Mets vs Marlins match player stats | 2025 Friday, September 26th

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NYM @ MIA

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Mets @ Marlins Matchup Details

Teams : New York Mets at Miami Marlins
Series :
Date : Todays Game is on Friday, September 26th
Time : 26/09/25 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the New York Mets Game Today

Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Sproat throws from, Troy Johnston will have an edge today.

Troy Johnston hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Troy Johnston will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Troy Johnston has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 10.5% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Troy Johnston has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.7-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 95.1-mph.

The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

In Major League Baseball, LoanDepot Park’s centerfield dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.

Connor Norby will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

In the past two weeks, Connor Norby has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 23.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 20.8°.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.3) provides evidence that Connor Norby has suffered from bad luck this year with his 13.0 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Agustin Ramirez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Agustin Ramirez will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

In the last 7 days, Agustin Ramirez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.9% up to 21.4%.

Over the last 14 days, Agustin Ramirez’s 18.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 12%.

Jakob Marsee is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Sproat throws from, Jakob Marsee will have an advantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jakob Marsee will hold that advantage today.

In the last week’s worth of games, Jakob Marsee’s 23.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.4%.

Checking in at the 97th percentile, Jakob Marsee has put up a .376 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Liam Hicks is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Sproat throws from, Liam Hicks will have an advantage today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Liam Hicks will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Liam Hicks ranks in the 100th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (21.6% rate this year).

As it relates to plate discipline, Liam Hicks’s talent is quite impressive, posting a 1.29 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 95th percentile.

The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.

With 6 bats of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Brandon Sproat will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.

Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brandon Sproat in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Francisco Lindor has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 94.5-mph over the past 7 days.

Francisco Lindor’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, rising from 41.9% on the season to 75% in the last week’s worth of games.

Based on Statcast metrics, Francisco Lindor is in the 80th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .342.

Over the last 7 days, Francisco Lindor’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.7%.

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

Hitting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Juan Soto will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.

Sporting a .394 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Juan Soto grades out in the 99th percentile for offensive ability.

Juan Soto has been unlucky this year, posting a .395 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .413 — a .018 difference.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Brandon Nimmo’s 91.9-mph average exit velocity ranks among the elite in baseball this year: 90th percentile.

Brandon Nimmo has paced 25 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 77th percentile for power.

By putting up a .268 batting average this year, Brandon Nimmo finds himself in the 76th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as MLB’s 11th-best home run batter.

Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.

Pete Alonso has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 13.2% rate last year to 18.7% this year.

Pete Alonso has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last season’s 89.7-mph figure.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best hitter in the league.

Batting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an edge in today’s game.

Over the last 7 days, Jeff McNeil’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.2%.

Posting a 1.03 K/BB rate this year, Jeff McNeil has shown favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 99th percentile.

Starling Marte has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 8.6% seasonal rate to 25% in the last two weeks.

Starling Marte has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 101-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 90.6-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Over the past 14 days, Starling Marte’s 68.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.6%.

Starling Marte has recorded a .274 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The 2nd-best projected batting order of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting skill is that of the New York Mets.

New York Mets hitters as a unit have been among the best in baseball this year (2nd-) as it relates to their 90.6-mph average exit velocity.

Sandy Alcantara has averaged 96.1 adjusted pitches per GS this year, grading out in the 95th percentile.

In his previous outing, Sandy Alcantara was in good form and put up 7 strikeouts.

Out of all SPs, Sandy Alcantara’s fastball velocity of 96.5 mph grades out in the 95th percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Otto Lopez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.

Otto Lopez will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Otto Lopez has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 7.4% seasonal rate to 13.6% in the past week.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Otto Lopez’s 25.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Francisco Alvarez has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.4-mph average to last year’s 88.7-mph mark.

In the past 7 days, Francisco Alvarez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.7-mph over the course of the season to 101.8-mph lately.

Francisco Alvarez has put up a .356 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 90th percentile.

Checking in at the 88th percentile, Francisco Alvarez has notched a .469 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Checking in at the 85th percentile, Francisco Alvarez sits with a .330 BABIP this year.

Hitting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Brett Baty will have an advantage in today’s game.

The Barrel% of Brett Baty has significantly improved, with an increase from 5.5% last year to 13.2% this season.

