Pros

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Jackson Holliday is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP.

Jackson Holliday has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jackson Holliday has had bad variance on his side this year. His .261 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .317.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 17th-best hitter in the league.

Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Gunnar Henderson has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP.

Gunnar Henderson has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Gunnar Henderson has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 12.6% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Colton Cowser can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

Colton Cowser has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Colton Cowser has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.3-mph average over the past week to his seasonal mark of 95.7-mph.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.348) implies that Colton Cowser has been unlucky this year with his .329 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as MLB’s 12th-best home run hitter.

Pete Alonso is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Pete Alonso pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Pete Alonso will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Pete Alonso has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 12.6% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesse Winker in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Hitting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Jesse Winker will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Jesse Winker has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Jesse Winker will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

In the last week’s worth of games, Jesse Winker’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 93.1 mph to 89.7 mph.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.

In the majors, Citi Field’s CF fences are the shallowest.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage today.

Over the last 7 days, Francisco Lindor’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.1% up to 25%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.

The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Jose Quintana.

The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 5th-worst among all the teams today.

Out of all starters, Jose Quintana’s fastball velocity of 90.1 mph is in the 5th percentile this year.

Jose Quintana’s 2067-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 12th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

With a 0.78 disparity between Jose Quintana’s 4.26 ERA and his 5.04 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the majors this year and should negatively regress the rest of the season.

With a 5.04 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that deals with the things most within a pitcher’s control), Jose Quintana falls in the 11th percentile.

Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Ramon Urias will have an advantage today.

Over the last week, Ramon Urias’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.7% up to 16.7%.

Ramon Urias has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.8-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 87.9-mph figure.

Ramon Urias’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, increasing from 15.4% on the season to 28% over the last two weeks.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Eloy Jimenez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Eloy Jimenez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Eloy Jimenez will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Eloy Jimenez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Eloy Jimenez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 93.7-mph seasonal average has fallen to 85.9-mph over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Mark Vientos is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Mark Vientos will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Mark Vientos has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 10.7% rate last year to 15.7% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Austin Slater is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Austin Slater will have the upper hand in today’s game.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Austin Slater has had some very poor luck this year. His .277 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .307.

Harrison Bader hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Harrison Bader will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Austin Slater is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Austin Slater’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 45.2% to 56.8%.

Tyrone Taylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In the last 14 days, Tyrone Taylor’s 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.8%.

When it comes to his home runs, Tyrone Taylor has experienced some negative variance this year. His 13.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a good deal lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 21.3.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.

Batting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Brandon Nimmo has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Ryan Mountcastle is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Ryan Mountcastle will have the handedness advantage over Jose Quintana today.

In the last two weeks, Ryan Mountcastle’s 54.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.9%.

Anthony Santander is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Jose Quintana.

Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.5% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Anthony Santander’s launch angle this year (23.5°) is considerably better than his 20° figure last season.

Power-wise, Anthony Santander has performed in the 99th percentile, having hit 41.6 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

J.D. Martinez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and J.D. Martinez will hold that advantage today.

J.D. Martinez has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.2-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.7-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

With a .351 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Anthony Santander has performed in the 86th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Ryan Mountcastle has hit one of the hardest balls in the league in the past 7 days — 110.5-mph — which is a good measure of recent form and raw power.

As it relates to his home run skill, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Francisco Alvarez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Placing in the 83rd percentile, Francisco Alvarez sits with a .331 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Hitting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Jeff McNeil will have the upper hand today.

Jeff McNeil hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Jeff McNeil will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Jeff McNeil has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 3% seasonal rate to 10% over the last week.

It may be best to expect worse results for the New York Mets offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 5th-luckiest offense in the league this year.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Tyrone Taylor has experienced some negative variance this year. His .295 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .324.

Jeff McNeil’s launch angle of late (21.6° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 15.4° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the 5th-best field in baseball for strikeouts.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Adley Rutschman’s launch angle recently (27.8° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 18.5° seasonal angle.

Dean Kremer has used his change-up 5.4% more often this year (17.6%) than he did last season (12.2%).

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Mark Vientos ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Cons

Jackson Holliday is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.

Citi Field projects as the #30 stadium in MLB for overall LHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which often leads to worse offense.

Jose Quintana will hold the platoon advantage against Jackson Holliday in today’s matchup.

Jackson Holliday will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Jose Quintana throws from, Gunnar Henderson meets a tough challenge today.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gunnar Henderson in today’s game.

