Padres @ Mariners Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positives for the San Diego Padres Series Game 2 Game Today

It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Brian Walsh) calling pitches in today’s game.

,The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

,T-Mobile Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to less offense.

,Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report expects the coldest weather on the slate today at 55°.

,Walker Buehler’s higher usage rate of his secondary pitches this season (67.7% compared to 58.8% last season) figures to work in his favor considering they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Andujar in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

,In Major League Baseball, T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest average fence height.

,Miguel Andujar pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Out of all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

,Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest in Major League Baseball.

,Josh Naylor is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.

,Josh Naylor will have the handedness advantage against Walker Buehler in today’s matchup.

,Josh Naylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.9% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

,Randy Arozarena is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 17th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

,Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Brendan Donovan will have an edge today.

,Gavin Sheets has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (75% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an advantage today.

,The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gavin Sheets stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Julio Rodriguez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,Ramon Laureano has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 93.7-mph.

,Gavin Sheets pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, J.P. Crawford will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,J.P. Crawford has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game’s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Over the past 7 days, Freddy Fermin’s 37.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.8%.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Miguel Andujar’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.5% up to 10%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,When estimating his home run ability, Dominic Canzone ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Dominic Canzone will have the handedness advantage against Walker Buehler in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

,Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Jackson Merrill will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert in today’s matchup.

,When estimating his batting average ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Freddy Fermin has been unlucky this year, notching a .232 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .282 — a .050 discrepancy.

,Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Cole Young will have the upper hand today.

,Cole Young pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Cole Young will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

,Mitch Garver pulls many of his flyballs (39.7% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Mitch Garver will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Xander Bogaerts ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Julio Rodriguez will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,Brendan Donovan has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Luke Raley ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Luke Raley has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (88% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Luke Raley will hold the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler in today’s matchup.

,Luke Raley pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

,The #1 stadium in baseball for suppressing batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

,With a 1.48 difference between Walker Buehler’s 5.20 ERA and his 3.72 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and ought to see positive regression going forward.

,Cole Young has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.1-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 92.8-mph.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jackson Merrill ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Logan Gilbert in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent.

,Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Logan Gilbert will hold that advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Dominic Canzone will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and J.P. Crawford will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Jackson Merrill will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Josh Naylor will hold that advantage today.

,When assessing his home run talent, Mitch Garver ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Mitch Garver has big-time HR ability (86th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (26.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Walker Buehler struggles to strike batters out (24th percentile K%) — great news for Garver.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage today.

,Miguel Andujar has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 93.2-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

,When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Logan Gilbert in the 93rd percentile among all starters in MLB.

Negatives with the Seattle Mariners Series Game 2 Game Today

When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Walker Buehler in the 19th percentile among all SPs in the majors.

,The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.3-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.

,The Seattle Mariners have 6 hitters in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage against Walker Buehler in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Walker Buehler today.

,Out of all starting pitchers, Walker Buehler’s fastball spin rate of 2150 rpm grades out in the 19th percentile this year.

,Miguel Andujar is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.

,The #1 stadium in the league for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

,Batting from the same side that Logan Gilbert throws from, Miguel Andujar will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Logan Gilbert will hold the platoon advantage over Xander Bogaerts today.

,Xander Bogaerts will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,Xander Bogaerts has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 7.4% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last 7 days.

,Over the last two weeks, Josh Naylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 93 mph to 89.8 mph.

,Josh Naylor’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, falling from 14.2% on the season to 7.1% over the last two weeks.

,The #1 venue in the league for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

,Hitting from the same side that Logan Gilbert throws from, Manny Machado will be in a tough position in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Manny Machado in today’s game.

,Walker Buehler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randy Arozarena today.

,Randy Arozarena’s launch angle this year (6.2°) is quite a bit lower than his 13.4° angle last year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Randy Arozarena’s true offensive talent to be a .339, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .030 deviation between that figure and his actual .369 wOBA.

,Batting from the same side that Logan Gilbert throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Fernando Tatis Jr. in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 13th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Brendan Donovan has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 8.9% rate last year has fallen off to 3.3% this season.

,There has been a decrease in Brendan Donovan’s average exit velocity this season, from 89.7 mph last year to 85.1 mph now,When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Gavin Sheets has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 15% of the time.

,Gavin Sheets will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Gavin Sheets’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 88.4-mph seasonal average has dropped to 85.7-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

,Over the last two weeks, Randy Arozarena’s 9.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.4%.

,Batting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Julio Rodriguez has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Ramon Laureano is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

,Logan Gilbert will have the handedness advantage against Ramon Laureano today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Sheets in the 20th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects T-Mobile Park as the worst venue in MLB for left-handed batting average.

,J.P. Crawford is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

,In the past week’s worth of games, J.P. Crawford’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.1% down to 0%.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Freddy Fermin ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Freddy Fermin is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.

,This year, Freddy Fermin has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 11% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

,Ramon Laureano will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,In the past 14 days, Brendan Donovan’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 90.9 mph to 84.5 mph.

,Dominic Canzone is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Dominic Canzone has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 46% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

,Dominic Canzone’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 93.1-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 75.6-mph in the past week.

,Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jackson Merrill today.

,In notching a .268 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jackson Merrill is ranked in the 20th percentile.

,Manny Machado’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 46.6% to 37.6%.

,Manny Machado’s launch angle this year (10.1°) is considerably worse than his 14.4° mark last season.

,Logan Gilbert will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Fermin today.

,Cole Young is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Cole Young’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined lately, decreasing from 15.8% on the season to 7.1% in the last 14 days.

,Mitch Garver’s BABIP skill is projected in the 5th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Mitch Garver is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Xander Bogaerts’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 87.7-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 83.8-mph in the past two weeks.

,When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Luke Raley has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 35% of the time.

,Luke Raley has been lucky this year, compiling a .389 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .060 difference.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Walker Buehler in the 14th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching abilities.

,Walker Buehler has tallied 13.6 outs per outing this year, checking in at the 14th percentile.

,The shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums are found in T-Mobile Park.

,In the last 14 days, Fernando Tatis Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 94.6 mph to 87.5 mph.

,Checking in at the 24th percentile, Jackson Merrill sits with a .327 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

,It may be sensible to expect improved performance for the San Diego Padres offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 4th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Mitch Garver (the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) is considered to be a weak pitch framer.

,Compared to his seasonal mark of 18.2°, Dominic Canzone has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.9°) over the last two weeks.

,Over the last 7 days, Ramon Laureano’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.3% down to 0%.

,With a 3.82 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Luke Raley has demonstrated weak plate discipline, placing in the 19th percentile.

,Batting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Mitch Garver will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Mitch Garver has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 6.7% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Miguel Andujar will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Logan Gilbert has a reverse platoon split and is stuck going up against 6 same-handed batters in this outing.

,Logan Gilbert’s 2107-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 7th percentile among all starting pitchers.

,Compared to his seasonal mark of 10.6°, J.P. Crawford has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.2°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

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