This season, Brett Baty has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.5 mph compared to last year’s 91.3 mph mark.

Brett Baty has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .321 mark is deflated compared to his .343 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

With a 24.800 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Brett Baty finds himself in the 77th percentile for power.

Brett Baty’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, rising from 47.2% on the season to 57.9% over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Xavier Edwards is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Brandon Sproat.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Xavier Edwards will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Xavier Edwards has recorded a .277 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Sproat throws from, Griffin Conine will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Griffin Conine will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Since the start of last season, Griffin Conine’s 12% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 85th percentile among his peers.

Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Griffin Conine has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 117.4 mph (a reliable standard to measure power), placing in the 98th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Griffin Conine in the 77th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Negatives with the Miami Marlins Game Today

Troy Johnston is projected to hit 8th in the batting order today.

61% of the time that Troy Johnston has started against a northpaw this year, he has been pinch hit for.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-worst ballpark in the game for lefty home runs.

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.

Despite posting a .334 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Troy Johnston has been very fortunate given the .037 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .297.

The #6 stadium in the league for suppressing offensive stats to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.

The #9 ballpark in the majors for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.

Connor Norby is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.

LoanDepot Park ranks as the #25 stadium in the majors for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Brandon Sproat will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Connor Norby in today’s game.

Connor Norby’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 87.9-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 82.1-mph over the past two weeks.

The #6 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing offensive stats to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.

LoanDepot Park projects as the #22 venue in the majors for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Agustin Ramirez in the 20th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Hitting from the same side that Brandon Sproat throws from, Agustin Ramirez encounters a tough challenge today.

Agustin Ramirez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 93.6-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 90.5-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Jakob Marsee has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Over the last two weeks, Jakob Marsee’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.4% down to 2.4%.

Jakob Marsee’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 89.1-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 85.6-mph over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Liam Hicks in the 5th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

This year, Liam Hicks has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 16% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

In today’s game, Liam Hicks is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.8% rate (83rd percentile).

Liam Hicks has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84.6-mph dropping to 82.3-mph over the last 7 days.

The 5th-worst projected batting order of the day in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the Miami Marlins.

The Miami Marlins have been the 6th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse going forward,The 4th-deepest right field fences in MLB are found in LoanDepot Park.

Because flyball pitchers have a significant edge over flyball bats, Brandon Sproat and his 48.1% underlying FB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a favorable spot in today’s game matching up with 2 opposing FB bats.

The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Sandy Alcantara,Francisco Lindor pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 92nd percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Francisco Lindor in today’s game.

Juan Soto will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Juan Soto’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 98.9-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 90.1-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Juan Soto’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (11° in the past 7 days) is considerably worse than his 16.4° seasonal mark.

Brandon Nimmo has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brandon Nimmo in today’s game.

Brandon Nimmo has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.9-mph dropping to 87.7-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Sandy Alcantara will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pete Alonso in today’s matchup.

Pete Alonso will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Jeff McNeil’s BABIP ability is projected in the 15th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jeff McNeil is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.

Today, Jeff McNeil is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.3% rate (89th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 15th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Starling Marte is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Hitting from the same side that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Starling Marte will be in a tough position in today’s game.

Starling Marte has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Sandy Alcantara’s overall pitching skill ranks in the 84th percentile among all SPs in Major League Baseball currently.

Sandy Alcantara will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his metrics across the board.

In his last outing, Sandy Alcantara was rolling and conceded 2 ER.

Batting from the same side that Brandon Sproat throws from, Otto Lopez meets a tough challenge today.

In today’s matchup, Otto Lopez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.6% rate (95th percentile).

Extreme groundball bats like Otto Lopez tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Brandon Sproat.

Francisco Alvarez is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the same side that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Francisco Alvarez has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Brett Baty is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brett Baty today.

Xavier Edwards has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and will be challenged by the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Extreme flyball bats like Xavier Edwards are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brandon Sproat.

Xavier Edwards’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 85.5-mph seasonal average has lowered to 83.5-mph over the last 14 days.

As it relates to his home run skill, Xavier Edwards ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Griffin Conine in the 18th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Griffin Conine is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

This year, Griffin Conine has been pinch hit for in 28% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

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