
BAL @ TEX






Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Saturday, July 20th
20/07/24 19:05:00 PM EST First Pitch
Player match stat positives for Baltimore at Texas Series Game 2 Matchup Today
Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Over the last 14 days, Jonah Heim has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 20.7° compared to his seasonal mark of 12.2°.
Josh Smith is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Globe Life Field as the 10th-best ballpark in MLB for left-handed home runs.
Josh Smith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Josh Smith will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
When estimating his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Grayson Rodriguez in the 88th percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors.
Grayson Rodriguez has averaged 94.5 adjusted pitches per start this year, grading out in the 88th percentile.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Adley Rutschman (the Orioles’s expected catcher in today’s game) projects as a good pitch framer.
Globe Life Field grades out as the #10 park in the league for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Ryan O’Hearn’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ryan O’Hearn is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.
Ryan O’Hearn will hold the platoon advantage against Max Scherzer today.
The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ryan O’Hearn stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.
Ryan O’Hearn’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, rising from 15.2% on the season to 22.2% in the last two weeks.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 9th-best hitter in the league.
Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.
Corey Seager will hold the platoon advantage over Grayson Rodriguez today.
Batting from the opposite that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Travis Jankowski will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Travis Jankowski will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Last season, Travis Jankowski had an average launch angle of 1.1° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 5.7°.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser as the 20th-best hitter in the league when estimating his BABIP ability.
Batting from the opposite that Max Scherzer throws from, Colton Cowser will have an edge in today’s game.
Colton Cowser is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers only has 1 same-handed RP.
In terms of his batting average, Colton Cowser has suffered from bad luck this year. His .219 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .251.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Marcus Semien ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Marcus Semien is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Marcus Semien’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (25.9° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 14.1° seasonal angle.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Grayson Rodriguez in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall pitching skills.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Globe Life Field as the 3rd-worst ballpark in the league for batting average.
Corey Seager will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Corey Seager has suffered from bad luck this year. His .351 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .375.
Wyatt Langford’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Wyatt Langford is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Wyatt Langford will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (19.5) implies that Wyatt Langford has suffered from bad luck this year with his 10.0 actual HR/600.
As it relates to his batting average, Jorge Mateo has had some very poor luck this year. His .234 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .252.
Ranking in the 98th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.88 ft/sec this year, Jorge Mateo is quite athletic.
Jorge Mateo has put up a .306 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile.
Travis Jankowski has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .236 figure is deflated compared to his .278 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run talent.
Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Adolis Garcia has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph to 94.4-mph over the past two weeks.
Anthony Santander is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.
Over the past week, Anthony Santander’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.2% up to 20%.
Anthony Santander has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.3-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.5-mph mark.
Compared to his seasonal average of 22.4°, Anthony Santander has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 25.8° figure in the last 14 days.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.
Over the past two weeks, Adley Rutschman has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 35° compared to his seasonal mark of 15.4°.
Adley Rutschman has notched a .338 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 80th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Nathaniel Lowe ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Nathaniel Lowe will have the handedness advantage against Grayson Rodriguez in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Nathaniel Lowe will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Josh Smith has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 3.6% seasonal rate to 25% in the past week’s worth of games.
When estimating his home run ability, Anthony Santander ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Max Scherzer in the 93rd percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Jonah Heim (the Rangers’s expected catcher today) is considered to be a good pitch framer.
Max Scherzer will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his metrics in all categories.
Gunnar Henderson projects as the 15th-best batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.
Batting from the opposite that Max Scherzer throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an edge today.
The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gunnar Henderson stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Cedric Mullins II will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Scherzer in today’s matchup.
The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cedric Mullins II has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
Cedric Mullins II’s launch angle of late (32.1° over the last 14 days) is considerably better than his 23.7° seasonal angle.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Cedric Mullins II’s true offensive ability to be a .310, providing some evidence that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .043 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .267 wOBA.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.320) implies that Wyatt Langford has been unlucky this year with his .299 actual wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage today.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.314) may lead us to conclude that Leody Taveras has experienced some negative variance this year with his .279 actual wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Nathaniel Lowe has displayed strong plate discipline this year, ranking in the 78th percentile with a 1.95 K/BB rate.
Globe Life Field ranks as the #10 venue in baseball for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Jordan Westburg is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.373) implies that Jordan Westburg has experienced some negative variance this year with his .342 actual wOBA.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
As it relates to plate discipline, Travis Jankowski’s talent is quite impressive, posting a 1.69 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 88th percentile.
The 3rd-best projected lineup on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.
Max Scherzer is an extreme flyball pitcher (42.6% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #7 HR venue in MLB today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 10.9°, Ryan Mountcastle has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.7°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Using Statcast data, Ryan Mountcastle grades out in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .269.
By putting up a .450 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Ryan Mountcastle grades out in the 77th percentile.
In notching a .269 batting average this year, Ryan Mountcastle is positioned in the 75th percentile.
Gunnar Henderson has made significant strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 14.1% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week.
In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Cedric Mullins II ranks in the 99th percentile with a 23.7° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in baseball.
