Mets vs Cubs match player stats | 2025 Series Game 2 Wednesday, September 24th

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NYM @ CHC

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Mets @ Cubs Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Teams : New York Mets at Chicago Cubs
Series : Series Game 2
Date : Todays Game is on Wednesday, September 24th
Time : 24/09/25 20:05:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the New York Mets Game Today

Moises Ballesteros’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Moises Ballesteros has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (57% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Jonah Tong throws from, Moises Ballesteros will have the upper hand today.

Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Moises Ballesteros will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

The 4th-shallowest LF fences in MLB are found in Wrigley Field.

Matt Shaw will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Matt Shaw has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 6.7% seasonal rate to 11.8% in the past week.

Matt Shaw’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (18.7° over the last two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 14.2° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jonah Tong in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent level.

It may be sensible to expect worse numbers for the Chicago Cubs offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 9th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.

Wrigley Field profiles as the #22 stadium in baseball for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Chicago has performed as the #2 group of hitters in Major League Baseball when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (17.2% rate this year).

When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jonah Tong in the 90th percentile among all starters in the game.

The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.

Jonah Tong’s 94.7-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 75th percentile among all starting pitchers.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage today.

Compared to his seasonal average of 16.6°, Carson Kelly has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 24.9° figure over the last 14 days.

Carson Kelly has recorded a .348 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 85th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his batting average talent, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 12th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nico Hoerner has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (77% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Nico Hoerner will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Ian Happ is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.

The switch-hitting Ian Happ will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Jonah Tong.

Ian Happ will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Francisco Lindor will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Matthew Boyd today.

Francisco Lindor pulls many of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Matthew Boyd in the 76th percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Matthew Boyd will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Matthew Boyd has had some very poor luck with his strikeouts this year, notching a 7.80 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.75 — a 0.95 K/9 difference.

The 2nd-best projected batting order of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability belongs to the New York Mets.

New York’s 90.6-mph average exit velocity this year ranks among the elite in MLB: #2 overall.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors.

Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.

Juan Soto has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 18.2% seasonal rate to 24.3% over the past two weeks.

Over the last two weeks, Juan Soto has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 20.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 16.4°.

Sporting a .393 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Juan Soto has performed in the 98th percentile for offensive skills.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.

Brandon Nimmo has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

In the last 7 days, Brandon Nimmo’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.9-mph over the course of the season to 100.8-mph in recent games.

Pete Alonso projects as the 11th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.

Pete Alonso will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd today.

Pete Alonso has made notable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 13.2% rate last year to 18.7% this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best hitter in the league.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Dansby Swanson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Dansby Swanson will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Starling Marte will have the handedness advantage over Matthew Boyd in today’s matchup.

Over the past 7 days, Starling Marte’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.3% up to 22.2%.

Over the last two weeks, Starling Marte’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.4-mph over the course of the season to 101.1-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Jose Siri will have an edge today.

Jose Siri pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (32.9% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.306) may lead us to conclude that Jose Siri has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .262 actual wOBA.

Jose Siri’s 15.1% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) is in the 95th percentile since the start of last season.

When assessing his home run talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Michael Busch is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Jonah Tong throws from, Michael Busch will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Michael Busch ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Mark Vientos is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.

Mark Vientos will hold the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today’s matchup.

Mark Vientos’s 95.2-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to measure power) grades out in the 85th percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 86th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

When assessing his home run ability, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Francisco Alvarez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last year’s 88.7-mph average.

In the last 7 days, Francisco Alvarez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.5-mph over the course of the season to 99.9-mph in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Negatives with the Chicago Cubs Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Wrigley Field as the 10th-worst park in baseball for run-scoring.

In the majors, Wrigley Field’s RF fences are the 5th-deepest.

Wrigley Field has the 7th-tallest average fence height among all major league stadiums.

The weather report expects the 2nd-most favorable pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Moises Ballesteros has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.7-mph dropping to 83.3-mph over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Wrigley Field as the 10th-worst park in the game for LHB batting average.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 6.8°, Moises Ballesteros’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls has dropped significantly in recent games (0° in the past 14 days).

Matt Shaw is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Wrigley Field as the 10th-worst field in the majors for right-handed batting average.

Hitting from the same side that Jonah Tong throws from, Matt Shaw has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Matt Shaw’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 90.9-mph seasonal average has decreased to 88-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonah Tong to throw 83 pitches today (5th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jonah Tong in today’s game.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Jonah Tong has gone to his fastball a lot since the start of last season, though: 59.1% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.

Chicago Cubs bats collectively rank 5th- in MLB for power this year when assessing with their 10.1% Barrel%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 11th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Carson Kelly has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (63% of the time), but he is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Jonah Tong throws from, Carson Kelly will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Jonah Tong will have the handedness advantage over Nico Hoerner today.

Using Statcast data, Nico Hoerner ranks in the 6th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 4.800.

Ian Happ’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 20.1% to 15.7%.

The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams in action today.

Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Francisco Lindor’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (13.7°) is quite a bit worse than his 18.8° mark last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matthew Boyd to throw 84 pitches in this matchup (9th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The New York Mets have 6 hitters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Matthew Boyd’s overall pitching ability ranks in the 87th percentile out of all SPs in the league right now.

Matthew Boyd will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Juan Soto today.

Matthew Boyd will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Nimmo in today’s game.

Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Pete Alonso in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Jonah Tong throws from, Dansby Swanson has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Posting a 3.77 K/BB rate this year, Dansby Swanson has shown weak plate discipline, grading out in the 20th percentile.

Starling Marte is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Starling Marte has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Jose Siri is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

Jose Siri will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Jose Siri’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 95.3-mph average last year has fallen to 90.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 11th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

In today’s matchup, Michael Busch is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.1% rate (76th percentile).

Mark Vientos will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

In the past week’s worth of games, Mark Vientos’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.3% down to 0%.

Francisco Alvarez is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Francisco Alvarez has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Francisco Alvarez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

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