Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Cincinnati at Washington Series Game 2 Matchup Today

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Lane Thomas ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Lane Thomas is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

This matchup is projected to have the 12th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Lane Thomas will have an advantage today.

The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the worst out of every team playing today.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Ildemaro Vargas will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Nick Lodolo in today’s game.

Ildemaro Vargas will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

With a 1.42 K/BB rate this year, Ildemaro Vargas has demonstrated good plate discipline, ranking in the 95th percentile.

Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Rece Hinds will have an edge in today’s game.

In the last 7 days, Rece Hinds’s 50% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 36.8%.

Rece Hinds has been hot recently, compiling a a 31.6% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) over the past two weeks.

Rece Hinds has been hot in recent games, putting up a 96.2-mph average exit velocity in the past two weeks.

Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Stuart Fairchild will have an advantage in today’s game.

Stuart Fairchild’s launch angle this year (20.4°) is significantly higher than his 14.1° angle last year.

Ranking in the 93rd percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.15 ft/sec this year, Stuart Fairchild is remarkably quick.

Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.

Jeimer Candelario has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 7.5% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last 7 days.

Checking in at the 84th percentile, Jeimer Candelario has posted a .313 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

Harold Ramirez’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Harold Ramirez is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.

Harold Ramirez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo in today’s game.

Harold Ramirez has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league’s 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Spencer Steer is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Spencer Steer will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Spencer Steer has posted a .294 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, grading out in the 76th percentile.

Spencer Steer has shown strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 81st percentile with a 1.86 K/BB rate.

Juan Yepez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (55% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Juan Yepez will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Juan Yepez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

LaVictor Lipscomb will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo in today’s matchup.

LaVictor Lipscomb has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

LaVictor Lipscomb will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Jacob Young will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo in today’s game.

Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Jacob Young will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 3rd-best batter in the game as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Elly De La Cruz has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 13% seasonal rate to 40% in the past week’s worth of games.

Elly De La Cruz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 15.6% on the season to 60% over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Noelvi Marte will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Noelvi Marte has put up a .328 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 84th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jonathan India ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Jonathan India will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today’s matchup.

Jonathan India has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 7.5% seasonal rate to 17.4% in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater as the 7th-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Austin Slater will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore today.

Austin Slater has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Austin Slater’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 45.2% to 55.9%.

When assessing his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

James Wood is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Nationals Park has the 7th-shallowest right field fences among all stadiums.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Nick Lodolo in the 92nd percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

Nick Lodolo has notched a 12.6% Swinging Strike rate this year, checking in at the 81st percentile.

Nick Lodolo has compiled a 25.7% K% this year, grading out in the 81st percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his strikeout ability, MacKenzie Gore projects as the 19th-best SP in baseball currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Compared to the average starting pitcher, MacKenzie Gore has been granted more leash than the typical pitcher this year, tallying an extra 6.7 adjusted pitches each game.

The Cincinnati Reds have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Elly De La Cruz, Rece Hinds, Stuart Fairchild).

MacKenzie Gore has a large reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing 9 opposite-handed batters in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and MacKenzie Gore will hold that advantage today.

Tyler Stephenson’s BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.

Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Tyler Stephenson will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Tyler Stephenson has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

CJ Abrams will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

CJ Abrams has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 7.3% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last 7 days.

Ranking steepest in MLB this year, Cincinnati Reds hitters collectively have recorded a 16.6° launch angle on their hardest-hit balls (an advanced metric to assess power ability).

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Harold Ramirez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Juan Yepez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96.5-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 84.9-mph.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Lane Thomas will hold that advantage in today’s game.

LaVictor Lipscomb has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.3-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 89.7-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.301) provides evidence that Austin Slater has had bad variance on his side this year with his .260 actual wOBA.

Jeimer Candelario’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, rising from 18.3% on the season to 33.3% over the past week.

James Wood will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

James Wood has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 6.1% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Saturday Series Game 2 player match stat slumps with Reds vs Nationals Matchup

The #2 stadium in the league for suppressing BABIP to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.

Over the past 14 days, Lane Thomas’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.2% down to 0%.

Lane Thomas’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 89.1-mph seasonal average has fallen to 75.9-mph in the last 14 days.

Lane Thomas’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, going from 13.9% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ildemaro Vargas in the 2nd percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Ildemaro Vargas is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

From last season to this one, Ildemaro Vargas’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 89.3 mph to 86.5 mph.

Ildemaro Vargas’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (0.4°) is quite a bit lower than his 3.7° figure last season.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Rece Hinds ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Rece Hinds is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.

Rece Hinds will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Stuart Fairchild is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.

When starting against a left-handed pitcher this year, Stuart Fairchild has been pinch hit for 46% of the time.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Stuart Fairchild in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his batting average, Stuart Fairchild has had some very good luck this year. His .225 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .207.

Jeimer Candelario will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Jeimer Candelario’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 91.9-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 89.6-mph in the past 7 days.

Jeimer Candelario’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined recently, falling from 38.3% on the season to 16.7% in the past week’s worth of games.