Based on Statcast data, Adley Rutschman grades out in the 79th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .269.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
In the past 7 days, Adolis Garcia’s 42.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.4%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
In notching a .361 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Jordan Westburg finds himself in the 94th percentile.
Nathaniel Lowe has put up a .322 BABIP this year, grading out in the 75th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
Posting a .353 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Anthony Santander finds himself in the 86th percentile.
Marcus Semien’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 41.9% to 47.3%.
In notching a .349 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jordan Westburg grades out in the 83rd percentile.
Josh Smith has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 103.6-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 89.4-mph.
Saturday Series Game 2 player match stat slumps with Orioles vs Rangers Matchup
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonah Heim in the 5th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
Jonah Heim is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Globe Life Field as the 2nd-worst venue in baseball for LHB batting average.
Globe Life Field has the 6th-deepest CF dimensions in the majors.
The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -10° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.
Josh Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Josh Smith has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .374 rate is quite a bit higher than his .320 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Texas Rangers with a 20.8% underlying K%.
Scott Barry profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches in today’s game.
With 6 bats of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected offense, Grayson Rodriguez encounters a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.
Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Grayson Rodriguez today.
Grayson Rodriguez’s 95.5-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a sizeable 1.3-mph decrease from last season’s 96.8-mph figure.
19% of the time that Ryan O’Hearn has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pinch hit for.
Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ryan O’Hearn today.
Corey Seager hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 6th-deepest CF fences today.
Over the past 7 days, Corey Seager’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 15.4% down to 0%.
Corey Seager’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 91.4-mph seasonal average has fallen to 81.2-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
Corey Seager’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 20.1% on the season to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.
When assessing his home run ability, Travis Jankowski ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Travis Jankowski is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.
Travis Jankowski has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 21% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.
Colton Cowser is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.
11% of the time that Colton Cowser has started against a northpaw this year, he has been pulled from the game early.
Globe Life Field grades out as the #28 field in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Batting from the same side that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Marcus Semien will have a tough challenge today.
The Baltimore Orioles infield defense grades out as the 4th-best among all the teams playing today.
The Texas Rangers have been the 7th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in the future, Batting from the same side that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Wyatt Langford meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Jorge Mateo is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.
When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Jorge Mateo has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 10% of the time.
The #7 stadium in MLB for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.
Batting from the same side that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Adolis Garcia will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Typically, hitters like Anthony Santander who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Max Scherzer.
As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against Max Scherzer in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Adley Rutschman in today’s matchup.
Nathaniel Lowe has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (66% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.
Nathaniel Lowe’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 88.9-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 80.8-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
From last season to this one, Nathaniel Lowe’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 92.5 mph to 88.8 mph.
Josh Smith’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased in recent games, decreasing from 45.7% on the season to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.
Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Anthony Santander in today’s game.
Anthony Santander has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 40.3 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a good deal higher than his 31.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Max Scherzer has averaged 82.1 adjusted pitches per start this year, ranking in the 17th percentile.
The Baltimore Orioles have 6 hitters in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage against Max Scherzer today.
Max Scherzer’s 92.1-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a significant 1-mph decrease from last season’s 93.1-mph mark.
Gunnar Henderson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (26.4) may lead us to conclude that Gunnar Henderson has been very fortunate this year with his 38.4 actual HR/600.
Over the last 14 days, Ryan O’Hearn’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal mark of 93.9 mph to 91.2 mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins II in the 9th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
Cedric Mullins II is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.
Max Scherzer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jorge Mateo in today’s game.
Leody Taveras is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.
Marcus Semien’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 87-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 80.1-mph over the last week.
Batting from the same side that Max Scherzer throws from, Jordan Westburg will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jordan Westburg today.
Jordan Westburg has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 11.8% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week.
Wyatt Langford has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 7.2% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.
Over the last week, Wyatt Langford’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 90.7 mph to 86.3 mph.
Over the past 7 days, Adley Rutschman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.1% down to 0%.
Cedric Mullins II will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Cedric Mullins II has been cold recently, compiling a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) over the past 14 days.
Adolis Garcia has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 13.6% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last 7 days.
Adolis Garcia has shown poor plate discipline this year, grading out in the 24th percentile with a 3.58 K/BB rate.
Leody Taveras has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph dropping to 86.9-mph over the past 14 days.
Leody Taveras’s launch angle in recent games (-2.3° over the last 14 days) is significantly worse than his 12.5° seasonal angle.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Travis Jankowski in the 19th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Max Scherzer in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall pitching abilities.
The Baltimore Orioles have been the 8th-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse the rest of the season, Ryan Mountcastle is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
Hitting from the same side that Max Scherzer throws from, Ryan Mountcastle will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Gunnar Henderson’s true offensive talent to be a .365, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .040 disparity between that mark and his actual .405 wOBA.
The switch-hitting Jonah Heim will bat from his worse side (0) today against Grayson Rodriguez, Jonah Heim has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.7% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week.
Colton Cowser will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ryan Mountcastle in today’s matchup.
