World Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Astros vs Mariners Series Game 3 Matchup Today

As it relates to his home run skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.

Christian Walker pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today.

Christian Walker has hit one of the hardest balls in the league over the past 7 days — 112.8-mph — which is a strong indicator of recent form and raw power.

By putting up a .342 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Christian Walker has performed in the 83rd percentile for offensive skills.

Christian Walker has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits recently, angling balls between -4° and 26° 60% of the time over the last 14 days.

Brendan Rodgers has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Putting up a 94.4-mph average exit velocity over the last 7 days, Brendan Rodgers has been in great form recently.

Brendan Rodgers has been lifting the ball well in recent games, notching a 27° launch angle over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Over the last 7 days, Brendan Rodgers’s swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 66.7% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.

Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (46.2% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 99th percentile with a 22.3° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in Major League Baseball.

Posting a 1.37 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Isaac Paredes has shown good plate discipline, checking in at the 96th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Jose Altuve is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Jose Altuve pulls a lot of his flyballs (41% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Ranking in the 89th percentile, Jose Altuve has put up a .352 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Sporting a .451 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, Jose Altuve is positioned in the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 4th-best hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Long-balls are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums.

Considering Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Yordan Alvarez will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s matchup.

Yordan Alvarez will probably have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, J.P. Crawford will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and J.P. Crawford will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.241) provides evidence that J.P. Crawford has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .198 actual batting average.

J.P. Crawford has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .282 rate is quite a bit lower than his .319 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Randy Arozarena is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In comparison to his 90.4-mph average last year, Randy Arozarena’s exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 94.5 mph.

Batting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Rowdy Tellez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Rowdy Tellez has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.5 mph (a reliable standard to measure power), grading out in the 93rd percentile.

As it relates to his home run ability, Rowdy Tellez ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jorge Polanco has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (50% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

Extreme flyball batters like Jorge Polanco usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Brown.

Jorge Polanco will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Jorge Polanco has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .298 figure is a fair amount lower than his .324 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 77th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

As it relates to his home run ability, Luke Raley ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luke Raley is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

Luke Raley will have the handedness advantage over Hunter Brown today.

Luke Raley will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Luke Raley ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

Over the last 7 days, Jeremy Pena has averaged an impressive 100.1-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced proxy for home run potential.

Over the last 14 days, Jeremy Pena’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 17.4% up to 17.4%.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jeremy Pena has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .303 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .318.

Over the last 7 days, Jake Meyers has displayed impressive power, recording a a 20% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power).

Jake Meyers has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits in recent games, angling balls between -4° and 26° 60% of the time in the past week.

Jake Meyers has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .220 figure is a good deal lower than his .260 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Compiling a 94.6-mph average exit velocity in the past week’s worth of games, Jake Meyers has been in great form recently.

Jake Meyers has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .287 mark is considerably lower than his .326 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jake Meyers ranks in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (19.4% rate since the start of last season).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Hunter Brown’s overall pitching ability is in the 93rd percentile out of all starting pitchers in the game currently.

Hunter Brown has averaged 95.7 adjusted pitches per GS since the start of last season, checking in at the 92nd percentile.

T-Mobile Park ranks as the #29 park in the league for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hunter Brown was rolling in his last game started and conceded 2 ER.

When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Hunter Brown in the 87th percentile among all starting pitchers in MLB.

The Seattle Mariners have 4 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Dylan Moore, Luke Raley, Cal Raleigh, Jorge Polanco).

T-Mobile Park ranks as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Cal Raleigh projects as the 16th-best home run hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.9% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Bats such as Cal Raleigh with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Hunter Brown who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Cal Raleigh will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

Cal Raleigh’s launch angle this season (26°) is significantly better than his 21° mark last year.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Julio Rodriguez has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Julio Rodriguez has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 95.6-mph average to last year’s 91.7-mph figure.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Julio Rodriguez ranks as the 18th-best batter in the league.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Luis Castillo’s overall pitching skill ranks in the 12th percentile among all starting pitchers in MLB currently.

Collectively, Houston Astros hitters have excelled as it relates to hitting balls in the launch angle span that tends to optimize base hits (between -4° and 26°), rating 5th-best in the majors.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Luis Castillo will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Yainer Diaz has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

In the last 14 days, Yainer Diaz has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, notching a 20.4° angle.

In terms of his home runs, Yainer Diaz has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His 14.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been quite a bit lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 20.2.

Yainer Diaz’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Yainer Diaz has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .320 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .339.

Ryan Bliss has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

Ryan Bliss will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Ryan Bliss has been hot of late, posting a a 16.7% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) in the past week.

Ryan Bliss has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs lately, hitting balls between 23° and 34° 33.3% of the time in the last 7 days.

Negative Match Player Stats with Astros vs Mariners Series Game 3

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects T-Mobile Park as the worst stadium in MLB for run-scoring.

T-Mobile Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.

