Orioles vs Mariners match player stats | 2025 Tuesday, June 3rd

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Orioles vs Mariners match player stats | 2025 Tuesday, June 3rd

BAL @ SEA

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Matchup Details

Baltimore Orioles at Seattle Mariners

Todays Game is on Tuesday, June 3rd
03/06/25 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Orioles vs Mariners Matchup Today

Homers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league parks.

Bats such as Coby Mayo with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like George Kirby who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Among every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.

T-Mobile Park grades out as the #4 stadium in the league for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Heston Kjerstad will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Heston Kjerstad stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

Heston Kjerstad has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

T-Mobile Park profiles as the #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Heston Kjerstad has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .231 figure is deflated compared to his .298 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Cole Young will have an advantage today.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Cole Young will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Jackson Holliday has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (63% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Jackson Holliday will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Jackson Holliday is likely to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.

Jackson Holliday has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jackson Holliday ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Benjamin Williamson has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Benjamin Williamson will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Benjamin Williamson has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .265 rate is considerably lower than his .290 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Adley Rutschman (the Orioles’s expected catcher today) profiles as a good pitch framer.

T-Mobile Park profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Tomoyuki Sugano must realize this, because he has relied on his non-fastballs a lot this year: 71.8% of the time, grading out in the 98th percentile.

Tomoyuki Sugano has recorded 17.5 outs per start this year, placing in the 85th percentile.

It may be smart to expect weaker performance for the Seattle Mariners offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 10th-luckiest offense in the game this year.

T-Mobile Park ranks as the #30 field in the game for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Ryan O’Hearn is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Ryan O’Hearn will have an edge in today’s game.

Ryan O’Hearn will probably have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.

Ryan O’Hearn has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ryan O’Hearn ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When estimating his overall offensive ability, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Hitting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, J.P. Crawford will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

J.P. Crawford will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

Dylan Carlson and his 18.9° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 89th percentile, among the highest in the league since the start of last season.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Randy Arozarena is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.

Randy Arozarena pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Randy Arozarena will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Randy Arozarena has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.8-mph average to last season’s 94.2-mph average.

The switch-hitting Leody Taveras will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Tomoyuki Sugano.

Leody Taveras has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Leody Taveras’s true offensive ability to be a .302, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .056 disparity between that figure and his actual .246 wOBA.

Placing in the 95th percentile of THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season, Leody Taveras demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields – an important ability for achieving a high batting average.

Rowdy Tellez is penciled in 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Hitting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage today.

Rowdy Tellez has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, upping his 8.1% rate last season to 17.3% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rowdy Tellez in the 83rd percentile when assessing his home run talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as the game’s 6th-best home run hitter.

Cal Raleigh is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

Bats such as Cal Raleigh with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Cal Raleigh will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Cal Raleigh ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

It may be sensible to expect stronger performance for the Baltimore Orioles offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 3rd-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Mitch Garver (the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) projects as a weak pitch framer.

The Baltimore Orioles have 6 hitters in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage against George Kirby in this matchup.

The Baltimore Orioles have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jorge Mateo, Heston Kjerstad, Coby Mayo).

George Kirby will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats in all categories.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Julio Rodriguez ranks as the 14th-best hitter in baseball.

Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage today.

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Julio Rodriguez has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96-mph average to last season’s 94-mph mark.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Adley Rutschman has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last year’s 89.5-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an edge in today’s matchup.

The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gunnar Henderson can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Negative Match Player Stats with Orioles vs Mariners

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Coby Mayo in the 25th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Coby Mayo is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

When starting against a righty hurler since the start of last season, Coby Mayo has been pulled from the game early 23% of the time.

The #1 venue in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.

The weather report expects the 2nd-most favorable pitching conditions of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Batting from the same side that George Kirby throws from, Coby Mayo will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects T-Mobile Park as the worst venue in the game for right-handed batting average.

Heston Kjerstad is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Heston Kjerstad has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 19% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

T-Mobile Park projects as the #30 park in the league for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Heston Kjerstad will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his home run skill, Cole Young ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Cole Young is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.

Among all the teams today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

Typically, hitters like Jackson Holliday who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as George Kirby.

Jackson Holliday will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Jackson Holliday’s 9° launch angle (an advanced stat to measure a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most groundball-inducing in the game: 21st percentile.

When it comes to his home run ability, Benjamin Williamson ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Benjamin Williamson is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today.

13% of the time that Benjamin Williamson has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tomoyuki Sugano in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.

Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Tomoyuki Sugano (43% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today’s game with 2 FB hitters in Seattle’s projected lineup.

Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tomoyuki Sugano in today’s matchup.

In his previous start, Tomoyuki Sugano wasn’t on when it came to striking batters out and only managed to tally 1 Ks.

Placing in the 9th percentile, Tomoyuki Sugano notched a 7.6% Swinging Strike percentage this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Tomoyuki Sugano’s overall pitching talent grades out in the 18th percentile among all starting pitchers in the league currently.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field fences in the league.

Given the 1.67 discrepancy between Tomoyuki Sugano’s 3.23 ERA and his 4.90 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game this year and figures to perform worse in the future.

This year, Ryan O’Hearn has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 14% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

Ryan O’Hearn will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

There has been a significant decline in Ryan O’Hearn’s launch angle from last year’s 11.8° to 8.3° this season.

J.P. Crawford has hit 15.6% of his balls in the air 100 mph or greater this year, ranking in the 7th percentile.

Grading out in the 23rd percentile, J.P. Crawford has posted a .168 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

Dylan Carlson is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

This year, Dylan Carlson has been pinch hit for in 13% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Dylan Carlson will bat from his bad side against George Kirby in this game.

Tomoyuki Sugano will hold the platoon advantage over Randy Arozarena in today’s matchup.

Leody Taveras is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Leody Taveras’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 14.1% to 5.2%.

Leody Taveras has been cold recently, putting up a .246 wOBA over the last 14 days.

Rowdy Tellez’s BABIP skill is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rowdy Tellez has been pinch hit for 48% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will bat from his bad side against Tomoyuki Sugano in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Cal Raleigh’s true offensive talent to be a .349, suggesting that he has been very fortunate this year given the .072 gap between that figure and his actual .421 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts George Kirby in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.

Compared to their .331 overall projected rate, the .320 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Baltimore Orioles projected batting order today suggests this version of the lineup considerably a bit watered down.

Hitting from the same side that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Julio Rodriguez meets a tough challenge today.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against George Kirby in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Adley Rutschman today.

Adley Rutschman’s launch angle this season (15.7°) is considerably worse than his 18.7° mark last season.

Gunnar Henderson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Gunnar Henderson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 14.1% to 8.5%.

Latest Seattle Mariners Match Player Stats

Latest Baltimore Orioles Match Player Stats