Orioles vs D-Backs match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, April 9th

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Orioles vs D-Backs match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, April 9th

BAL @ ARI

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World Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Baltimore Orioles at Arizona Diamondbacks
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Wednesday, April 9th
09/04/25 15:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Orioles vs D-Backs Series Game 3 Matchup Today

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jordan Westburg ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jordan Westburg is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 22° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.

Jordan Westburg’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 17.8% to 25%.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jordan Westburg has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .343 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .386.

Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output.

The Baltimore Orioles projected batting order grades out as the 3rd-best of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill.

It may be best to expect stronger performance for the Baltimore Orioles offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 8th-unluckiest offense in the majors since the start of last season.

Chase Field ranks as the #3 park in MLB for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Baltimore Orioles have 6 hitters in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in this matchup.

Brandon Pfaadt has tallied 17.1 outs per start since the start of last season, grading out in the 79th percentile.

When it comes to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Brandon Pfaadt in the 75th percentile among all SPs in MLB.

Brandon Pfaadt will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats in all categories.

Brandon Pfaadt’s curveball rate has jumped by 13% from last season to this one (5.3% to 18.3%) .

Among all SPs, Brandon Pfaadt’s fastball spin rate of 2557.9 rpm grades out in the 98th percentile since the start of last season.

Batting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Heston Kjerstad will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in baseball for left-handed batting average.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jackson Holliday ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Jackson Holliday will have the upper hand today.

Extreme flyball bats like Jackson Holliday generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brandon Pfaadt.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Pavin Smith ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Pavin Smith is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Pavin Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Dean Kremer today.

Cedric Mullins is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Cedric Mullins will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 76th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Given that groundball pitchers struggle the most against flyball hitters, Dean Kremer (35.5% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 2 FB hitters in Arizona’s projected offense.

Dean Kremer will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

In his previous GS, Dean Kremer conceded a staggering 5 earned runs.

Tallying 93.1 adjusted pitches per GS since the start of last season on average, Dean Kremer checks in at the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his home run skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Eugenio Suarez has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 108.3-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 104-mph.

Eugenio Suarez has been hot lately, putting up a a 33.3% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Josh Naylor is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.

Batting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Josh Naylor will have the upper hand in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Josh Naylor ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Josh Naylor will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Ryan O’Hearn is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Ryan O’Hearn will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.348) implies that Ryan O’Hearn has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .330 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O’Neill in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Since the start of last season, Tyler O’Neill’s 18% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 98th percentile among his peers.

Tyler O’Neill projects as the 8th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Posting a 35.300 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Tyler O’Neill is ranked in the 98th percentile for power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

There has been a significant improvement in Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s launch angle from last year’s 15.5° to 23.9° this season.

Geraldo Perdomo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (55% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Geraldo Perdomo has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89-mph average to last season’s 87-mph EV.

Compared to last season, Geraldo Perdomo has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13% to 34.4% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

This season, Adley Rutschman has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.7 mph compared to last year’s 89.5 mph mark.

Hitting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Alek Thomas will have the upper hand today.

Extreme flyball bats like Alek Thomas tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Dean Kremer.

Alek Thomas will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Over the last week, Alek Thomas has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .400.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Corbin Carroll will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer in today’s game.

Corbin Carroll will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 13th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Gunnar Henderson will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today’s game.

Negative Match Player Stats with Orioles vs D-Backs Series Game 3

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-worst venue in baseball for righty home runs.

Among all stadiums, Chase Field’s centerfield dimensions are the 3rd-deepest.

Chase Field has the 10th-tallest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.

Brandon Pfaadt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Westburg in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jordan Westburg today.

Among all the teams today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the Arizona Diamondbacks.

In the past week’s worth of games, Jordan Westburg has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power).

Laz Diaz projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be in charge of the strike zone in today’s game.

Brandon Pfaadt is an extreme flyball pitcher (37.6% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #29 HR venue in the majors today.

Heston Kjerstad is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Heston Kjerstad has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 18% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 3rd-worst stadium in baseball for LHB home runs.

Today, Heston Kjerstad is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39% rate (87th percentile).

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Heston Kjerstad in today’s game.

Jackson Holliday is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this game.

Jackson Holliday will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Jackson Holliday’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 91.7-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 88.5-mph over the past week.

Pavin Smith has been pinch hit for 31% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter since the start of last season.

Pavin Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 87th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 6th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

In today’s game, Cedric Mullins is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.1% rate (94th percentile).

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Cedric Mullins in today’s game.

Cedric Mullins has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .321 mark is inflated compared to his .305 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In terms of his home runs, Cedric Mullins has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His 23.4 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 16.5.

It may be wise to expect worse numbers for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the luckiest offense in the majors since the start of last season.

Dean Kremer is an extreme flyball pitcher (35.5% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be aided by pitching in the #29 HR venue in MLB today.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (20.7 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 4th-least strikeout-heavy set of hitters on the slate today.

Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Dean Kremer throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have a disadvantage today.

Extreme groundball hitters like Eugenio Suarez are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Dean Kremer.

Josh Naylor has struggled with his Barrel%; his 8.5% rate last year has decreased to 3.2% this year.

Josh Naylor has been cold in recent games, compiling a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) in the past week.

Josh Naylor has had some very good luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 27.6 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is quite a bit higher than his 21.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In notching a .250 BABIP since the start of last season, Josh Naylor is ranked in the 7th percentile.

22% of the time that Ryan O’Hearn has started against a right-handed pitcher since the start of last season, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ryan O’Hearn today.

Posting a lowly an 86.6-mph average exit velocity in the past two weeks, Ryan O’Hearn has been in a slump in recent games.

Tyler O’Neill has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (89% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Brandon Pfaadt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler O’Neill today.

Tyler O’Neill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Tyler O’Neill in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Dean Kremer throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will be at a disadvantage today.

Over the last week, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 88.4-mph on his flyballs.

By putting up a 3.57 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has displayed weak plate discipline, ranking in the 23rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 11th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Over the last two weeks, Geraldo Perdomo has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.244) may lead us to conclude that Geraldo Perdomo has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .277 actual batting average.

When estimating his home run skill, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Brandon Pfaadt in today’s matchup.

Adley Rutschman pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

In the past 7 days, Adley Rutschman has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power).

Alek Thomas is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Alek Thomas has been pinch hit for 21% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher since the start of last season.

This season, there has been a decline in Alek Thomas’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.8 ft/sec last year to 26.77 ft/sec currently.

Alek Thomas has been cold of late, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) in the last 7 days.

By putting up a .252 BABIP since the start of last season, Corbin Carroll has performed in the 8th percentile.

Gunnar Henderson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gunnar Henderson in today’s game.

Over the past 7 days, Gunnar Henderson has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power).

In the last week, Gunnar Henderson’s swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 0% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

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