Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for San Diego at Cleveland Series Game 2 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

The #9 venue in baseball for boosting base hits to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

Jackson Merrill will have the handedness advantage over Gavin Williams in today’s matchup.

Jackson Merrill has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians has just 1 same-handed RP.

David Fry is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The #9 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.

David Fry pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and David Fry will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Peralta in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, David Peralta will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

David Peralta has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians only has 1 same-handed RP.

Daniel Schneemann will have the handedness advantage over Dylan Cease in today’s game.

Extreme groundball bats like Daniel Schneemann tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Dylan Cease.

Daniel Schneemann will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.6% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Jose Ramirez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

James Jean profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be calling pitches in today’s game.

Projected catcher Luis Campusano profiles as a horrible pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 8th-best field in MLB for walks.

Among all major league parks, Progressive Field’s LF dimensions are the shallowest.

With 8 bats of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Dylan Cease will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Josh Naylor is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Josh Naylor will hold the platoon advantage over Dylan Cease in today’s game.

The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ha-seong Kim in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Ha-seong Kim has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 5.4% seasonal rate to 11.8% in the past two weeks.

Ha-seong Kim has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 88.1-mph average to last season’s 86.1-mph EV.

Steven Kwan is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Steven Kwan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease in today’s game.

Steven Kwan has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

Steven Kwan will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Gavin Williams has relied on his slider 21.7% less often this year (0.4%) than he did last year (22.1%).

Gavin Williams has been lucky since the start of last season, posting a 3.36 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.17 — a 0.81 difference.

Gavin Williams’s fastball spin rate has increased 114 rpm this year (2332 rpm) over where it was last season (2218 rpm).

Out of all starting pitchers, Gavin Williams’s fastball velocity of 95.9 mph is in the 96th percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Andres Gimenez will hold the platoon advantage over Dylan Cease today.

Extreme groundball bats like Andres Gimenez usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Dylan Cease.

Andres Gimenez will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.

Xander Bogaerts’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (14.3°) is significantly higher than his 9.1° angle last season.

Kyle Higashioka pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.2% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Kyle Higashioka’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 17.5% to 25.9%.

Since the start of last season, Kyle Higashioka’s 11.9% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 84th percentile among his peers.

When it comes to power, Kyle Higashioka is ranked in the 90th percentile, having averaged 30.8 long-balls per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Jurickson Profar pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Jurickson Profar has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.8-mph average to last year’s 86.5-mph average.

When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs), Jackson Merrill and his 17.4% rank in the 75th percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Hitting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Bo Naylor will have an edge in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Bo Naylor will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Bo Naylor has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 6.6% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Manny Machado has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 103.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 92-mph.

Angel Martinez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Angel Martinez pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

Angel Martinez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Luis Arraez is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Luis Arraez will have an edge in today’s game.

The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Luis Arraez has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

When it comes to his strikeout skill, Dylan Cease projects as the 8th-best SP in Major League Baseball right now, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Dylan Cease is projected to throw 98 pitches in today’s outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-most of all pitchers on the slate today.

In his last game started, Dylan Cease was rolling and accumulated 11 strikeouts.

Dylan Cease’s slider percentage has increased by 7.7% from last year to this one (38.6% to 46.3%) .

Josh Naylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Compared to last season, David Peralta has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 12.8% to 17.1% this season.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, David Peralta has experienced some negative variance this year. His .279 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .342.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the best batter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average talent.

Steven Kwan’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In the past two weeks, Bo Naylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.6-mph over the course of the season to 94.3-mph recently.

David Fry’s launch angle of late (23.6° in the last 14 days) is significantly better than his 18.1° seasonal mark.

Ha-seong Kim’s launch angle lately (24.3° over the last 14 days) is considerably better than his 15.5° seasonal figure.

Daniel Schneemann has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 94.7-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 91.2-mph.

Luis Arraez has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Manny Machado’s launch angle in recent games (25.7° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is considerably better than his 12.1° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Despite posting a .258 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Xander Bogaerts has suffered from bad luck given the .071 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329.

Andres Gimenez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 88.1-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 86-mph average.

Andres Gimenez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, increasing from 15.7% on the season to 27.3% in the last two weeks.

Over the last two weeks, Bo Naylor has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 22.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 16.6°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Higashioka in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Over the past 7 days, Angel Martinez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5% up to 16.7%.

Saturday Series Game 2 player match stat slumps with Padres vs Guardians Matchup

Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Among all major league parks, the 4th-tallest fence height (on average) are at Progressive Field.

Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 7th-deepest CF fences today.

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Cleveland Guardians.

Jackson Merrill will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Dylan Cease will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Fry in today’s matchup.

Over the past two weeks, David Fry’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7% down to 0%.

