Rangers @ Guardians Matchup Details

Positives for the Texas Rangers Game Today

The #3 venue in MLB for boosting base hits to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.

Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense.

This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity on the schedule today (82%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.

Angel Martinez pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.3% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

The Texas Rangers infield defense projects as the worst out of every team today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Angel Martinez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Angel Martinez’s launch angle this year (19°) is considerably better than his 14.8° figure last season.

The Cleveland Guardians have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (George Valera, Gabriel Arias, C.J. Kayfus).

Among all SPs, Jack Leiter’s fastball velocity of 96.5 mph ranks in the 92nd percentile this year.

Out of all starters, Jack Leiter’s fastball spin rate of 2421 rpm grades out in the 76th percentile this year.

The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.

Progressive Field has the 3rd-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums.

Alejandro Osuna is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.

Alejandro Osuna will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Slade Cecconi in today’s game.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Alejandro Osuna has had bad variance on his side this year. His .258 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .326.

Kyle Manzardo is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Jack Leiter throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an advantage in today’s game.

When estimating his home run ability, Kyle Manzardo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

C.J. Kayfus’s BABIP skill is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Jack Leiter throws from, C.J. Kayfus will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

C.J. Kayfus has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

C.J. Kayfus will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.2% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Joc Pederson is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Joc Pederson will have the handedness advantage over Slade Cecconi in today’s matchup.

Jonah Heim’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 11.1% to 15.7%.

Rowdy Tellez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

The 5th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors are found in Progressive Field.

Rowdy Tellez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Slade Cecconi in today’s matchup.

When assessing his home run ability, Rowdy Tellez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Billy McKinney will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Slade Cecconi in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Gabriel Arias is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

The #3 stadium in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.

Gabriel Arias has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Gabriel Arias will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Jack Leiter throws from, Bo Naylor will have an edge today.

Bo Naylor pulls many of his flyballs (36.8% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

As it relates to his home run talent, Bo Naylor ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Josh Jung has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (60% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Josh Jung has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 89.1-mph average to last season’s 86.2-mph average.

Josh Jung has been unlucky this year, notching a .298 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .018 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Ezequiel Duran has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (6.2) suggests that Ezequiel Duran has had bad variance on his side this year with his 0.0 actual HR/600.

George Valera is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

George Valera will hold the platoon advantage over Jack Leiter in today’s game.

George Valera will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Brayan Rocchio will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Brayan Rocchio’s average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 87.8-mph now compared to just 84.5-mph then.

Brayan Rocchio has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.8-mph to 94.4-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Michael Helman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.9% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

Steven Kwan is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Steven Kwan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Leiter today.

Steven Kwan has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Steven Kwan’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Tallying 91.4 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Slade Cecconi falls in the 77th percentile.

Slade Cecconi will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his metrics in all categories.

Slade Cecconi was on point in his last start and notched 8 strikeouts.

The Texas Rangers have been the 7th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress going forward,Josh Smith is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Josh Smith will have an advantage in today’s game.

Over the last week, Josh Smith’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5% up to 16.7%.

Negatives with the Cleveland Guardians Game Today

Angel Martinez is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Progressive Field has the 4th-highest fence height (on average) in MLB.

The switch-hitting Angel Martinez will bat from his bad side (0) today against Jack Leiter,Angel Martinez’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 87.2-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 83.6-mph over the last two weeks.

In notching a .271 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Angel Martinez is positioned in the 4th percentile for offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 2nd-worst stadium in baseball for LHB home runs.

Using Statcast metrics, Angel Martinez ranks in the 12th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .225.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Jack Leiter is projected to throw 85 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 14th-most on the slate.

The Cleveland Guardians have 8 batters in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage over Jack Leiter in this game.

Jack Leiter will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Jack Leiter was in good form in his last outing and gave up 1 ER.

The 6.7% Barrel% of the Cleveland Guardians makes them the #30 squad in MLB this year by this standard.

When it comes to his home run ability, Alejandro Osuna ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

This year, Alejandro Osuna has been pinch hit for in 36% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

Alejandro Osuna hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Out of every team playing today, the best infield defense belongs to the Cleveland Guardians.

Alejandro Osuna will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Alejandro Osuna’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 89.6-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 82.3-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 7th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Kyle Manzardo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 8th-deepest CF fences today.

Kyle Manzardo has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 11.3% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past 7 days.

