Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Nationals vs Brewers Matchup Today

Sal Frelick is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

American Family Field has the 5th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.

Sal Frelick hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball bats like Sal Frelick are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Mitchell Parker.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Joey Ortiz will have the handedness advantage over Mitchell Parker in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Joey Ortiz will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Joey Ortiz’s launch angle this year (14.1°) is quite a bit better than his 9.6° angle last year.

Joey Ortiz has been unlucky this year, posting a .253 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .302 — a .049 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.

Jackson Chourio will have the handedness advantage against Mitchell Parker in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

When estimating his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

James Wood is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

American Family Field has the 7th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks.

James Wood will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Quinn Priester in today’s game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), James Wood ranks as the 16th-best batter in the majors.

Jacob Young has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 87.7-mph average to last season’s 85.4-mph mark.

As it relates to his batting average, Jacob Young has had bad variance on his side this year. His .234 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .264.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

When it comes to plate discipline, Jacob Young’s skill is quite impressive, sporting a 1.79 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 77th percentile.

Jacob Young has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .269 mark is deflated compared to his .285 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Hitting from the opposite that Quinn Priester throws from, Daylen Lile will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Over the past week, Daylen Lile has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, compiling a 30° angle.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.343) provides evidence that Daylen Lile has had some very poor luck this year with his .281 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

The Milwaukee Brewers have been the 10th-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse the rest of the season,The #1 ballpark in the league for suppressing batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

Mitchell Parker has a reverse platoon split and is fortunate enough to be facing 6 opposite-handed batters in today’s game.

Mitchell Parker was on point in his previous start and conceded 0 ER.

Milwaukee Brewers hitters jointly rank in the cellar of the majors this year ( worst) when assessing their 88-mph average exit velocity.

Mitchell Parker will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the best ballpark in the majors for strikeouts.

Mitchell Parker has been unlucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, compiling a 6.10 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.17 — a 1.06 K/9 difference.

Josh Bell is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.

Josh Bell has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .301 figure is a good deal lower than his .328 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Josh Bell has displayed favorable plate discipline this year, grading out in the 79th percentile with a 1.71 K/BB rate.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Quinn Priester throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have the upper hand today.

Nathaniel Lowe has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last year’s 90.8-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

William Contreras is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, William Contreras will have the upper hand today.

William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 15th-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Christian Yelich is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Bats such as Christian Yelich with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Mitchell Parker who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Christian Yelich ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Riley Adams’s true offensive skill to be a .284, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .095 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .189 wOBA.

Since the start of last season, Riley Adams’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to study power) grades out in the 90th percentile at 95.2 mph.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

Andrew Vaughn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker in today’s matchup.

The Washington Nationals have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Riley Adams, James Wood, Paul DeJong).

Considering that flyball batters are less effective against flyball pitchers, Quinn Priester (52.9% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 5 FB hitters in the opposing team’s projected lineup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Quinn Priester will hold that advantage in today’s game.

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Quinn Priester must realize this, because he has utilized his secondary pitches a lot this year: 58.5% of the time, checking in at the 76th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, CJ Abrams ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Quinn Priester in today’s matchup.

CJ Abrams’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Brice Turang hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Batters such as Brice Turang with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Mitchell Parker who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Brice Turang will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

The switch-hitting Isaac Collins will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Mitchell Parker.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Isaac Collins will hold that advantage today.

With a .350 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Isaac Collins finds himself in the 80th percentile.

Negative Match Player Stats with Nationals vs Brewers

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 5th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

The #1 park in the game for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

Batting from the same side that Mitchell Parker throws from, Sal Frelick will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.260) provides evidence that Sal Frelick has experienced some positive variance this year with his .290 actual batting average.

Utilizing Statcast data, Sal Frelick is in the 17th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 10.300.

Despite posting a .330 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Sal Frelick has been very fortunate given the .033 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .297.

This year, Sal Frelick’s 3.1% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 9th percentile among his peers.

American Family Field profiles as the #25 park in baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Sal Frelick is in the 6th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (10.6% rate this year).

Joey Ortiz is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

When starting against a southpaw this year, Joey Ortiz has been pinch hit for 13% of the time.

Joey Ortiz has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Joey Ortiz’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 87.8-mph figure last season has lowered to 85.5-mph.

Joey Ortiz has paced 9.7 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 14th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

American Family Field projects as the #25 venue in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jackson Chourio’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 89.7-mph mark last year has dropped to 87.6-mph.

From last year to this one, Jackson Chourio’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 16% to 12.5%.

In the last week’s worth of games, Jackson Chourio has not been doing well in optimizing the launch angle on his hardest hit balls to generate power, managing a mere a 4.8° angle.

