle on his hardest hit balls to generate power, managing a mere a 1.6° angle.

When estimating his home run talent, Luis Arraez ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Over the last 14 days, Luis Arraez has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (0.0) implies that Luis Arraez has been lucky since the start of last season with his 6.7 actual HR/600.

Willy Adames has compiled a .261 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 12th percentile.

Alec Bohm’s 7.6° launch angle (an advanced metric to study a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most groundball-inducing in the league: 9th percentile.

When assessing his home run skill, Justin Crawford ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jerar Encarnacion in the 22nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Jung Hoo Lee has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 107.2 mph (an advanced standard to assess power), ranking in the 4th percentile.

Since the start of last season, Bryson Stott’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to measure power) grades out in the 13th percentile at 89.6 mph.

J.T. Realmuto is in the 21st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (13.8% rate since the start of last season).

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