Gunnar Henderson has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 35.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit higher than his 24.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Colton Cowser is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

The #1 ballpark in the majors for suppressing batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Hitting from the same side that Jose Quintana throws from, Colton Cowser will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Colton Cowser in today’s game.

Citi Field ranks as the #21 stadium in the game for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hitting from the same side that Dean Kremer throws from, Pete Alonso will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Jesse Winker has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (85% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.

Among every team in action today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.

Jesse Winker has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 7.4% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last two weeks.

The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will bat from his weak side (0) today against Dean Kremer, Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Adley Rutschman in today’s matchup.

Adley Rutschman has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 7.1% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 14 days.

Adley Rutschman’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 90-mph seasonal average has decreased to 81.6-mph over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the worst field in MLB for run-scoring.

It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Nick Mahrley) calling pitches in this game.

Francisco Alvarez, the Mets’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, projects as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #1 field in MLB for suppressing batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Jose Quintana has a reverse platoon split and is fortunate enough to be facing 6 opposite-handed hitters today.

Ramon Urias is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.

Ramon Urias will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

In terms of his home runs, Ramon Urias has been very fortunate this year. His 20.3 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 16.3.

Eloy Jimenez has been pinch hit for 19% of the time when starting against a lefty hurler this year.

Eloy Jimenez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Eloy Jimenez’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (2.1°) is a considerable dropoff from his 6° figure last season.

Batting from the same side that Dean Kremer throws from, Mark Vientos faces a tough challenge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mark Vientos’s true offensive skill to be a .318, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .054 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .372 wOBA.

This year, Austin Slater has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 58% of his appearances when starting against southpaw.

Austin Slater will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Austin Slater has struggled with his Barrel%; his 11.9% rate last season has lowered to 3.7% this season.

Harrison Bader is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

The #1 venue in the league for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Dean Kremer will hold the platoon advantage against Harrison Bader in today’s game.

Citi Field grades out as the #30 field in MLB for overall RHB offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Tyrone Taylor is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Dean Kremer throws from, Tyrone Taylor encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Over the last week, Brandon Nimmo’s 23.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 43.8%.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (17.6) provides evidence that Brandon Nimmo has had some very good luck this year with his 20.9 actual HR/600.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ryan Mountcastle in today’s game.

Ryan Mountcastle has displayed bad plate discipline this year, placing in the 20th percentile with a 3.89 K/BB rate.

In the last 14 days, Harrison Bader’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.3% down to 0%.

Anthony Santander’s BABIP talent is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Anthony Santander today.

Anthony Santander has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph dropping to 83.1-mph over the past week.

Despite posting a .394 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gunnar Henderson has had positive variance on his side given the .029 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .365.

Dean Kremer will have the handedness advantage over J.D. Martinez in today’s matchup.

J.D. Martinez’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 96.9-mph figure last year has lowered to 94.4-mph.

Citi Field profiles as the #21 park in the league for lefty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Compared to his seasonal figure of 10.9°, Ryan Mountcastle has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (7.5°) over the last 14 days.

Francisco Alvarez is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the same side that Dean Kremer throws from, Francisco Alvarez has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Tyrone Taylor has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 8.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last 14 days.

Jeff McNeil is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Jeff McNeil’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 87.2-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 84.2-mph over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 25th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

The 4th-best projected lineup of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the the New York Mets.

Because of his reverse platoon split, Dean Kremer will have a tough challenge matching up with 6 bats in the projected offense who share his hand in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Dean Kremer in today’s matchup.

Dean Kremer’s fastball velocity has decreased 1.3 mph this year (92.8 mph) below where it was last year (94.1 mph).

Ramon Urias’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 43.5% to 34.3%.

In terms of his home runs, Anthony Santander has been very fortunate this year. His 42.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 35.0.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 13th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Jose Quintana struggled when it came to striking batters out in his previous start and compiled 1 Ks.

Checking in at the 12th percentile, Jose Quintana compiled an 8.4% Swinging Strike% this year.

Jose Quintana has compiled an 18.9% Strikeout% this year, ranking in the 24th percentile.

Adley Rutschman has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 21.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly inflated relative to his 19.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Over the past 14 days, Francisco Alvarez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.8% down to 0%.

Dean Kremer has been lucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, compiling an 8.37 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.99 — a 0.38 K/9 discrepancy.

Placing in the 14th percentile, Dean Kremer put up an 8.6% Swinging Strike rate this year.

Jesse Winker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 14.7% to 9.3%.