Jackson Chourio has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 21.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is quite a bit higher than his 17.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Posting a 4.35 K/BB rate this year, Jackson Chourio has shown poor plate discipline, grading out in the 16th percentile.

Jackson Chourio’s footspeed has dropped off this season. His 29.71 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 29.25 ft/sec now.

Typically, hitters like James Wood who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Quinn Priester.

The Milwaukee Brewers infield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of all the teams in action today.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for James Wood in today’s game.

James Wood has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 35.4 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a good deal higher than his 28.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

James Wood is an extreme groundball hitter and faces the strong infield defense of Milwaukee (#3-best of all teams on the slate).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 1st percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Jacob Young is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Jacob Young has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 11% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

Batting from the same side that Quinn Priester throws from, Jacob Young faces a tough challenge today.

Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

As it relates to his home run skill, Daylen Lile ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Daylen Lile is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Daylen Lile will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

With a .281 wOBA in the last 14 days, Daylen Lile has been struggling at the plate.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Mitchell Parker is projected to throw 84 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 7th-least of all pitchers on the slate today.

Projected catcher Riley Adams profiles as a horrible pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Considering that groundball hitters hold a substantial advantage over flyball pitchers, Mitchell Parker and his 35.5% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a hard position in today’s game being matched up with 4 opposing GB bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Mitchell Parker in the 22nd percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.

The Milwaukee Brewers (20.6 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 4th-least strikeout-heavy set of batters of the day.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 18th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Typically, hitters like Josh Bell who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Quinn Priester.

Josh Bell will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

From last year to this one, Josh Bell’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 16.4% to 13.2%.

Over the past 7 days, Josh Bell has not been doing well in optimizing the launch angle on his hardest hit balls to generate power, managing a mere a 3° angle.

Extreme groundball bats like Nathaniel Lowe are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Quinn Priester.

Nathaniel Lowe will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Over the past week, Nathaniel Lowe has not been doing well in optimizing the launch angle on his hardest hit balls to generate power, managing a mere a 1° angle.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (13.5) may lead us to conclude that Nathaniel Lowe has been lucky this year with his 21.8 actual HR/600.

Using Statcast metrics, Nathaniel Lowe grades out in the 20th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .292.

William Contreras has struggled with his Barrel%; his 10% rate last year has lowered to 4.3% this year.

From last season to this one, William Contreras’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 96.7 mph to 92.3 mph.

William Contreras has performed at a clip of 10.9 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 20th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

William Contreras ranks in the 1st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (9% rate this year).

William Contreras has notched a .163 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, checking in at the 15th percentile.

Mitchell Parker will have the handedness advantage against Christian Yelich in today’s matchup.

Christian Yelich’s launch angle this season (1.7°) is a significant dropoff from his 5.1° figure last season.

Christian Yelich has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite poorly of late, notching a 5.4° angle on such balls in the past 7 days.

Christian Yelich has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 29.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a fair amount higher than his 15.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Christian Yelich has had some very good luck this year. His .341 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .319.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Adams in the 9th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Riley Adams is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Riley Adams has been pulled from the game early 19% of the time.

Hitting from the same side that Quinn Priester throws from, Riley Adams will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Riley Adams ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Riley Adams has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Andrew Vaughn has posted a .252 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 3rd percentile.

By putting up a 5.3 K/BB rate this year, Andrew Vaughn has displayed poor plate discipline, grading out in the 8th percentile.

This season, there has been a decline in Andrew Vaughn’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.35 ft/sec last year to 25.71 ft/sec currently.

Ranking in the 7th percentile, Andrew Vaughn has put up a .203 batting average this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Quinn Priester in the 20th percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.

The Washington Nationals have 6 bats in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage over Quinn Priester today.

Quinn Priester has experienced some positive variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, compiling a 7.08 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 6.92 — a 0.15 K/9 disparity.

Quinn Priester has put up a 17% strikeout rate this year, checking in at the 16th percentile.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for CJ Abrams today.

Last season, CJ Abrams had a launch angle of 13.7° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 9.4°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates CJ Abrams’s true offensive talent to be a .322, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .039 difference between that mark and his actual .361 wOBA.

Brice Turang is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Mitchell Parker will have the handedness advantage over Brice Turang in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 8th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Using Statcast data, Brice Turang ranks in the 8th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 6.700.

Brice Turang has posted a .142 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, placing in the 9th percentile.

Isaac Collins is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

This year, Isaac Collins has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 20% of his appearances when starting against lefty on the mound.

Isaac Collins has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite poorly lately, posting a -1.5° angle on such balls in the past week.

Despite posting a .344 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Isaac Collins has had some very good luck given the .041 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .303.

Isaac Collins has paced 13.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 25th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

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