
SD @ SF


Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Tuesday, June 3rd
03/06/25 21:45:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Padres vs Giants Series Game 2 Matchup Today
When it comes to his batting average skill, Jackson Merrill is projected as the 14th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jackson Merrill is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.
Oracle Park grades out as the #3 venue in the majors for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
In the league, Oracle Park’s right field dimensions are the shallowest.
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Batting from the opposite that Landen Roupp throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an edge today.
Because flyball hitters face a disadvantage against flyball pitchers, Ryan Bergert (35.3% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today’s game with 5 FB hitters in the opposing club’s projected lineup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
Jung Hoo Lee is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.
Jung Hoo Lee will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Bergert in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee as the 17th-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his batting average skill.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Landen Roupp’s overall pitching ability is in the 82nd percentile among all SPs in the majors right now.
Projected catcher Patrick Bailey projects as an elite pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Because flyball hitters are less effective against flyball pitchers, Landen Roupp (45.9% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 2 FB hitters in the opposition’s projected batting order.
Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Landen Roupp will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Oracle Park profiles as the #3 park in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Jose Iglesias has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Jose Iglesias has posted a .316 batting average since the start of last season, checking in at the 99th percentile.
With a .340 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Jose Iglesias is positioned in the 83rd percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Xander Bogaerts ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.330) implies that Xander Bogaerts has experienced some negative variance this year with his .290 actual wOBA.
Xander Bogaerts’s maximum exit velocity (an advanced metric to evaluate power) has been 112.2 mph this year, grading out in the 78th percentile.
Elias Diaz’s launch angle this year (16.4°) is considerably better than his 7.3° angle last season.
Matt Chapman projects as the 9th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Matt Chapman is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Matt Chapman will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Matt Chapman’s launch angle this season (20.6°) is considerably better than his 16.1° figure last year.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Manny Machado has been hot recently, bashing 2 homers in the past week.
Manny Machado has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs this year; his 15.5 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is significantly deflated relative to his 22.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Landen Roupp in today’s game.
Jake Cronenworth will probably have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants only has 1 same-handed RP.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 9th-best hitter in the majors.
Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.
Fernando Tatis Jr. has been unlucky this year, putting up a .354 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .381 — a .027 disparity.
Using Statcast data, Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks in the 92nd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .363.
Wilmer Flores is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
Wilmer Flores will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Wilmer Flores has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 92.7-mph average to last season’s 87.6-mph figure.
Grading out in the 86th percentile for power, Wilmer Flores has paced 30.4 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.
When estimating his home run talent, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Mike Yastrzemski is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Bergert throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have an edge in today’s game.
Mike Yastrzemski pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 91st percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Willy Adames will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Willy Adames’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (28.3°) is considerably better than his 22.2° figure last year.
Willy Adames has been unlucky this year, compiling a .277 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .332 — a .055 difference.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
As it relates to his batting average ability, Luis Arraez is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Luis Arraez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
Luis Arraez will have the handedness advantage over Landen Roupp today.
Batting from the opposite that Landen Roupp throws from, Tyler Wade will have the upper hand today.
Tyler Wade will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants only has 1 same-handed RP.
Heliot Ramos’s BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Heliot Ramos is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.
Heliot Ramos has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the league’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Heliot Ramos will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Patrick Bailey will get to bat from his strong side against Ryan Bergert today.
Patrick Bailey will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Patrick Bailey’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 15.4% to 24.4%.
Tyler Fitzgerald’s BABIP skill is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Tyler Fitzgerald will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Placing in the 100th percentile, Tyler Fitzgerald has put up a .371 BABIP since the start of last season.
Grading out in the 86th percentile, Tyler Fitzgerald sports a .463 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season.
Negative Match Player Stats with Padres vs Giants Series Game 2
Oracle Park has the tallest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.
The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of all games on the slate today at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).
Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jackson Merrill in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jackson Merrill’s true offensive skill to be a .345, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .030 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .375 wOBA.
Oracle Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to worse offense.
The #3 park in baseball for suppressing home runs to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.
Jackson Merrill’s launch angle this year (9.8°) is a significant dropoff from his 14.5° mark last year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Bergert to throw 75 pitches in today’s game (least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
It is likely that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Lance Barksdale) calling pitches today.
Oracle Park projects as the #29 field in the league for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Ryan Bergert will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (10.9) provides evidence that Jung Hoo Lee has had some very good luck this year with his 14.8 actual HR/600.
This year, Jung Hoo Lee’s 4.3% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 19th percentile among his peers.
The San Diego Padres outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today.
This year, the hardest ball Jung Hoo Lee has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 105.4 mph (an advanced stat to evaluate power), ranking in the 4th percentile.
Oracle Park projects as the #4 park in baseball for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the San Diego Padres with a 17.9% underlying K%.
Considering the 0.51 disparity between Landen Roupp’s 9.00 K/9 and his 8.49 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year when it comes to strikeouts and ought to perform worse going forward.
When assessing his home run talent, Jose Iglesias ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jose Iglesias is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the 3rd-worst venue in MLB for right-handed home runs.
Landen Roupp will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Iglesias in today’s game.
Extreme groundball bats like Jose Iglesias usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Landen Roupp.
Hitting from the same side that Landen Roupp throws from, Xander Bogaerts will not have the upper hand in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Xander Bogaerts in today’s game.
This year, Xander Bogaerts’s 3.8% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 17th percentile among his peers.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 11th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Elias Diaz is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.
Hitting from the same side that Landen Roupp throws from, Elias Diaz encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 23rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Ryan Bergert will have the handedness advantage against Matt Chapman in today’s game.
Typically, bats like Matt Chapman who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Ryan Bergert.
Landen Roupp will hold the platoon advantage over Manny Machado in today’s game.
Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.
Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jake Cronenworth today.
Jake Cronenworth’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 91.9-mph mark last season has lowered to 89.5-mph.
Batting from the same side that Landen Roupp throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Fernando Tatis Jr. today.
Fernando Tatis Jr.’s launch angle this year (6.4°) is significantly lower than his 9.7° mark last year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilmer Flores in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
Hitting from the same side that Ryan Bergert throws from, Wilmer Flores will have a tough challenge in today’s game.
Extreme flyball batters like Wilmer Flores usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Bergert.
Typically, batters like Mike Yastrzemski who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Ryan Bergert.
Mike Yastrzemski’s BABIP talent is projected in the 13th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Willy Adames is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
Batting from the same side that Ryan Bergert throws from, Willy Adames faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Extreme groundball hitters like Willy Adames generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Ryan Bergert.
Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 87.9-mph figure last season has dropped off to 84.6-mph.
Luis Arraez’s 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) is in the 0th percentile this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez in the 0th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Tyler Wade ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Tyler Wade is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.
Extreme flyball bats like Tyler Wade tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Landen Roupp.
Ryan Bergert will have the handedness advantage against Heliot Ramos today.
Heliot Ramos has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .292 mark is a fair amount higher than his .265 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Patrick Bailey ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Patrick Bailey is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.
Tyler Fitzgerald is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Hitting from the same side that Ryan Bergert throws from, Tyler Fitzgerald will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.
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