As it relates to his home runs, Jeimer Candelario has had positive variance on his side this year. His 27.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 21.6.

When starting against a lefty on the mound this year, Harold Ramirez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 29% of the time.

There has been a decrease in Harold Ramirez’s average exit velocity this season, from 89 mph last year to 86.1 mph now, Harold Ramirez’s launch angle this season (0.4°) is quite a bit worse than his 5.8° figure last year.

Utilizing Statcast data, Harold Ramirez ranks in the 3rd percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .250.

Based on Statcast data, Stuart Fairchild ranks in the 16th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .279.

Ranked in the 23rd percentile, Stuart Fairchild’s average exit velocity of 86.3 mph ranks among the lowest in Major League Baseball this year.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Spencer Steer in today’s game.

In the past week’s worth of games, Spencer Steer’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.5% down to 0%.

Spencer Steer has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph dropping to 74.6-mph over the last 7 days.

Over the last week, Spencer Steer’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.7%.

In terms of his home runs, Spencer Steer has had some very good luck this year. His 22.4 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 18.7.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Juan Yepez in the 23rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

40% of the time that Juan Yepez has started against a lefty on the mound since the start of last season, he has been pinch hit for.

In the past week’s worth of games, Juan Yepez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.7% down to 0%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.296) suggests that Juan Yepez has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .334 actual wOBA.

When it comes to his home run ability, LaVictor Lipscomb ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

LaVictor Lipscomb is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

When starting against a left-handed starter this year, LaVictor Lipscomb has been pulled from the game early 25% of the time.

LaVictor Lipscomb’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, decreasing from 7.7% on the season to 0% in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rece Hinds in the 5th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

As it relates to his home run ability, Jacob Young ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jacob Young is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

When starting against a lefty on the mound this year, Jacob Young has been pulled from the game early 11% of the time.

In the last 14 days, Jacob Young’s 16% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 10.7%.

Despite posting a .289 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ildemaro Vargas has been very fortunate given the .022 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .267.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against MacKenzie Gore in this game.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Elly De La Cruz today.

Elly De La Cruz’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 90.9-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 84.6-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Elly De La Cruz’s true offensive talent to be a .328, implying that he has been very fortunate this year given the .026 deviation between that mark and his actual .354 wOBA.

Nationals Park profiles as the #27 stadium in baseball for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Nick Lodolo will have the handedness advantage against CJ Abrams in today’s game.

In the past 14 days, CJ Abrams’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 47.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates CJ Abrams’s true offensive talent to be a .313, implying that he has been very fortunate this year given the .037 difference between that figure and his actual .350 wOBA.

Noelvi Marte is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.

When starting against a left-handed starter since the start of last season, Noelvi Marte has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 16% of the time.

Noelvi Marte will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Noelvi Marte’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 86.7-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 83.5-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Over the past two weeks, Noelvi Marte’s 5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 9.5%.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jonathan India today.

Jonathan India’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 92.4-mph figure last year has decreased to 87.6-mph.

Last season, Jonathan India had a launch angle of 12.6° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 7.9°.

Jonathan India has been lucky this year, putting up a .353 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .023 gap.

Austin Slater has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (78% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Austin Slater has been pinch hit for 60% of the time when starting against a lefty hurler this year.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Austin Slater in today’s matchup.

Austin Slater has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 11.9% rate last year has fallen to 4.4% this season.

Batting from the same side that Nick Lodolo throws from, James Wood will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

Over the last week, James Wood’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 6.1%.

Nationals Park projects as the #25 venue in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Nick Lodolo will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Nick Lodolo’s high usage rate of his fastball (55.7% this year) is likely weakening his results, considering they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Riley Adams, the Nationals’s expected catcher in today’s game, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Tyler Stephenson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

In the last week’s worth of games, Tyler Stephenson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.9% down to 0%.

Tyler Stephenson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, decreasing from 14.8% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.

Sporting a .256 BABIP this year, Tyler Stephenson has performed in the 17th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Nick Lodolo’s overall pitching talent ranks in the 85th percentile out of all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball right now.

The weakest projected lineup of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability belongs to the Washington Nationals.

The Washington Nationals have been the 9th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in future games, Nationals Park profiles as the #23 field in MLB for base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Nick Lodolo performed well in his last game started and conceded 2 ER.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 14.9°, CJ Abrams has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (10.5°) over the past two weeks.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, MacKenzie Gore’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 80th percentile out of all starters in the majors right now.

MacKenzie Gore’s fastball velocity has increased 1.4 mph this season (95.8 mph) over where it was last year (94.4 mph).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects LaVictor Lipscomb in the 7th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

When it comes to his home run skill, Harold Ramirez ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Ildemaro Vargas ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jacob Young has been cold in recent games, compiling a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

LaVictor Lipscomb has been cold recently, compiling a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) over the last two weeks.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.303) may lead us to conclude that Jeimer Candelario has had some very good luck this year with his .321 actual wOBA.

Austin Slater’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 91.1-mph average last season has lowered to 88.8-mph.

When it comes to plate discipline, Jeimer Candelario’s ability is quite poor, posting a 3.58 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 24th percentile.