Pros

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre’s CF fences are the 10th-shallowest.

The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst among all the teams playing today.

Ernie Clement will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Ernie Clement’s launch angle lately (20.4° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 15.6° seasonal angle.

Batting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Jake Fraley will have an advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Joey Loperfido will hold the platoon advantage against Carson Spiers in today’s matchup… and even more favorably, Spiers has a large platoon split.

Joey Loperfido hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Joey Loperfido will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Carson Spiers today.

Out of all SPs, Carson Spiers’s fastball velocity of 91.3 mph is in the 24th percentile this year.

The Toronto Blue Jays collectively place 5th- overall in the majors this year in regard to the maximum exit velocity of all of the baseballs their [HITTER}s have hit.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Spencer Steer ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Spencer Steer is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

When it comes to plate discipline, Spencer Steer’s talent is quite impressive, posting a 1.93 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 80th percentile.

When it comes to his batting average skill, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold that advantage today.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Tyler Stephenson ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Tyler Stephenson has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 10.2% seasonal rate to 17.2% over the past two weeks.

Tyler Stephenson has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.7-mph to 94-mph in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Ty France has seen a big gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.4-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 88.6-mph EV.

Ty France’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (16°) is significantly better than his 11.2° figure last season.

Noelvi Marte hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Noelvi Marte’s true offensive talent to be a .289, indicating that he has been unlucky this year given the .067 disparity between that figure and his actual .222 wOBA.

Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Noelvi Marte has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.6 mph (an advanced standard to evaluate power), ranking in the 95th percentile.

Will Wagner will hold the platoon advantage against Carson Spiers in today’s game… and the cherry on top, Spiers has a large platoon split.

Will Wagner hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

Will Wagner will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Will Wagner has been hot recently, notching a a 12.5% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) over the past week.

Jeimer Candelario’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, rising from 17.8% on the season to 30.8% in the past 7 days.

Jeimer Candelario has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 15.4° angle is among the highest in the league this year (79th percentile).

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

George Springer is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and George Springer will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

George Springer has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 9% seasonal rate to 25% over the last 7 days.

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

Daulton Varsho will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carson Spiers in today’s game… and even better, Spiers has a large platoon split.

Daulton Varsho is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of Cincinnati (#1-worst of all teams on the slate today).

When estimating his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his strong side against Jose Berrios in today’s game.

Elly De La Cruz has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.6-mph to 95.5-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 86th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Spencer Horwitz will hold the platoon advantage over Carson Spiers in today’s matchup… and even better, Spiers has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Spencer Horwitz will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

T.J. Friedl is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.

Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, T.J. Friedl will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

This season, T.J. Friedl has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 88.8 mph compared to last year’s 86.7 mph mark.

T.J. Friedl has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 88.8-mph.

Given Carson Spiers’s large platoon split, Addison Barger will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

Addison Barger will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Addison Barger has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 7% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the past week’s worth of games.

Addison Barger’s launch angle in recent games (29.6° over the past 14 days) is significantly better than his 12.7° seasonal mark.

Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Will Benson will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Will Benson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Last year, Will Benson had an average launch angle of 14.5° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 18.9°.

Will Benson’s 12% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) grades out in the 83rd percentile this year.

Jose Berrios’s 2160-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 25th percentile among all starting pitchers.

Given the 1.29 discrepancy between Jose Berrios’s 3.85 ERA and his 5.14 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in baseball this year and figures to see negative regression in future games.

Jose Berrios has put up a 5.14 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that is concerned with the things a pitcher has the most control over) this year, ranking in the 7th percentile.

Jose Berrios has posted a .257 BABIP this year, making him one of the luckiest hurlers in Major League Baseball on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.

Jose Berrios has averaged 93.1 adjusted pitches per GS this year, ranking in the 80th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 8th-best ballpark in the league for strikeouts.

Compiling a 93.2-mph average exit velocity in the last week, Will Wagner has been in great form lately.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jonathan India ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.

Jonathan India has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.7-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 89.6-mph.