In the last 7 days, Kyle Manzardo’s 6.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.7%.

Kyle Manzardo has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .330 mark is a good deal higher than his .319 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

C.J. Kayfus is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

25% of the time that C.J. Kayfus has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pinch hit for.

C.J. Kayfus has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 10.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last 7 days.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Jose Ramirez will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Jack Leiter in this game.

Jose Ramirez’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 90.8-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 88.4-mph in the past 14 days.

Jose Ramirez has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 27.4 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a fair amount higher than his 22.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jose Ramirez has had positive variance on his side this year. His .361 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .343.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Joc Pederson has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 36% of the time.

Joc Pederson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Joc Pederson’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 43.7% to 37.9%.

Joc Pederson’s BABIP talent is projected in the 7th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Joc Pederson has recorded a .282 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 11th percentile.

Jonah Heim is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Jonah Heim will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Slade Cecconi today.

Jonah Heim hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 8th-deepest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonah Heim in the 3rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Rowdy Tellez’s BABIP skill is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

This year, Rowdy Tellez has been pulled from the game early in 42% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Rowdy Tellez in today’s matchup.

Posting a .234 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Rowdy Tellez grades out in the 22nd percentile.

When it comes to his home runs, Rowdy Tellez has had some very good luck this year. His 31.5 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 28.2.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Billy McKinney in the 14th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Billy McKinney is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.

18% of the time that Billy McKinney has started against a northpaw since the start of last season, he has been pinch hit for.

Billy McKinney will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Billy McKinney in the 21st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Jack Leiter will hold the platoon advantage over Gabriel Arias in today’s game.

Gabriel Arias’s average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 89.8-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 85.2-mph in the last 7 days.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 5.8°, Gabriel Arias has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.6°) in the last two weeks.

Using Statcast data, Gabriel Arias grades out in the 11th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .286.

Based on Statcast data, Gabriel Arias grades out in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .229.

The #2 stadium in MLB for suppressing home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.

Bo Naylor’s BABIP skill is projected in the 4th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bo Naylor is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

10% of the time that Bo Naylor has started against a northpaw this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

By putting up a .293 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Bo Naylor is positioned in the 20th percentile.

Bo Naylor has compiled a .196 batting average this year, placing in the 1st percentile.

Hitting from the same side that Slade Cecconi throws from, Josh Jung will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

Josh Jung hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 98th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Josh Jung will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Josh Jung’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 93.2-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 87.4-mph over the last 7 days.

Ezequiel Duran is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Slade Cecconi will have the handedness advantage over Ezequiel Duran today.

Ezequiel Duran will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Ezequiel Duran’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 87.1-mph average last season has fallen off to 84.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Valera in the 12th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

When starting against a northpaw this year, George Valera has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 37% of the time.

George Valera has been cold of late, compiling a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) in the last 14 days.

George Valera has struggled to lift the ball recently, putting up a -2.5° launch angle in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brayan Rocchio in the 11th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Brayan Rocchio is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.

Brayan Rocchio’s launch angle recently (0.6° over the last 7 days) is a significant dropoff from his 11° seasonal angle.

Posting a 8.400 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Brayan Rocchio is ranked in the 11th percentile for power.

Brayan Rocchio has put up a .280 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 10th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Helman in the 5th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Michael Helman is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Michael Helman has been pinch hit for 11% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

Batting from the same side that Slade Cecconi throws from, Michael Helman will be at a disadvantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Helman in the 17th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 1st percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Steven Kwan’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 87.3-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 84-mph over the past 14 days.

Over the last two weeks, Steven Kwan’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (8.5°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 11.9°.

Steven Kwan has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 9.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a good deal higher than his 4.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

This year, the hardest ball Steven Kwan has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 104.2 mph (a reliable metric to assess power), placing in the 0th percentile.

The Texas Rangers have 6 batters in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage against Slade Cecconi today.

Slade Cecconi’s change-up usage has dropped by 8% from last year to this one (15.4% to 7.4%) .

The 3rd-worst projected offense on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the the Texas Rangers.

Collectively, Texas Rangers batters have done poorly as far as hitting balls in the launch angle span that tends to result the most in base hits (between -4° and 26°), ranking 3rd-worst in the game.

This year, Josh Smith has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 11% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

Josh Smith will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Josh Smith’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (9.5°) is quite a bit lower than his 13.2° figure last season.

When estimating his home run skill, Josh Smith ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

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