David Fry’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off in recent games, decreasing from 42% on the season to 28.6% in the past 14 days.

Despite posting a .374 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes David Fry has been lucky given the .063 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .311.

David Peralta is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.

42% of the time that David Peralta has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

David Peralta hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for David Peralta in today’s matchup.

Daniel Schneemann is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.

This year, Daniel Schneemann has been pinch hit for in 29% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

Daniel Schneemann hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 7th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Over the past 14 days, Daniel Schneemann’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.3% down to 0%.

Jackson Merrill has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.1% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past 7 days.

Jake Cronenworth will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 13.2°, Jake Cronenworth has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.9°) in the last 14 days.

Progressive Field projects as the #22 stadium in the majors for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Extreme flyball bats like Jose Ramirez generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Dylan Cease.

Jose Ramirez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 8.8% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last 7 days.

Jose Ramirez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 16.3% on the season to 6.9% in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dylan Cease as the 15th-best starting pitcher in the game right now.

The Cleveland Guardians have been the 4th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse going forward, In his previous start, Dylan Cease was on point and gave up 0 ER.

Dylan Cease’s 96.2-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a sizeable 1.3-mph increase from last season’s 94.9-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Campusano in the 19th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Luis Campusano is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Gavin Williams throws from, Luis Campusano will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Campusano today.

Jose Ramirez’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 44.3% to 37.6%.

Jose Ramirez has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .351 figure is quite a bit higher than his .331 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Josh Naylor has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 10.7% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last 14 days.

In the last week’s worth of games, Josh Naylor’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.9%.

Josh Naylor has compiled a .238 BABIP this year, grading out in the 7th percentile.

Ha-seong Kim is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Gavin Williams will have the handedness advantage against Ha-seong Kim today.

Ha-seong Kim hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 7th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

When assessing his home run talent, Steven Kwan ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In the last week’s worth of games, Steven Kwan’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 87.5 mph to 74.7 mph.

Steven Kwan’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, falling from 18.3% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

In the past two weeks, Daniel Schneemann’s 14.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.3%.

Projected catcher Bo Naylor profiles as a good pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Gavin Williams will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his metrics across the board.

In his last start, Gavin Williams performed well and allowed 1 ER.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (28.1) may lead us to conclude that Josh Naylor has had some very good luck this year with his 34.5 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Williams to throw 82 pitches in this matchup (3rd-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The San Diego Padres (16.9 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the least strikeout-heavy set of hitters of all teams on the slate.

Gavin Williams wasn’t on when it came to striking batters out in his previous outing and accumulated 2 Ks.

Andres Gimenez is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

The 7th-deepest CF fences among all stadiums are found in Progressive Field.

There has been a significant decline in Andres Gimenez’s launch angle from last year’s 12.9° to 8.5° this year.

In notching a 8.600 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Andres Gimenez finds himself in the 12th percentile for power.

Hitting from the same side that Gavin Williams throws from, Xander Bogaerts meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Xander Bogaerts will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Xander Bogaerts’s 86.2-mph average exit velocity is among the worst in the league this year: 13th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Higashioka in the 6th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Kyle Higashioka is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Kyle Higashioka has been pulled from the game early 29% of the time.

This game is expected to have the 5th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 20th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

This year, Jurickson Profar has been pulled from the game early in 12% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Jurickson Profar will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Gavin Williams in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jurickson Profar in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Naylor in the 9th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Bo Naylor is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Bo Naylor has been pulled from the game early 10% of the time.

Typically, batters like Bo Naylor who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Dylan Cease.

Hitting from the same side that Gavin Williams throws from, Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

In today’s game, Manny Machado is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.1% rate (78th percentile).

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Manny Machado in today’s matchup.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Angel Martinez will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Dylan Cease today.

In the past week, Angel Martinez’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40%.

When it comes to his home run skill, Luis Arraez ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luis Arraez in today’s matchup.

Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 89.6-mph mark last season has decreased to 87.3-mph.

The Cleveland Guardians (18.3 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 2nd-least strikeout-prone team of batters of all teams on the slate.

Luis Arraez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, decreasing from 16.2% on the season to 8.7% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Steven Kwan has been lucky this year, notching a .398 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .311 — a .087 gap.

Xander Bogaerts has been very bad at hitting the ball to all fields (an important skill for batting average), placing in the 8th percentile in THE BAT X’s Spray Score this year.

Progressive Field grades out as the #22 park in the league for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Manny Machado’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 17.7% to 12.3%.

Batting from the same side that Gavin Williams throws from, Kyle Higashioka will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

Ha-seong Kim will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Andres Gimenez has compiled a .273 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 14th percentile.

In terms of plate discipline, Andres Gimenez’s skill is quite weak, sporting a 3.58 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 24th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Angel Martinez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 20% on the season to 16.7% in the past week’s worth of games.