Compared to his seasonal average of 12.5°, Jonathan India has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 27.9° angle over the last 14 days.

Grading out in the 87th percentile, Jake Fraley sits with a .331 BABIP this year.

Alejandro Kirk’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Alejandro Kirk has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (76% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Alejandro Kirk will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ty France ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Compared to his seasonal average of 16.3°, Spencer Steer has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 19.5° mark in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Joey Loperfido’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (25.3° over the past 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 16° seasonal figure.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Alejandro Kirk ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Alejandro Kirk has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.7-mph average to last season’s 90.6-mph figure.

As it relates to his home run ability, Will Benson ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks as the 6th-best hitter in the game.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .399 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .421 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Cons

Ernie Clement is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Rogers Centre ranks as the #23 venue in MLB for overall right-handed offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all major league stadiums, the 8th-highest fence height (on average) are at Rogers Centre.

This matchup is expected to have the best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 15-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for pitchers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Fraley in the 12th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Jake Fraley is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Jake Fraley has been pinch hit for 14% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

Joey Loperfido is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Joey Loperfido has been pinch hit for 19% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 8th-worst field in the majors for boosting offensive stats to LHB.

Roberto Ortiz grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be calling pitches in this game.

Rogers Centre ranks as the #22 venue in baseball for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jose Berrios will hold the platoon advantage over Spencer Steer in today’s matchup.

Rogers Centre projects as the #23 park in MLB for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Carson Spiers will hold the platoon advantage against Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today’s game… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Spiers’s large platoon split.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 7°, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.8°) in the last 14 days.

Hitting from the same side that Jose Berrios throws from, Tyler Stephenson will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Tyler Stephenson today.

Ty France is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Noelvi Marte is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.

Batting from the same side that Jose Berrios throws from, Noelvi Marte will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 7th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Will Wagner is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Jeimer Candelario is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Jeimer Candelario will bat from his bad side against Jose Berrios in today’s matchup.

When estimating his home run talent, Santiago Espinal ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Santiago Espinal is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.

Carson Spiers will have the handedness advantage over George Springer in today’s game… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Spiers’s large platoon split.

George Springer’s launch angle of late (3.8° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is considerably worse than his 8.6° seasonal angle.

Considering Carson Spiers’s large platoon split, Ernie Clement will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today’s game.

Daulton Varsho’s BABIP talent is projected in the 4th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Elly De La Cruz in today’s matchup.

Daulton Varsho has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 5.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past 14 days.

Daulton Varsho’s launch angle of late (20.7° over the past week) is quite a bit worse than his 25.7° seasonal figure.

Spencer Horwitz has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph dropping to 83.2-mph over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects T.J. Friedl in the 10th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Addison Barger is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Addison Barger’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 86.7-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 82.4-mph in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 5th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Will Benson is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.

This year, Will Benson has been pulled from the game early in 33% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 8th-worst park in the game for LHB batting average.

Projected catcher Alejandro Kirk projects as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jose Berrios has notched an 8.3% Swinging Strike percentage this year, ranking in the 10th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 12th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Jose Berrios will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jonathan India in today’s matchup.

Jonathan India will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Because of Carson Spiers’s large platoon split, Alejandro Kirk will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today’s game.

Jose Berrios will hold the platoon advantage against Santiago Espinal in today’s matchup.

Jose Berrios will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ty France today.

Over the last 7 days, Alejandro Kirk’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7% down to 0%.

Elly De La Cruz has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 13.4% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last week.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Spencer Steer today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 7th-worst park in the game for LHB batting average.

The Toronto Blue Jays (20 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the least strikeout-heavy set of batters of all teams on the slate.

Carson Spiers has had some very good luck with his strikeouts this year, notching an 8.40 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.64 — a 0.77 K/9 difference.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Joey Loperfido ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

T.J. Friedl will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

In terms of his home runs, T.J. Friedl has been lucky this year. His 30.3 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 14.3.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s launch angle this season (7°) is quite a bit worse than his 10.2° angle last year.

In the last week’s worth of games, Will Wagner’s swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 0% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.