Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Mets vs D-Backs Series Game 2 Matchup Today

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 14th-best batter in baseball.

Ketel Marte is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Ketel Marte will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against David Peterson in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Ketel Marte will hold that advantage today.

The #2 park in MLB for boosting batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Zac Gallen in the 88th percentile among all SPs in the league.

Recording 95.6 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Zac Gallen places in the 88th percentile.

Zac Gallen will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats across the board.

Ranking in the 83rd percentile, Zac Gallen has compiled a 26.6% Strikeout% this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Zac Gallen’s overall pitching skill ranks in the 87th percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball right now.

The 3rd-deepest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in Chase Field.

Zac Gallen is an extreme flyball pitcher (33.9% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #29 HR venue in the majors today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Eugenio Suarez will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson today.

Extreme flyball batters like Eugenio Suarez usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like David Peterson.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Francisco Lindor’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, rising from 10.9% on the season to 21.6% over the last two weeks.

Grading out in the 80th percentile, Francisco Lindor has posted a .361 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Josh Naylor is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Josh Naylor stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Josh Naylor will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In the past week’s worth of games, Josh Naylor’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.7% up to 22.2%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best batter in the league.

Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Juan Soto will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Over the past week, Juan Soto’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.5% up to 25%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Brandon Nimmo will hold the platoon advantage over Zac Gallen in today’s game.

Brandon Nimmo has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 13.2% seasonal rate to 25% in the past 7 days.

Brandon Nimmo has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93-mph to 96.5-mph over the last 14 days.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 13th-best batter in Major League Baseball.

Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Pete Alonso has made notable gains with his Barrel%, improving his 13.2% rate last season to 19.4% this season.

Pete Alonso has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.9-mph average to last year’s 89.7-mph figure.

Pete Alonso has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 101.1-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 96.4-mph.

Because groundball hitters face a disadvantage against groundball pitchers, David Peterson (50.4% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated today with 2 GB hitters in the opposing team’s projected lineup.

It may be best to expect weaker performance for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 8th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

With a 3.08 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that focuses on the variables most within a pitcher’s control), David Peterson places him the 80th percentile.

When assessing his home run skill, Randal Grichuk ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Randal Grichuk is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.

Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Randal Grichuk will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Randal Grichuk will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Randal Grichuk has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 92-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have an edge today.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 8.4% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last 7 days.

In the last 7 days, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.6-mph over the course of the season to 98.3-mph recently.

Tyrone Taylor’s launch angle this year (20.5°) is quite a bit better than his 16.8° mark last year.

Tyrone Taylor’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 42.9% on the season to 81.8% over the last week.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (15.9) may lead us to conclude that Tyrone Taylor has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his 10.9 actual HR/600.

Sporting a .318 BABIP since the start of last season, Tyrone Taylor has performed in the 82nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Gabriel Moreno will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson in today’s game.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Gabriel Moreno ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Gabriel Moreno will hold that advantage today.

Gabriel Moreno has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.7-mph average to last year’s 90-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 91st percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Mark Vientos has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 6.3% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the last week.

Mark Vientos has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.6-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.5-mph average.

In the last 7 days, Mark Vientos’s 21.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 12.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

As it relates to his home run talent, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Francisco Alvarez has been hot lately, posting a 95-mph average exit velocity in the past 14 days.

Francisco Alvarez has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits lately, striking balls between -4° and 26° 58.8% of the time in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Corbin Carroll is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corbin Carroll can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Corbin Carroll will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Corbin Carroll has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 7.3% rate last year to 17.5% this year.

Negative Match Player Stats with Mets vs D-Backs Series Game 2

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 5th-worst venue in the majors for right-handed home runs.

Among all stadiums, the 10th-highest fence height (on average) are at Chase Field.

In today’s game, Ketel Marte is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.7% rate (83rd percentile).

Ketel Marte has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 12.4% rate last year has lowered to 3.6% this year.

Ketel Marte has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 34.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is quite a bit higher than his 27.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ketel Marte’s 9.4° launch angle (an advanced metric to study a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most groundball-inducing in the game: 18th percentile.

Ketel Marte has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .390 mark is a fair amount higher than his .363 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The New York Mets (21.2 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 5th-least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today.

Chase Field projects as the #27 ballpark in baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 2nd-best projected batting order of the day in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the the New York Mets.

Chase Field profiles as the #3 park in MLB for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Zac Gallen’s 25th percentile BB% (10.2% this year) shows his poor control ability.

New York’s 90.3-mph average exit velocity this year is among the best in baseball: #3 overall.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (27.6) provides evidence that Eugenio Suarez has been lucky since the start of last season with his 30.8 actual HR/600.

Eugenio Suarez has put up a .273 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 23rd percentile.

Chase Field grades out as the #26 venue in baseball for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Zac Gallen,Francisco Lindor pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Francisco Lindor in today’s matchup.

Among all the teams on the slate today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Francisco Lindor’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 88.7-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 85.4-mph in the last 14 days.

Hitting from the same side that David Peterson throws from, Josh Naylor will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

Josh Naylor’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 90.3-mph seasonal average has dropped to 80.9-mph in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Josh Naylor’s true offensive skill to be a .332, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .036 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .368 wOBA.

In terms of his home runs, Josh Naylor has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His 27.1 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 21.9.

Today, Juan Soto is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.4% rate (76th percentile).

Juan Soto will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Juan Soto’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 14.7% to 6.6%.

Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

With a .263 BABIP since the start of last season, Brandon Nimmo is positioned in the 16th percentile.

Zac Gallen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pete Alonso in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Pete Alonso in today’s game.

Pete Alonso has been lucky this year, compiling a .471 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .369 — a .102 gap.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 3rd-least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 19.7% underlying K%.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have 6 bats in the projected offense that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson today.

Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for David Peterson in today’s matchup.

Arizona Diamondbacks bats as a unit have been one of the best in the majors this year (5th-) when it comes to their 90.2-mph average exit velocity.

In the past two weeks, Randal Grichuk’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.5% down to 0%.

From last year to this one, Randal Grichuk’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 18.1% to 9.4%.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.250) may lead us to conclude that Randal Grichuk has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .279 actual batting average.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (80% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Tyrone Taylor is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.

Hitting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Tyrone Taylor will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Tyrone Taylor hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tyrone Taylor in today’s matchup.

Gabriel Moreno is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.

In today’s matchup, Gabriel Moreno is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 41.1% rate (99th percentile).

Typically, hitters like Gabriel Moreno who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as David Peterson.

This year, Gabriel Moreno’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 6.6% last year to just 1.5% this year.

Mark Vientos has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (71% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.

Hitting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Mark Vientos has a tough challenge today.

In today’s game, Mark Vientos is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.4% rate (93rd percentile).

Mark Vientos will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Francisco Alvarez is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have a disadvantage today.

Francisco Alvarez’s BABIP talent is projected in the 23rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

David Peterson will hold the platoon advantage over Corbin Carroll in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Corbin Carroll’s true offensive skill to be a .350, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .037 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .387 wOBA.

Grading out in the 17th percentile, Corbin Carroll has notched a .264 BABIP since the start of last season.

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