BAL @ ATH
Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Saturday, June 7th
07/06/25 22:05:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Orioles vs Athletics Series Game 2 Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Denzel Clarke as the 9th-best hitter in the league when estimating his BABIP ability.
Sutter Health Park projects as the #10 park in the majors for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
In the majors, Sutter Health Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 88°.
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.9-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.
Extreme flyball hitters like Denzel Clarke tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Charlie Morton.
Denzel Clarke will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.
Max Muncy has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Max Muncy will hold that advantage today.
Heston Kjerstad’s BABIP skill is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The #10 park in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.
Batting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Heston Kjerstad will have an edge in today’s game.
In the past week, Heston Kjerstad’s 75% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Jackson Holliday has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (58% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Jackson Holliday will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Severino in today’s game.
Jacob Wilson is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Wilson as the 8th-best batter in the game when it comes to his batting average talent.
Extreme flyball batters like Jacob Wilson tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Charlie Morton.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
Ryan O’Hearn is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Ryan O’Hearn will have an edge in today’s game.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ryan O’Hearn ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Charlie Morton in the 81st percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.
Charlie Morton has been given more leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, recording 3.8 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than the average starting pitcher.
The Athletics have 4 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Denzel Clarke, Willie MacIver, Max Muncy, Brent Rooker).
With 6 bats who share his handedness in the opposing team’s projected offense, Charlie Morton figures to benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected lineup for the Athletics today holds an estimated true talent wOBA of .311, which is a good deal lower than their actual wOBA of .324 this year.
The Athletics have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress going forward,Brent Rooker projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brent Rooker is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Brent Rooker ranks as the 20th-best batter in MLB.
Brent Rooker will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Luis Urias will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Luis Urias has exhibited strong plate discipline this year, placing in the 92nd percentile with a 1.34 K/BB rate.
Tallying 96.4 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Luis Severino places him the 94th percentile.
Given that groundball hitters are less effective against groundball pitchers, Luis Severino (43.4% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 2 GB hitters in the opposing team’s projected offense.
Luis Severino will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats across the board.
Luis Severino’s cutter rate has jumped by 10% from last season to this one (8% to 18%) .
Luis Severino’s 95.2-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 83rd percentile among all starting pitchers.
Today’s version of the Orioles projected batting order is a bit watered down, as their .315 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .330 overall projected rate.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Willie MacIver will hold that advantage today.
When it comes to his home run ability, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Tyler Soderstrom is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Batting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Tyler Soderstrom will have the upper hand today.
Hitting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, JJ Bleday will have the upper hand in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 79th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
JJ Bleday will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
JJ Bleday has been unlucky this year, notching a .283 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .321 — a .038 deviation.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.
Over the last week, Adley Rutschman’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.4-mph over the course of the season to 108.3-mph in recent games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.
Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Severino in today’s matchup.
When estimating his home run ability, Lawrence Butler ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Lawrence Butler is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Lawrence Butler ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Lawrence Butler will have an edge today.
Negative Match Player Stats with Orioles vs Athletics Series Game 2
Denzel Clarke is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.
Denzel Clarke has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 13% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.
The 6th-deepest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Sutter Health Park.
Charlie Morton will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Denzel Clarke in today’s game.
Denzel Clarke has struggled to lift the ball of late, notching a 1.1° launch angle in the past 14 days.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Denzel Clarke ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 14th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
Batting from the same side that Charlie Morton throws from, Max Muncy will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.
Heston Kjerstad is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.
Heston Kjerstad has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.
Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Heston Kjerstad in today’s matchup.
Over the last week, Heston Kjerstad’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.3% down to 0%.
Heston Kjerstad has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph dropping to 85.8-mph in the past 14 days.
Jackson Holliday has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Extreme flyball batters like Jackson Holliday are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Luis Severino.
Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jackson Holliday in today’s matchup.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 8.2°, Jackson Holliday has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.6°) over the last two weeks.
Posting a 3.93 K/BB rate this year, Jackson Holliday has shown bad plate discipline, grading out in the 20th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Wilson in the 4th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
Charlie Morton will hold the platoon advantage against Jacob Wilson in today’s matchup.
Jacob Wilson’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 86.9-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 78.9-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 7.6°, Jacob Wilson has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-4.2°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
In the past week, Jacob Wilson has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power).
Today, Ryan O’Hearn is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.8% rate (84th percentile).
Ryan O’Hearn will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
Despite posting a .402 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ryan O’Hearn has had positive variance on his side given the .061 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .341.
It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Lance Barksdale) calling pitches in this game.
Charlie Morton will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Charlie Morton’s fastball velocity has fallen 1 mph this year (93.1 mph) below where it was last year (94.1 mph).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Sutter Health Park as the 8th-best park in Major League Baseball for walks.
Batting from the same side that Charlie Morton throws from, Brent Rooker encounters a tough challenge today.
Brent Rooker hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Typically, batters like Brent Rooker who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Charlie Morton.
Brent Rooker’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 95.4-mph seasonal average has lowered to 90.9-mph in the past two weeks.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Brent Rooker’s 7.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.7%.
Brent Rooker’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (13.8°) is considerably worse than his 18.3° figure last year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Urias in the 4th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Luis Urias is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.
Hitting from the same side that Charlie Morton throws from, Luis Urias will not have the upper hand today.
Luis Urias pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.3% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.
Compared to his seasonal figure of 12.5°, Luis Urias has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (6.8°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Luis Urias has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.
The Baltimore Orioles have 6 hitters in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage over Luis Severino today.
Luis Severino has posted a 7.4% Swinging Strike% this year, grading out in the 9th percentile.
The Baltimore Orioles have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in the future,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willie MacIver in the 13th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
Willie MacIver is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.
Hitting from the same side that Charlie Morton throws from, Willie MacIver will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
In today’s matchup, Tyler Soderstrom is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.4% rate (93rd percentile).
Tyler Soderstrom’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 98.2-mph average last year has dropped to 94.9-mph.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (23.6) provides evidence that Tyler Soderstrom has had positive variance on his side this year with his 31.1 actual HR/600.
Tyler Soderstrom’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off lately, falling from 46.1% on the season to 23.8% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Despite posting a .352 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tyler Soderstrom has been very fortunate given the .024 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .328.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 4th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
JJ Bleday is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
JJ Bleday hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Typically, bats like JJ Bleday who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Charlie Morton.
JJ Bleday’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, going from 42.8% to 33.6%.
JJ Bleday has put up a .267 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 6th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
This year, JJ Bleday’s 3.8% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 15th percentile among his peers.
Sutter Health Park has the 9th-most fair ground among all stadiums — generally bad for HRs.
The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will bat from his bad side (0) today against Luis Severino,Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Adley Rutschman in today’s matchup.
Over the past two weeks, Adley Rutschman’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (3.1°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 14.1°.
Ranking in the 11th percentile, Adley Rutschman has notched a .245 BABIP this year.
Gunnar Henderson has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Gunnar Henderson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Gunnar Henderson has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 93.8-mph dropping to 91.2-mph over the last 14 days.
Gunnar Henderson’s launch angle in recent games (0.3° over the past 7 days) is significantly lower than his 10.4° seasonal figure.
Gunnar Henderson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 14.1% to 7.9%.
In today’s matchup, Lawrence Butler is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.5% rate (91st percentile).
In the last two weeks, Lawrence Butler’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 94.1 mph to 91.7 mph.
Lawrence Butler has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .348 rate is considerably higher than his .304 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Lawrence Butler’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, decreasing from 12.4% on the season to 3.3% in the past two weeks.
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