Considering Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Christian Walker will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Christian Walker in today’s matchup.

Christian Walker has recorded a .272 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 22nd percentile.

Over the past 14 days, Christian Walker’s swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 5% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 10th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the 3rd-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average.

Brendan Rodgers is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Luis Castillo will have the handedness advantage over Brendan Rodgers in today’s game… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Castillo’s large platoon split.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brendan Rodgers today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.290) may lead us to conclude that Brendan Rodgers has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .316 actual wOBA.

Isaac Paredes’s BABIP talent is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Because of Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Isaac Paredes will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate today.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Isaac Paredes in today’s game.

In the last 14 days, Isaac Paredes has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Isaac Paredes’s 85.3-mph average exit velocity is one of the worst in the game since the start of last season: 6th percentile.

Luis Castillo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Altuve in today’s matchup… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Castillo’s large platoon split.

Jose Altuve will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Putting up a lowly a 78-mph average exit velocity in the past week’s worth of games, Jose Altuve has been in a slump in recent games.

Jose Altuve has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs of late, angling balls between 23° and 34° just 4.5% of the time over the past 14 days.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Yordan Alvarez today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the 3rd-worst ballpark in MLB for left-handed batting average.

J.P. Crawford is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

J.P. Crawford has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 8.3% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past week.

J.P. Crawford has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.3-mph dropping to 79.5-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

In the past week, J.P. Crawford’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.7%.

Hitting from the same side that Hunter Brown throws from, Randy Arozarena faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Utilizing Statcast data, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .210.

Randy Arozarena has posted a .221 batting average since the start of last season, grading out in the 15th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rowdy Tellez in the 1st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Rowdy Tellez is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

In the past 7 days, Rowdy Tellez has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power).

Rowdy Tellez has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs lately, lifting balls between 23° and 34° just 0% of the time in the last 7 days.

Posting a .281 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Rowdy Tellez grades out in the 16th percentile for hitting ability.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Jorge Polanco will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Hunter Brown in this game.

This season, there has been a decline in Jorge Polanco’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.52 ft/sec last year to 25.36 ft/sec currently.

Hitting the ball to all fields is a key talent for batting average that Jorge Polanco has struggled with since the start of last season, as evidenced by his grading out in the 7th percentile on THE BAT X’s Spray Score.

In the last two weeks, Luke Raley has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 83.3-mph on his flyballs.

Luke Raley has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite poorly of late, notching a 4.6° angle on such balls in the past two weeks.

As it relates to his home runs, Luke Raley has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His 28.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 25.0.

By putting up a 4.59 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Luke Raley has shown weak plate discipline, checking in at the 9th percentile.

Because of Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Jeremy Pena will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jeremy Pena in today’s game.

Jeremy Pena has not been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits of late, hitting balls between -4° and 26° just 26.1% of the time in the past two weeks.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jeremy Pena ranks in just the 8th percentile with a 7.4° launch angle, which is one of the most groundball-inducing angles in the majors.

With a 4.38 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jeremy Pena has displayed weak plate discipline, placing in the 12th percentile.

Jake Meyers is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.

Given Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Jake Meyers will be at a massive disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today’s game.

Jake Meyers will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

It may be wise to expect better numbers for the Seattle Mariners offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 8th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball since the start of last season.

It is scheduled that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Carlos Torres) calling pitches today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Yainer Diaz (the Astros’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) projects as a weak pitch framer.

Among all major league parks, T-Mobile Park’s RF fences are the 3rd-shallowest.

Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Hunter Brown (50.2% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 3 FB hitters in Seattle’s projected lineup.

Hunter Brown’s change-up usage has increased by 6.7% from last year to this one (12.6% to 19.3%) .

Hunter Brown will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Cal Raleigh will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against Hunter Brown in today’s game.

Grading out in the 11th percentile, Cal Raleigh has put up a .256 BABIP since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 4th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Posting a .226 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Cal Raleigh has performed in the 23rd percentile.

Hitting from the same side that Hunter Brown throws from, Julio Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Posting a 3.68 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Julio Rodriguez has shown weak plate discipline, placing in the 21st percentile.

The Houston Astros have been the 6th-luckiest offense in the majors since the start of last season, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse going forward,Cal Raleigh, the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, profiles as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Because of his large platoon split, Luis Castillo will hold the advantage squaring off against 8 bats in the projected batting order who share his hand today.

When estimating his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Luis Castillo in the 6th percentile among all starters in MLB.

Luis Castillo struggled when it came to striking batters out in his previous outing and accumulated 2 Ks.

Yainer Diaz has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.

Given Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Yainer Diaz will be at a massive disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game.

Yainer Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Yainer Diaz has been cold in recent games, putting up an 83.8-mph average exit velocity in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Bliss in the 24th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Ryan Bliss is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Hunter Brown throws from, Ryan Bliss will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

Ryan Bliss has been cold of late, putting up a .224 wOBA in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

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